Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Great Falls
presidential margin
2008R+2.62012R+13.62016R+25.92020R+24.22024R+27.7
full record · 18922024
R+27.7
2024
median income$62,811U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age39.0U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate15.8%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)25.7%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.8%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German21.0%
Irish10.7%
English10.1%
Blackfeet5.1%
Mexican2.6%
Puerto Rican0.4%
Spaniard0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline6.3%
Other Christian0.7%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Great Falls, Montana

Akashic
Great FallsTrumpR+27.7
2024 presidential margin by county for Great Falls, MTA map of the constituent counties of Great Falls, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Glacier County, MT · D+19.6Blaine County, MT · R+5.9Liberty County, MT · R+54.5Judith Basin County, MT · R+58.1Pondera County, MT · R+41.7Hill County, MT · R+18.2Toole County, MT · R+56.5Fergus County, MT · R+51.3Chouteau County, MT · R+32.2Cascade County, MT · R+22.3Teton County, MT · R+45.0Valley County, MT · R+51.1Phillips County, MT · R+62.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican62.2%49,256
Kamala HarrisDemocratic34.5%27,321
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.3%2,628
D+60
R+60
13 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (13 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Great Falls, MT — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Blaine County, MTRepublicanR+5.9
Cascade County, MTRepublicanR+22.3
Chouteau County, MTRepublicanR+32.2
Fergus County, MTRepublicanR+51.3
Glacier County, MTDemocraticD+19.6
Hill County, MTRepublicanR+18.2
Judith Basin County, MTRepublicanR+58.1
Liberty County, MTRepublicanR+54.5
Phillips County, MTRepublicanR+62.5
Pondera County, MTRepublicanR+41.7
Teton County, MTRepublicanR+45.0
Toole County, MTRepublicanR+56.5
Valley County, MTRepublicanR+51.1
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
34.5%Harris27,321
62.2%Trump49,256
3.3%Kennedy2,628
−27.7%
79,205
R
36.7%Biden30,470
60.8%Trump50,552
2.5%Jorgensen2,114
−24.2%
83,136
R
33.2%Clinton24,396
59.1%Trump43,403
7.6%Johnson5,601
−25.9%
73,400
R
41.7%Obama30,882
55.3%Romney40,924
3.0%Johnson2,203
−13.6%
74,009
R
47.3%Obama35,741
49.9%McCain37,694
2.8%Paul2,113
−2.6%
75,548
R
38.6%Kerry28,350
59.3%Bush43,622
2.1%Nader1,559
−20.8%
73,531
R
35.5%Gore25,878
59.0%Bush42,984
5.5%Nader3,992
−23.5%
72,854
R
42.0%Clinton32,132
43.9%Dole33,579
14.0%Perot10,734
−1.9%
76,445
D
37.5%Clinton30,364
35.1%Bush28,415
27.3%Perot22,114
+2.4%
80,893
R
45.9%Dukakis34,460
52.3%Bush39,249
1.7%Paul1,305
−6.4%
75,014
R
37.9%Mondale30,377
61.0%Reagan48,902
1.1%Bergland909
−23.1%
80,188
R
31.5%Carter24,682
59.3%Reagan46,536
9.2%Anderson7,200
−27.9%
78,418
R
47.1%Carter34,451
51.0%Ford37,353
1.9%Anderson1,375
−4.0%
73,179
R
38.2%McGovern28,337
56.5%Nixon41,881
5.3%Schmitz3,931
−18.3%
74,149
R
45.2%Humphrey30,547
47.8%Nixon32,305
7.1%Wallace4,791
−2.6%
67,643
D
61.7%Johnson42,488
38.0%Goldwater26,181
0.3%Hass207
+23.7%
68,876
D
52.9%Kennedy37,213
46.9%Nixon32,936
0.2%Byrd131
+6.1%
70,280
R
47.2%Stevenson31,702
52.8%Eisenhower35,534
0.0%
−5.7%
67,236
R
43.2%Stevenson28,970
56.2%Eisenhower37,629
0.6%Hallinan384
−12.9%
66,983
D
60.3%Truman34,661
35.9%Dewey20,603
3.8%Thurmond2,205
+24.5%
57,469
D
60.9%Roosevelt32,212
38.3%Dewey20,276
0.7%Thomas395
+22.6%
52,883
D
64.5%Roosevelt41,022
34.5%Willkie21,942
1.0%Thomas649
+30.0%
63,613
D
74.9%Roosevelt46,640
22.7%Landon14,105
2.4%Lemke1,520
+52.3%
62,265
D
62.2%Roosevelt35,343
33.1%Hoover18,794
4.7%Thomas2,686
+29.1%
56,823
R
42.2%Smith21,160
56.9%Hoover28,550
0.8%Thomas424
−14.7%
50,134
R
20.2%Davis8,796
41.5%Coolidge18,047
38.2%La Follette16,620
−21.3%
43,463
R
32.3%Cox15,355
60.9%Harding28,929
6.8%Debs3,212
−28.6%
47,496
D
59.8%Wilson26,303
34.1%Hughes15,006
6.1%Benson2,694
+25.7%
44,003
O
33.0%Wilson5,712
25.5%Taft4,405
41.5%Roosevelt7,190
Roosevelt +8.5
17,307
R
39.9%Bryan4,754
51.6%Taft6,149
8.5%Debs1,011
−11.7%
11,914
R
30.7%Parker3,488
62.2%Roosevelt7,071
7.2%Debs818
−31.5%
11,377
R
47.1%Bryan4,797
51.6%McKinley5,259
1.3%Woolley130
−4.5%
10,186
D
64.1%Bryan4,980
35.6%McKinley2,770
0.3%Palmer25
+28.4%
7,775
R
42.0%Cleveland2,420
49.5%Harrison2,849
8.5%Weaver491
−7.4%
5,760
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −27.7% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−27.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−7.4%
1896+28.4%
1900−4.5%
1904−31.5%
1908−11.7%
1912+7.6%
1916+25.7%
1920−28.6%
1924−21.3%
1928−14.7%
1932+29.1%
1936+52.3%
1940+30.0%
1944+22.6%
1948+24.5%
1952−12.9%
1956−5.7%
1960+6.1%
1964+23.7%
1968−2.6%
1972−18.3%
1976−4.0%
1980−27.9%
1984−23.1%
1988−6.4%
1992+2.4%
1996−1.9%
2000−23.5%
2004−20.8%
2008−2.6%
2012−13.6%
2016−25.9%
2020−24.2%
2024−27.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Great FallsTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 107,284 in 2024.26.8K53.6K80.5K107.3K107.3K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Great Falls
YearTotal registered
2016106,792
2018102,961
2020104,738
2022102,537
2024107,284
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Great Falls media market stretches across north-central Montana's wheat belt and Missouri River corridor, a region where commodity prices and public-land policy reliably outweigh urban concerns in shaping voter priorities.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 31.5 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.7 points.

A population of 172,152, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,811 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Billings and Terre Haute.

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Great Falls, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/755/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Great Falls

Frequently asked questions

How did Great Falls, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Great Falls, Montana voted Republican by 27.7 points (R+27.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 79,205 votes cast, 27,321 went Democratic and 49,256 went Republican.
When did Great Falls, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Great Falls, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Great Falls, Montana?
Great Falls, Montana has a population of 172,152 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Great Falls, Montana?
Median household income in Great Falls, Montana is $62,811 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Great Falls, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Great Falls, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.