- Lead
- 994
- Total
- 5,078
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Turnout
- 55.0%
Glacier County, MT
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 55.0% of 9,431 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,726
- Total
- 5,617
- vs nation
- D+26.3
- Turnout
- 62.1%
- Lead
- 1,501
- Total
- 5,075
- vs nation
- D+27.5
- Turnout
- 57.9%
- Lead
- 1,509
- Total
- 4,455
- vs nation
- D+30.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,972
- Total
- 4,970
- vs nation
- D+32.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 813
- Total
- 4,562
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 502
- Total
- 4,124
- vs nation
- D+11.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,022
- Total
- 4,095
- vs nation
- D+16.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,6372024 5-year
- Median household income
- $46,8752024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 29.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.8 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Rolette County, ND · twin score 97.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 55.0%5,191 participants ÷ 9,431 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +29.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +10.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 25.2%–38.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,334 | 9,219 | 57.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,058 | 9,243 | 54.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,779 | 9,299 | 62.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,116 | 9,640 | 32.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,191 | 9,431 | 55.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 5,078 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PCT 09PCT 09 | 971 | 266 | 40 | 1,277 | 76.0% | 20.8% | D+55.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PCT 05PCT 05 | 152 | 336 | 12 | 500 | 30.4% | 67.2% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -PCT 08PCT 08 | 386 | 73 | 20 | 479 | 80.6% | 15.2% | D+65.3 |
| Precinct -PCT 01PCT 01 | 109 | 312 | 22 | 443 | 24.6% | 70.4% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -PCT 02PCT 02 | 124 | 220 | 19 | 363 | 34.2% | 60.6% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -PCT 03PCT 03 | 111 | 169 | 10 | 290 | 38.3% | 58.3% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -PCT 10PCT 10 | 209 | 41 | 12 | 262 | 79.8% | 15.6% | D+64.1 |
| Precinct -PCT 21CPCT 21C | 175 | 61 | 19 | 255 | 68.6% | 23.9% | D+44.7 |
| Precinct -PCT 15PCT 15 | 131 | 101 | 10 | 242 | 54.1% | 41.7% | D+12.4 |
| Precinct -PCT 12PCT 12 | 173 | 43 | 11 | 227 | 76.2% | 18.9% | D+57.3 |
| Precinct -PCT 04PCT 04 | 56 | 134 | 4 | 194 | 28.9% | 69.1% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -PCT 19PCT 19 | 101 | 52 | 10 | 163 | 62.0% | 31.9% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct -PCT 11PCT 11 | 72 | 61 | 7 | 140 | 51.4% | 43.6% | D+7.9 |
| Precinct -PCT 13PCT 13 | 94 | 11 | 8 | 113 | 83.2% | 9.7% | D+73.5 |
| Precinct -PCT 07PCT 07 | 60 | 6 | 0 | 66 | 90.9% | 9.1% | D+81.8 |
| Precinct -PCT 06PCT 06 | 9 | 53 | 2 | 64 | 14.1% | 82.8% | R+68.8 |
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1920 | −40.8% |
| 1924 | −5.3% |
| 1928 | +7.1% |
| 1932 | +41.6% |
| 1936 | +51.2% |
| 1940 | +27.8% |
| 1944 | +27.0% |
| 1948 | +28.5% |
| 1952 | −9.6% |
| 1956 | −6.0% |
| 1960 | +12.0% |
| 1964 | +20.6% |
| 1968 | +2.2% |
| 1972 | −17.6% |
| 1976 | −3.7% |
| 1980 | −21.7% |
| 1984 | −1.4% |
| 1988 | +10.6% |
| 1992 | +19.8% |
| 1996 | +25.0% |
| 2000 | +12.2% |
| 2004 | +17.8% |
| 2008 | +39.7% |
| 2012 | +33.9% |
| 2016 | +29.6% |
| 2020 | +30.7% |
| 2024 | +19.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1934Special · Class II | D | 64.7%James E. Murray1,425 | 35.0%Scott Leavitt771 | 2,201 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,782 |
| 2018 | 8,261 |
| 2020 | 8,310 |
| 2022 | 8,119 |
| 2024 | 8,370 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−49 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −915 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,955 in average income, against $49,917 for residents who stayed — 6% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.3 on average — 42 points more Republican-leaning than Glacier County, MT itself (D+19.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cascade County, MT24R+22.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cascade County, MT37
- Missoula County, MT23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −8 |
| 2012 | +1 |
| 2013 | −24 |
| 2014 | −204 |
| 2015 | −197 |
| 2016 | −33 |
| 2017 | −109 |
| 2018 | +13 |
| 2019 | −175 |
| 2021 | −2 |
| 2022 | −52 |
| 2023 | −38 |
| 2024 | −38 |
| 2025 | −49 |
Glacier County's politics are shaped by the Blackfeet Reservation, which covers most of its land area and drives Democratic margins that run sharply against Montana's statewide Republican lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.6 points.
A population of 13,637, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,875 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rolette County and Buffalo County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Glacier County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.