Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Montana 1st Congressional District
presidential margin
2008D+2.52012R+7.62016R+11.82020R+6.92024R+11.6
full record · 20082024
R+11.6
2024
median income$73,598U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age40.3U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate11.4%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)39.2%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.4%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German21.3%
Irish14.3%
English14.2%
Blackfeet2.4%
Mexican2.4%
Spanish0.4%
Spaniard0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Lincoln County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Montana 1st Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionMontana 1st Congressional DistrictTrumpR+11.6
Montana 1st Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+11.6, 343 precincts, 5 city labels.
2024
343 precincts by 2024 margin · 5 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −11.6% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−11.6%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008+2.5%
2012−7.6%
2016−11.8%
2020−6.9%
2024−11.6%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RRyan ZinkeU.S. House · MT-01+0.44
RSteve DainesU.S. Senate+0.59
RTim SheehyU.S. Senate+0.65

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20241R
44.6%143,783
52.3%168,529
322,266
20221R
46.5%115,265
49.6%123,102
247,960
19901D
61.1%100,409
38.9%63,837
164,246
19881D
60.8%115,278
39.2%74,405
189,683
19861D
61.7%98,501
38.3%61,230
159,731
19841D
65.6%126,998
31.9%61,794
193,452
19821D
59.7%100,087
37.2%62,402
167,602
19801D
61.4%112,866
38.6%70,874
183,740
19781D
57.3%86,016
42.7%64,093
150,109
19761D
66.4%111,487
33.6%56,297
167,784

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
45.5%276,305
52.6%319,682
607,262
2020R
45.0%272,463
55.0%333,174
605,637
2018D
50.3%253,876
46.8%235,963
504,384
2014R
40.1%148,184
57.8%213,709
369,826
2012D
48.6%236,123
44.9%218,051
486,066
2008D
72.9%348,289
27.1%129,369
477,658
2006D
49.2%199,845
48.3%196,283
406,505
2002D
62.7%204,853
31.7%103,611
326,537
2000R
47.2%194,430
50.6%208,082
411,601
1996D
49.6%201,935
44.7%182,111
407,490
1994R
37.6%131,845
62.4%218,542
350,387
1990D
68.1%217,563
29.4%93,836
319,336
1988R
48.1%175,809
51.9%189,445
365,254
1984D
56.9%215,704
40.7%154,308
379,155
1982D
54.5%174,861
41.7%133,789
321,062
1978D
55.7%160,353
44.3%127,589
287,942
1976D
64.2%206,232
35.8%115,213
321,445

Covering roughly the eastern two-thirds of Montana by land area, this district pairs ranching communities and energy-sector workers with small cities like Billings, producing consistent Republican margins in federal races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 11.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.

A population of 541,948, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,598 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 2 and Congressional District (at Large).

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Montana 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Montana 1st Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 1st Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 1st Congressional District voted Republican by 11.6 points (R+11.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 322,068 votes cast, 137,407 went Democratic and 174,611 went Republican.
When did Montana 1st Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 1st Congressional District voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Montana 1st Congressional District?
Montana 1st Congressional District has a population of 541,948 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 1st Congressional District?
Median household income in Montana 1st Congressional District is $73,598 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 1st Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Montana 1st Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.