Montana 2nd Congressional District, Montana: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+29%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Republican loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 551,3522024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,6102024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: ROSENDALE, Matthew M., Sr. (2023–2025), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1991–1993), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1989–1991), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1987–1989)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 94,356 | 177,002 | 280,257 | ||
| R | 101,323 | 177,961 | 286,528 | ||
| R | 76,351 | 147,767 | 245,546 | ||
| R | 93,909 | 141,484 | 242,301 | ||
| R | 110,343 | 128,121 | 245,499 | ||
| R | 84,908 | 142,649 | 232,413 | ||
| R | 73,315 | 130,510 | 216,610 | ||
| R | 89,430 | 100,353 | 220,245 | ||
| R | 82,242 | 84,027 | 226,019 | ||
| R | 93,614 | 112,324 | 209,318 | ||
| R | 80,666 | 138,660 | 221,919 | ||
| R | 65,202 | 122,928 | 208,553 | ||
| R | 86,306 | 102,758 | 192,413 | ||
| R | 66,254 | 112,638 | 186,666 | ||
| R | 65,712 | 89,071 | 166,040 | ||
| D | 96,607 | 71,781 | 168,921 | ||
| R | 79,554 | 89,354 | 169,389 | ||
| R | 69,962 | 93,947 | 163,909 | ||
| R | 61,270 | 98,645 | 160,653 | ||
| D | 72,128 | 58,909 | 135,783 | ||
| D | 68,405 | 57,362 | 126,691 | ||
| D | 86,751 | 60,802 | 149,051 | ||
| D | 98,531 | 40,781 | 143,185 | ||
| D | 78,404 | 49,578 | 134,668 | ||
| R | 46,876 | 73,313 | 121,411 | ||
| R | 18,790 | 49,237 | 107,075 | ||
| R | 34,601 | 71,927 | 113,720 | ||
| D | 62,701 | 42,046 | 110,366 | ||
| O | 14,122 | 10,920 | 43,249 | ||
| R | 12,718 | 16,797 | 32,148 | ||
| R | 8,509 | 17,494 | 28,577 | ||
| R | 12,952 | 13,132 | 26,463 | ||
| D | 16,126 | 6,835 | 23,033 | ||
| R | 8,200 | 9,136 | 20,080 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.5% | 52.6% | 607,262 |
| 2020 | R | 45.0% | 55.0% | 605,637 |
| 2018 | D | 50.3% | 46.8% | 504,384 |
| 2014 | R | 40.1% | 57.8% | 369,826 |
| 2012 | D | 48.6% | 44.9% | 486,066 |
| 2008 | D | 72.9% | 27.1% | 477,658 |
| 2006 | D | 49.2% | 48.3% | 406,505 |
| 2002 | D | 62.7% | 31.7% | 326,537 |
| 2000 | R | 47.2% | 50.6% | 411,601 |
| 1996 | D | 49.6% | 44.7% | 407,490 |
| 1994 | R | 37.6% | 62.4% | 350,387 |
| 1990 | D | 68.1% | 29.4% | 319,336 |
| 1988 | R | 48.1% | 51.9% | 365,254 |
| 1984 | D | 56.9% | 40.7% | 379,155 |
| 1982 | D | 54.5% | 41.7% | 321,062 |
| 1978 | D | 55.7% | 44.3% | 287,942 |
| 1976 | D | 64.2% | 35.8% | 321,445 |
Demographics
Covering the vast eastern two-thirds of Montana, this district's sparse population is spread across ranching and energy country where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by 25 points or more in every cycle since 2000.
The Republican margin in Montana 2nd Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-three points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was twenty-nine points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,610, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 551,352 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.
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Congressional District 2, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.