Montana 2nd Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −7.3% |
| 2012 | −19.6% |
| 2016 | −29.6% |
| 2020 | −26.8% |
| 2024 | −29.5% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2 | R | 34.0%93,713 | 66.0%181,832 | 275,545 |
| 2022 | 2 | R | 20.2%43,480 | 56.6%121,979 | 215,672 |
| 1990 | 2 | R | 37.0%56,739 | 63.0%96,449 | 153,188 |
| 1988 | 2 | R | 44.5%78,069 | 55.5%97,465 | 175,534 |
| 1986 | 2 | R | 46.5%73,583 | 53.5%84,548 | 158,131 |
| 1984 | 2 | R | 34.1%60,445 | 65.9%116,932 | 177,377 |
| 1982 | 2 | R | 44.2%65,815 | 53.7%79,968 | 148,937 |
| 1980 | 2 | R | 40.9%63,370 | 59.1%91,431 | 154,801 |
| 1978 | 2 | R | 43.1%57,480 | 56.9%75,766 | 133,246 |
| 1976 | 2 | R | 45.0%68,972 | 55.0%84,149 | 153,121 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 45.5%276,305 | 52.6%319,682 | 607,262 |
| 2020 | R | 45.0%272,463 | 55.0%333,174 | 605,637 |
| 2018 | D | 50.3%253,876 | 46.8%235,963 | 504,384 |
| 2014 | R | 40.1%148,184 | 57.8%213,709 | 369,826 |
| 2012 | D | 48.6%236,123 | 44.9%218,051 | 486,066 |
| 2008 | D | 72.9%348,289 | 27.1%129,369 | 477,658 |
| 2006 | D | 49.2%199,845 | 48.3%196,283 | 406,505 |
| 2002 | D | 62.7%204,853 | 31.7%103,611 | 326,537 |
| 2000 | R | 47.2%194,430 | 50.6%208,082 | 411,601 |
| 1996 | D | 49.6%201,935 | 44.7%182,111 | 407,490 |
| 1994 | R | 37.6%131,845 | 62.4%218,542 | 350,387 |
| 1990 | D | 68.1%217,563 | 29.4%93,836 | 319,336 |
| 1988 | R | 48.1%175,809 | 51.9%189,445 | 365,254 |
| 1984 | D | 56.9%215,704 | 40.7%154,308 | 379,155 |
| 1982 | D | 54.5%174,861 | 41.7%133,789 | 321,062 |
| 1978 | D | 55.7%160,353 | 44.3%127,589 | 287,942 |
| 1976 | D | 64.2%206,232 | 35.8%115,213 | 321,445 |
Covering the vast eastern two-thirds of Montana, this district's sparse population is spread across ranching and energy country where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by 25 points or more in every cycle since 2000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 29.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.5 points.
A population of 542,120, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,501 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District (at Large).
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Montana 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.