akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Montana

Montana 2nd Congressional District has voted Republican in fifteen straight presidential cycles.

Montana's eastern plains district, reliably Republican by wide margins

18762024·38 elections
MT
Latest
R+29
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
551,352
2024 ACS

Montana 2nd Congressional District, Montana: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+29%. Democratic peak: D+40 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+29MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
551,3522024 5-year
Median household income
$71,6102024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
83.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+40 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+33 in 1920MIT Election Lab
R
DOWNING, TroyCongress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: ROSENDALE, Matthew M., Sr. (2023–2025), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1991–1993), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1989–1991), MARLENEE, Ronald Charles (1987–1989)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

41 counties · 0 D · 41 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−29.5%
94,356177,002280,257
R
−26.7%
101,323177,961286,528
R
−29.1%
76,351147,767245,546
R
−19.6%
93,909141,484242,301
R
−7.2%
110,343128,121245,499
R
−24.8%
84,908142,649232,413
R
−26.4%
73,315130,510216,610
R
−5.0%
89,430100,353220,245
R
−0.8%
82,24284,027226,019
R
−8.9%
93,614112,324209,318
R
−26.1%
80,666138,660221,919
R
−27.7%
65,202122,928208,553
R
−8.6%
86,306102,758192,413
R
−24.8%
66,254112,638186,666
R
−14.1%
65,71289,071166,040
D
+14.7%
96,60771,781168,921
R
−5.8%
79,55489,354169,389
R
−14.6%
69,96293,947163,909
R
−23.3%
61,27098,645160,653
D
+9.7%
72,12858,909135,783
D
+8.7%
68,40557,362126,691
D
+17.4%
86,75160,802149,051
D
+40.3%
98,53140,781143,185
D
+21.4%
78,40449,578134,668
R
−21.8%
46,87673,313121,411
R
−28.4%
18,79049,237107,075
R
−32.8%
34,60171,927113,720
D
+18.7%
62,70142,046110,366
O
+7.4%
14,12210,92043,249
R
−12.7%
12,71816,79732,148
R
−31.4%
8,50917,49428,577
R
−0.7%
12,95213,13226,463
D
+40.3%
16,1266,83523,033
R
−4.7%
8,2009,13620,080
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R45.5%52.6%607,262
2020R45.0%55.0%605,637
2018D50.3%46.8%504,384
2014R40.1%57.8%369,826
2012D48.6%44.9%486,066
2008D72.9%27.1%477,658
2006D49.2%48.3%406,505
2002D62.7%31.7%326,537
2000R47.2%50.6%411,601
1996D49.6%44.7%407,490
1994R37.6%62.4%350,387
1990D68.1%29.4%319,336
1988R48.1%51.9%365,254
1984D56.9%40.7%379,155
1982D54.5%41.7%321,062
1978D55.7%44.3%287,942
1976D64.2%35.8%321,445

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
24.8%
Irish
12.8%
English
12.1%
American
6.4%
Italian
2.9%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.3%
Spanish1.2%
Other languages1.0%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.7%
Catholic & Orthodox
10.2%
Mainline Protestant
7.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.1%
Baptist
1.4%
Methodist
1.1%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering the vast eastern two-thirds of Montana, this district's sparse population is spread across ranching and energy country where Republican presidential candidates have carried it by 25 points or more in every cycle since 2000.

The Republican margin in Montana 2nd Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-three points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was twenty-nine points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $71,610, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 551,352 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Montana voted Republican by 29.5 points (R+29), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 280,257 votes cast, 94,356 went Democratic and 177,002 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Montana's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Montana as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Montana?
Congressional District 2, Montana has a population of 551,352 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Montana?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Montana is $71,610 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.