- Lead
- 373
- Total
- 515
- vs nation
- R+71.0
- Turnout
- 71.3%
Golden Valley County, MT
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.3% of 732 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 336
- Total
- 503
- vs nation
- R+71.3
- Turnout
- 75.6%
- Lead
- 294
- Total
- 474
- vs nation
- R+64.1
- Turnout
- 84.5%
- Lead
- 241
- Total
- 479
- vs nation
- R+54.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 219
- Total
- 491
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 277
- Total
- 522
- vs nation
- R+50.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 317
- Total
- 531
- vs nation
- R+60.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 156
- Total
- 488
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8992024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,3332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+17.4 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+72.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Petroleum County, MT · twin score 91.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.3%522 participants ÷ 732 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.8%–61.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 503 | 595 | 84.5% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 459 | 595 | 77.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 508 | 672 | 75.6% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 454 | 708 | 64.1% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 522 | 732 | 71.3% | A/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
2 precincts · 515 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -LAVINALAVINA | 33 | 222 | 3 | 258 | 12.8% | 86.0% | R+73.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -RYEGATERYEGATE | 34 | 218 | 5 | 257 | 13.2% | 84.8% | R+71.6 |
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1920 | −49.2% |
| 1924 | −27.3% |
| 1928 | −28.5% |
| 1932 | +5.0% |
| 1936 | +17.4% |
| 1940 | −6.7% |
| 1944 | −19.5% |
| 1948 | −8.6% |
| 1952 | −40.8% |
| 1956 | −19.9% |
| 1960 | −13.3% |
| 1964 | +16.6% |
| 1968 | −25.0% |
| 1972 | −34.2% |
| 1976 | −8.3% |
| 1980 | −37.2% |
| 1984 | −28.8% |
| 1988 | −24.3% |
| 1992 | −10.1% |
| 1996 | −32.0% |
| 2000 | −59.7% |
| 2004 | −53.1% |
| 2008 | −44.6% |
| 2012 | −50.3% |
| 2016 | −62.0% |
| 2020 | −66.8% |
| 2024 | −72.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1934Special · Class II | D | 55.0%James E. Murray442 | 44.3%Scott Leavitt356 | 804 |
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 598 |
| 2018 | 590 |
| 2020 | 578 |
| 2022 | 579 |
| 2024 | 603 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −19 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −46 |
| 2012 | 0 |
| 2013 | +23 |
| 2014 | −2 |
| 2015 | −23 |
| 2016 | −7 |
| 2017 | +6 |
| 2018 | −3 |
| 2019 | −6 |
| 2021 | +6 |
| 2022 | +24 |
| 2023 | +21 |
| 2024 | −17 |
| 2025 | +5 |
Golden Valley's roughly 1,000 residents make it among the smallest counties in Montana by population, and its 2024 presidential margin of R+72.4 ranks it among the most lopsided in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 72.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.4 points.
A population of 899, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,333 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Petroleum County and Clearwater County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Golden Valley County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.