Loading…

Akashic

state senate district

Montana 19th State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German30.2%22.9%12.5%

Irish13.5%13.5%9.4%

English13.3%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian9.1%7.5%—

American6.9%5.4%5.3%

Italian3.0%3.2%4.8%

Scottish2.8%2.6%1.3%

Swedish1.9%1.4%—

Blackfeet0.2%1.0%—

Mexican1.9%2.9%11.3%

Spaniard0.2%0.3%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Median age	45.1	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.4%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.5%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Median household income	$67,158	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	13.3%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	31.3%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	75.6%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	24.4%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$280,800	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$965	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	41.2%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	13.5%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Mean commute	24.1 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.4%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	68.6%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.4%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	14.3%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.0%	4.2%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	1.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT SD 19	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.7%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.3%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.5%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	12.0%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.429	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic18.9%2,500TrumpRepublican78.5%10,378OtherAll other candidates2.6%344

R+59.6

Lead: 7,878
Total: 13,222
vs nation: R+58.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic19.6%2,482TrumpRepublican78.2%9,913OtherAll other candidates2.2%285

R+58.6

Lead: 7,431
Total: 12,680
vs nation: R+63.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic18.1%1,994TrumpRepublican75.5%8,315OtherAll other candidates6.4%706

R+57.4

Lead: 6,321
Total: 11,015
vs nation: R+59.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic24.3%2,689RomneyRepublican73.2%8,096OtherAll other candidates2.5%280

R+48.9

Lead: 5,407
Total: 11,065
vs nation: R+52.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic29.2%3,223McCainRepublican68.0%7,518OtherAll other candidates2.8%308

R+38.9

Lead: 4,295
Total: 11,049
vs nation: R+46.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic24.1%2,651BushRepublican74.1%8,140OtherAll other candidates1.7%187

R+50.0

Lead: 5,489
Total: 10,978
vs nation: R+47.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic22.0%2,322BushRepublican73.0%7,719OtherAll other candidates5.0%533

R+51.0

Lead: 5,397
Total: 10,574
vs nation: R+51.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic29.4%3,025DoleRepublican59.2%6,094OtherAll other candidates11.4%1,169

R+29.8

Lead: 3,069
Total: 10,288
vs nation: R+38.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+59.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 21,7862024 5-year
Population density: 2.4 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 8,896 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $67,1582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.9%2024 5-year
Black: 0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+38.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+59.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 39, MT · twin score 98.7

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

67.6%

7,620 votes · D+38.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 59.4%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

78.5%

10,378 votes · R+59.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 78.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

7,620votes

67.6% of the vote · D+38.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 7,489 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

10,378votes

78.5% of the vote · R+59.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 9,913 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1916

+17.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+20.2 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · +14.6 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+63.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+58.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +59.5 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RBarry UsherState Senate · 19

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	22.2%2,654	77.8%9,278	11,932
2020	R	27.0%3,189	73.0%8,607	11,796
2018	R	31.0%3,100	69.0%6,906	10,006

Montana 19th State Senate District sits in the Northern Rockies. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 59.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.6 points.

A population of 21,786, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,158 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 39 and State Senate District 6.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 39

2012–2024 trajectory

State Senate District 6

2012–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry

State Senate District 3

2012–2024 trajectory≠ Norwegian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Montana 19th State Senate District

counties it covers5

Fergus County Golden Valley County Musselshell County Petroleum County Yellowstone County

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 19th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 19th State Senate District voted Republican by 59.6 points (R+59.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,222 votes cast, 2,500 went Democratic and 10,378 went Republican.

When did Montana 19th State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 19th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1964.

How many people live in Montana 19th State Senate District?

Montana 19th State Senate District has a population of 21,786 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 19th State Senate District?

Median household income in Montana 19th State Senate District is $67,158 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 19th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 19th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.