Loading…

Akashic

state senate district

Montana 20th State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German29.6%22.9%12.5%

Irish13.5%13.5%9.4%

English13.0%13.1%9.5%

Norwegian9.5%7.5%—

American4.8%5.4%5.3%

Italian3.4%3.2%4.8%

Scottish2.8%2.6%1.3%

Swedish2.4%1.4%—

Mexican4.5%2.9%11.3%

Spaniard0.6%0.3%—

Spanish0.4%0.3%—

Puerto Rican0.2%0.2%1.8%

Navajo0.3%——

Blackfeet0.3%1.0%—

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Median age	38.1	40.8	39.1
Age 18–24	7.9%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.3%	20.0%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Median household income	$79,007	$72,509	$84,427
Poverty rate	9.5%	11.5%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	34.1%	35.3%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Owner-occupied homes	81.0%	69.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	19.0%	30.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$309,000	$375,800	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,296	$1,081	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	43.6%	44.8%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	4.5%	13.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Mean commute	21.2 min	19.1 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	3.0%	4.8%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	80.9%	71.1%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.6%	3.2%
Works from home	6.2%	12.5%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.7%	4.2%	22.3%
Spanish	1.5%	1.5%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Catholic	—	10.3%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	13.6%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	65.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MT SD 20	Montana	United States
Foreign-born residents	1.1%	2.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.5%	1.2%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.6%	1.1%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.8%	9.0%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.375	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic27.9%2,817TrumpRepublican68.9%6,953OtherAll other candidates3.2%322

R+41.0

Lead: 4,136
Total: 10,092
vs nation: R+39.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic29.3%3,111TrumpRepublican67.7%7,185OtherAll other candidates2.9%312

R+38.4

Lead: 4,074
Total: 10,608
vs nation: R+42.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic25.0%2,192TrumpRepublican65.6%5,745OtherAll other candidates9.3%817

R+40.6

Lead: 3,553
Total: 8,754
vs nation: R+42.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic30.9%2,622RomneyRepublican66.9%5,684OtherAll other candidates2.2%187

R+36.1

Lead: 3,062
Total: 8,493
vs nation: R+39.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic36.8%3,161McCainRepublican59.7%5,125OtherAll other candidates3.4%294

R+22.9

Lead: 1,964
Total: 8,580
vs nation: R+30.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic28.6%2,363BushRepublican69.6%5,742OtherAll other candidates1.8%146

R+41.0

Lead: 3,379
Total: 8,251
vs nation: R+38.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic28.3%2,043BushRepublican66.1%4,768OtherAll other candidates5.5%397

R+37.8

Lead: 2,725
Total: 7,208
vs nation: R+38.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic33.6%2,258DoleRepublican55.2%3,708OtherAll other candidates11.2%752

R+21.6

Lead: 1,450
Total: 6,718
vs nation: R+30.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+41.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 21,4722024 5-year
Population density: 285 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 75.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $79,0072024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 82.8%2024 5-year
Black: 0.3%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+8.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+65.7 in 1904MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 27, MT · twin score 99.4

presidential history

Party record book

Montana 20th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1936

53.5%

867 votes · D+8.6 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 46.5%

Republican

Theodore Roosevelt1904

80.5%

190 votes · R+65.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 75.0%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

3,161votes

36.8% of the vote · R+22.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,111 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2020

7,185votes

67.7% of the vote · R+38.4 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 6,953 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Woodrow Wilson1916

−7.3pts D vs U.S.

Place R+4.2 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · −11.7 pts

Republican

Theodore Roosevelt1904

+46.0pts R vs U.S.

Place R+65.7 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +43.0 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RSue VintonState Senate · 20

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 3 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	34.8%3,540	65.2%6,623	10,163
2020	R	40.1%4,265	59.9%6,373	10,638
2018	R	44.2%3,763	55.8%4,753	8,516

With a 27-point Republican lean in 2024 and a population just above 21,000, this district reflects the reliably conservative voting patterns common to Montana's sparsely settled agricultural and ranching counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 65.7 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.0 points.

A population of 21,472, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,007 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 27 and State Senate District 18.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 27

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory

State Senate District 18

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age

State Senate District 5

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Montana 20th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/30020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Montana at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Montana 20th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Montana 20th State Senate District voted Republican by 41.0 points (R+41.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 10,092 votes cast, 2,817 went Democratic and 6,953 went Republican.

When did Montana 20th State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Montana 20th State Senate District voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Montana 20th State Senate District?

Montana 20th State Senate District has a population of 21,472 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Montana 20th State Senate District?

Median household income in Montana 20th State Senate District is $79,007 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.

What is the political history of Montana 20th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 20th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.