| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 2,516 | 5,544 | 8,291 | |
| 2020 | R | 2,625 | 5,345 | 8,151 | |
| 2016 | R | 1,998 | 4,177 | 6,714 | |
| 2012 | R | 2,272 | 4,055 | 6,521 | |
| 2008 | R | 2,582 | 3,538 | 6,340 | |
| 2004 | R | 1,881 | 3,844 | 5,868 | |
| 2000 | R | 1,513 | 3,308 | 5,163 | |
| 1996 | R | 1,775 | 2,248 | 4,801 | |
| 1992 | R | 1,415 | 1,541 | 4,225 | |
| 1988 | R | 1,746 | 2,007 | 3,837 | |
| 1984 | R | 1,324 | 2,226 | 3,618 | |
| 1980 | R | 1,055 | 1,841 | 3,223 | |
| 1976 | R | 1,210 | 1,387 | 2,654 | |
| 1972 | R | 904 | 1,281 | 2,285 | |
| 1968 | D | 820 | 798 | 1,771 | |
| 1964 | D | 967 | 662 | 1,631 | |
| 1960 | R | 769 | 817 | 1,590 | |
| 1956 | R | 660 | 1,049 | 1,709 | |
| 1952 | R | 687 | 1,084 | 1,784 | |
| 1948 | D | 836 | 750 | 1,644 | |
| 1944 | D | 803 | 797 | 1,603 | |
| 1940 | D | 1,259 | 830 | 2,097 | |
| 1936 | D | 1,409 | 573 | 2,063 | |
| 1932 | D | 1,246 | 784 | 2,114 | |
| 1928 | R | 751 | 1,013 | 1,778 | |
| 1924 | R | 434 | 648 | 1,776 | |
| 1920 | R | 688 | 969 | 1,779 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,124 | 712 | 1,944 | |
| 1912 | D | 479 | 239 | 1,193 | |
| 1908 | D | 714 | 546 | 1,392 | |
| 1904 | R | 580 | 663 | 1,456 | |
| 1900 | D | 980 | 488 | 1,498 | |
| 1896 | D | 2,185 | 153 | 2,339 | |
| 1892 | R | 730 | 740 | 1,945 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Jefferson County's population of roughly 10,000 is spread across former gold and silver mining corridors west of Helena. It has delivered double-digit Republican presidential margins in every cycle this century, with 2024's spread exceeding 36 points.
The Republican margin in Jefferson County reached its widest at thirty-seven points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was thirty-seven points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.
Jefferson County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $95,490, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 12,774 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carbon County and Powell County.
