Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Butte-Bozeman
presidential margin
2008D+6.92012R+2.32016R+5.32020R+0.62024R+5.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+5.7
2024
median income$83,313U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age38.4U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate10.3%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)44.1%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.3%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German22.4%
Irish16.5%
English14.5%
Mexican2.9%
Spanish0.4%
Spaniard0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline2.9%
Other Christian0.9%
Buddhist0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Butte-Bozeman, Montana

Akashic
Butte-BozemanTrumpR+5.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Butte-Bozeman, MTA map of the constituent counties of Butte-Bozeman, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Silver Bow County, MT · D+7.0Powell County, MT · R+53.5Jefferson County, MT · R+36.5Madison County, MT · R+45.3Beaverhead County, MT · R+43.4Gallatin County, MT · D+3.2Deer Lodge County, MT · D+1.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican51.2%59,817
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.5%53,158
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.3%3,846
D+60
R+60
7 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (7 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Butte-Bozeman, MT — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Beaverhead County, MTRepublicanR+43.4
Deer Lodge County, MTDemocraticD+1.0
Gallatin County, MTDemocraticD+3.2
Jefferson County, MTRepublicanR+36.5
Madison County, MTRepublicanR+45.3
Powell County, MTRepublicanR+53.5
Silver Bow County, MTDemocraticD+7.0
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
45.5%Harris53,158
51.2%Trump59,817
3.3%Kennedy3,846
−5.7%
116,821
R
48.3%Biden56,754
48.8%Trump57,441
2.9%Jorgensen3,411
−0.6%
117,606
R
42.5%Clinton39,795
47.9%Trump44,797
9.6%Johnson8,985
−5.3%
93,577
R
47.3%Obama41,498
49.6%Romney43,516
3.1%Johnson2,752
−2.3%
87,766
D
52.0%Obama46,110
45.0%McCain39,949
3.0%Paul2,620
+6.9%
88,679
R
42.8%Kerry33,140
54.7%Bush42,270
2.5%Nader1,932
−11.8%
77,342
R
36.7%Gore25,356
54.5%Bush37,673
8.8%Nader6,095
−17.8%
69,124
D
45.4%Clinton30,348
40.8%Dole27,271
13.8%Perot9,263
+4.6%
66,882
D
40.3%Clinton26,950
31.7%Bush21,192
27.9%Perot18,674
+8.6%
66,816
D
50.4%Dukakis29,206
47.9%Bush27,719
1.7%Paul983
+2.6%
57,908
R
43.7%Mondale26,837
54.8%Reagan33,636
1.5%Bergland916
−11.1%
61,389
R
36.5%Carter22,001
51.0%Reagan30,730
12.4%Anderson7,474
−14.5%
60,205
R
47.4%Carter25,846
51.2%Ford27,911
1.4%Anderson747
−3.8%
54,504
R
44.6%McGovern24,177
52.0%Nixon28,244
3.4%Schmitz1,847
−7.5%
54,268
D
51.0%Humphrey24,265
41.5%Nixon19,759
7.5%Wallace3,547
+9.5%
47,571
D
64.5%Johnson31,643
34.1%Goldwater16,741
1.4%Hass667
+30.4%
49,051
D
55.3%Kennedy27,272
44.3%Nixon21,849
0.4%Byrd192
+11.0%
49,313
R
44.2%Stevenson22,355
55.8%Eisenhower28,199
0.0%
−11.6%
50,554
R
46.2%Stevenson23,612
53.3%Eisenhower27,251
0.6%Hallinan287
−7.1%
51,150
D
54.8%Truman24,750
40.6%Dewey18,357
4.6%Thurmond2,070
+14.2%
45,177
D
58.8%Roosevelt25,669
40.4%Dewey17,637
0.7%Thomas315
+18.4%
43,621
D
63.2%Roosevelt33,431
35.9%Willkie18,987
0.9%Thomas485
+27.3%
52,903
D
72.6%Roosevelt34,648
25.1%Landon12,001
2.3%Lemke1,096
+47.4%
47,745
D
61.5%Roosevelt28,591
34.1%Hoover15,873
4.4%Thomas2,045
+27.3%
46,509
R
47.4%Smith20,573
51.3%Hoover22,284
1.2%Thomas540
−3.9%
43,397
R
28.0%Davis10,999
38.4%Coolidge15,104
33.6%La Follette13,230
−10.4%
39,333
R
34.6%Cox13,516
57.5%Harding22,477
7.9%Debs3,099
−22.9%
39,092
D
59.8%Wilson26,515
35.0%Hughes15,529
5.2%Benson2,283
+24.8%
44,327
D
39.9%Wilson9,705
23.7%Taft5,763
36.5%Roosevelt8,882
+16.2%
24,350
D
47.0%Bryan12,393
39.8%Taft10,501
13.2%Debs3,488
+7.2%
26,382
R
39.8%Parker10,943
44.5%Roosevelt12,234
15.7%Debs4,306
−4.7%
27,483
D
67.6%Bryan20,008
30.2%McKinley8,940
2.1%Woolley630
+37.4%
29,578
D
88.3%Bryan21,621
11.3%McKinley2,766
0.4%Palmer91
+77.0%
24,478
R
36.9%Cleveland7,771
40.0%Harrison8,410
23.1%Weaver4,863
−3.0%
21,044
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −5.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−5.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−3.0%
1896+77.0%
1900+37.4%
1904−4.7%
1908+7.2%
1912+16.2%
1916+24.8%
1920−22.9%
1924−10.4%
1928−3.9%
1932+27.3%
1936+47.4%
1940+27.3%
1944+18.4%
1948+14.2%
1952−7.1%
1956−11.6%
1960+11.0%
1964+30.4%
1968+9.5%
1972−7.5%
1976−3.8%
1980−14.5%
1984−11.1%
1988+2.6%
1992+8.6%
1996+4.6%
2000−17.8%
2004−11.8%
2008+6.9%
2012−2.3%
2016−5.3%
2020−0.6%
2024−5.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Butte-BozemanTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 156,793 in 2024.39.2K78.4K117.6K156.8K156.8K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Butte-Bozeman
YearTotal registered
2016127,666
2018133,637
2020144,665
2022147,477
2024156,793
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Bozeman's rapid in-migration of college-educated professionals has shifted Gallatin County's margins noticeably leftward, while Butte's working-class, union-rooted electorate maintains a distinct Democratic lean unusual for rural Montana.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 77.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 22.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.7 points.

A population of 208,219, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,313 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Missoula and Helena.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Missoula
Montana
84.9twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% White≠ median age
Helena
Montana
82.5twin score
elasticity% unaffiliatedcollege share≠ Scottish ancestry
Bend, OR
74.8twin score
college share% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Butte-Bozeman, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/754/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Butte-Bozeman

counties7
Beaverhead CountyDeer Lodge CountyGallatin CountyJefferson CountyMadison CountyPowell CountySilver Bow County

Frequently asked questions

How did Butte-Bozeman, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Butte-Bozeman, Montana voted Republican by 5.7 points (R+5.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 116,821 votes cast, 53,158 went Democratic and 59,817 went Republican.
When did Butte-Bozeman, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Butte-Bozeman, Montana voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Butte-Bozeman, Montana has a population of 208,219 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Median household income in Butte-Bozeman, Montana is $83,313 — above the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Butte-Bozeman, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Butte-Bozeman, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.