Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Missoula
presidential margin
2008R+0.12012R+10.92016R+15.42020R+10.42024R+14.3
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+14.3
2024
median income$72,159U.S. $80,734 · MT $72,509
median age42.2U.S. 39.1 · MT 40.8
poverty rate10.6%U.S. 12.5% · MT 11.5%
bachelor’s+ (25+)38.3%U.S. 35.6% · MT 35.3%
non-english4.1%U.S. 22.3% · MT 4.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German20.9%
English14.8%
Irish13.6%
Mexican2.5%
Spanish0.4%
Spaniard0.3%
Blackfeet0.5%
Filipino0.2%
Chinese0.1%
Hmong0.1%
religion
other traditions
Mainline3.2%
Other Christian1.3%
Buddhist0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Missoula, Montana

Akashic
MissoulaTrumpR+14.3
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Missoula, MTA map of the constituent counties of Missoula, MT, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Ravalli County, MT · R+40.6Flathead County, MT · R+33.8Granite County, MT · R+44.0Missoula County, MT · D+21.4Sanders County, MT · R+55.1Mineral County, MT · R+48.0Lake County, MT · R+19.9
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican55.6%108,929
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.3%80,933
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.0%5,943
D+60
R+60
7 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (7 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Missoula, MT — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Flathead County, MTRepublicanR+33.8
Granite County, MTRepublicanR+44.0
Lake County, MTRepublicanR+19.9
Mineral County, MTRepublicanR+48.0
Missoula County, MTDemocraticD+21.4
Ravalli County, MTRepublicanR+40.6
Sanders County, MTRepublicanR+55.1
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
41.3%Harris80,933
55.6%Trump108,929
3.0%Kennedy5,943
−14.3%
195,805
R
43.7%Biden82,454
54.0%Trump102,011
2.3%Jorgensen4,386
−10.4%
188,851
R
37.8%Clinton58,044
53.1%Trump81,638
9.1%Johnson14,015
−15.4%
153,697
R
42.9%Obama62,759
53.8%Romney78,706
3.3%Johnson4,819
−10.9%
146,284
R
48.0%Obama71,251
48.2%McCain71,431
3.8%Paul5,662
−0.1%
148,344
R
39.4%Kerry52,122
57.8%Bush76,379
2.8%Nader3,669
−18.4%
132,170
R
30.5%Gore35,747
57.3%Bush67,078
12.2%Nader14,226
−26.8%
117,051
R
39.9%Clinton44,381
43.8%Dole48,762
16.4%Perot18,227
−3.9%
111,370
D
38.4%Clinton41,386
33.3%Bush35,905
28.3%Perot30,458
+5.1%
107,749
R
46.4%Dukakis41,511
51.7%Bush46,284
1.9%Paul1,693
−5.3%
89,488
R
38.2%Mondale34,937
60.1%Reagan54,994
1.7%Bergland1,541
−21.9%
91,472
R
32.4%Carter27,636
55.6%Reagan47,419
12.0%Anderson10,269
−23.2%
85,324
R
44.9%Carter32,736
53.1%Ford38,710
2.1%Anderson1,502
−8.2%
72,948
R
38.9%McGovern26,214
56.5%Nixon38,046
4.6%Schmitz3,083
−17.6%
67,343
R
38.7%Humphrey20,007
50.4%Nixon26,069
10.9%Wallace5,620
−11.7%
51,696
D
58.6%Johnson30,758
41.2%Goldwater21,626
0.2%Hass112
+17.4%
52,496
R
46.0%Kennedy23,155
53.7%Nixon27,079
0.3%Byrd154
−7.8%
50,388
R
40.8%Stevenson19,781
59.2%Eisenhower28,666
0.0%
−18.3%
48,447
R
38.7%Stevenson17,813
60.5%Eisenhower27,813
0.8%Hallinan362
−21.7%
45,988
D
49.2%Truman18,354
46.9%Dewey17,503
4.0%Thurmond1,477
+2.3%
37,334
R
47.6%Roosevelt15,001
51.3%Dewey16,196
1.1%Thomas345
−3.8%
31,542
D
54.1%Roosevelt21,312
44.5%Willkie17,518
1.4%Thomas544
+9.6%
39,374
D
65.7%Roosevelt22,285
28.2%Landon9,546
6.1%Lemke2,077
+37.6%
33,908
D
55.7%Roosevelt17,084
37.2%Hoover11,428
7.1%Thomas2,175
+18.4%
30,687
R
36.3%Smith9,383
62.0%Hoover16,015
1.7%Thomas428
−25.7%
25,826
O
13.5%Davis3,366
34.0%Coolidge8,515
52.5%La Follette13,143
La Follette +18.5
25,024
R
36.5%Cox8,299
55.9%Harding12,715
7.7%Debs1,746
−19.4%
22,760
D
52.0%Wilson11,785
40.1%Hughes9,080
7.9%Benson1,782
+11.9%
22,647
O
34.2%Wilson4,247
14.9%Taft1,850
50.9%Roosevelt6,318
Roosevelt +16.7
12,415
R
42.2%Bryan4,929
47.8%Taft5,581
10.0%Debs1,174
−5.6%
11,684
R
29.5%Parker2,901
59.6%Roosevelt5,867
10.9%Debs1,072
−30.1%
9,840
D
56.8%Bryan5,166
41.6%McKinley3,789
1.6%Woolley143
+15.1%
9,098
D
86.6%Bryan6,907
13.1%McKinley1,046
0.3%Palmer24
+73.5%
7,977
D
45.6%Cleveland2,340
39.8%Harrison2,045
14.6%Weaver751
+5.7%
5,136
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −14.3% in 2024.flipped R · 1996−14.3%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+5.7%
1896+73.5%
1900+15.1%
1904−30.1%
1908−5.6%
1912+19.3%
1916+11.9%
1920−19.4%
1924−20.6%
1928−25.7%
1932+18.4%
1936+37.6%
1940+9.6%
1944−3.8%
1948+2.3%
1952−21.7%
1956−18.3%
1960−7.8%
1964+17.4%
1968−11.7%
1972−17.6%
1976−8.2%
1980−23.2%
1984−21.9%
1988−5.3%
1992+5.1%
1996−3.9%
2000−26.8%
2004−18.4%
2008−0.1%
2012−10.9%
2016−15.4%
2020−10.4%
2024−14.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in MissoulaTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 257,521 in 2024.64.4K128.8K193.1K257.5K257.5K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Missoula
YearTotal registered
2016213,518
2018219,451
2020235,500
2022241,782
2024257,521
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Missoula's media market pairs one of Montana's most reliably Democratic cities with vast rural stretches that vote in the opposite direction, making it a study in the urban-rural split that defines statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 30.1 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 3.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.3 points.

A population of 332,361, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,159 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Butte-Bozeman and Helena.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Butte-Bozeman
Montana
84.9twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% White≠ median age
Helena
Montana
83.9twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated% White≠ population scale
Medford-Klamath Falls
Oregon
76.7twin score
% unaffiliated2000 margin% Black≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missoula, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/762/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Missoula

counties7
Flathead CountyGranite CountyLake CountyMineral CountyMissoula CountyRavalli CountySanders County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missoula, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missoula, Montana voted Republican by 14.3 points (R+14.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 195,805 votes cast, 80,933 went Democratic and 108,929 went Republican.
When did Missoula, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Missoula, Montana voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Missoula, Montana?
Missoula, Montana has a population of 332,361 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missoula, Montana?
Median household income in Missoula, Montana is $72,159 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Missoula, Montana?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Missoula, Montana from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.