Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bend, OR
presidential margin
2008R+0.32012R+6.72016R+3.32020D+8.22024D+10.4
full record · 1920 → 2024
D+10.4
2024
median income$92,758U.S. $80,734 · OR $83,011
median age42.9U.S. 39.1 · OR 40.6
poverty rate8.8%U.S. 12.5% · OR 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)45.0%U.S. 35.6% · OR 36.7%
non-english7.4%U.S. 22.3% · OR 15.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German19.1%
English18.0%
Irish14.2%
Mexican6.8%
Salvadoran0.4%
Spaniard0.3%
Chinese0.3%
Filipino0.2%
Japanese0.2%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian2.2%
Mainline1.9%
Other faiths0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bend, OR, Oregon

Akashic
Bend, ORHarrisD+10.4
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Bend, OR, ORA map of the single county of Bend, OR, OR, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Deschutes County, OR · D+10.4
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala Harris ✓Democratic53.5%68,108
Donald TrumpRepublican43.1%54,850
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.5%4,417
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bend, OR, OR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Deschutes County, ORDemocraticD+10.4
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
53.5%Harris68,108
43.1%Trump54,850
3.5%Kennedy4,417
+10.4%
127,375
D
52.7%Biden65,962
44.4%Trump55,646
2.9%Jorgensen3,626
+8.2%
125,234
R
43.1%Clinton42,444
46.4%Trump45,692
10.6%Johnson10,421
−3.3%
98,557
R
45.1%Obama36,961
51.8%Romney42,463
3.0%Johnson2,476
−6.7%
81,900
R
48.7%Obama38,819
49.0%McCain39,064
2.4%Nader1,899
−0.3%
79,782
R
42.1%Kerry31,179
56.4%Bush41,757
1.5%Other1,112
−14.3%
74,048
R
38.1%Gore22,061
55.5%Bush32,132
6.4%Nader3,692
−17.4%
57,885
R
37.9%Clinton17,151
46.7%Dole21,135
15.4%Perot6,996
−8.8%
45,282
D
35.7%Clinton15,693
35.6%Bush15,655
28.6%Perot12,570
+0.1%
43,918
R
45.5%Dukakis14,264
52.4%Bush16,425
2.2%Paul677
−6.9%
31,366
R
37.6%Mondale11,671
62.2%Reagan19,323
0.2%Other72
−24.6%
31,066
R
33.6%Carter9,641
52.9%Reagan15,186
13.5%Anderson3,888
−19.3%
28,715
D
48.9%Carter9,480
46.7%Ford9,054
4.4%McCarthy848
+2.2%
19,382
R
42.6%McGovern6,319
52.3%Nixon7,747
5.1%Schmitz753
−9.6%
14,819
R
43.3%Humphrey4,859
49.9%Nixon5,599
6.9%Wallace772
−6.6%
11,230
D
68.8%Johnson6,947
31.2%Goldwater3,148
0.0%
+37.6%
10,095
R
48.0%Kennedy4,776
51.7%Nixon5,145
0.2%Byrd23
−3.7%
9,944
R
43.2%Stevenson4,102
56.8%Eisenhower5,399
0.0%
−13.7%
9,501
R
35.3%Stevenson3,174
64.3%Eisenhower5,776
0.4%Hallinan36
−29.0%
8,986
D
48.8%Truman3,499
48.3%Dewey3,463
2.8%Thurmond201
+0.5%
7,163
D
59.2%Roosevelt3,807
39.6%Dewey2,547
1.1%Thomas72
+19.6%
6,426
D
64.1%Roosevelt4,775
34.9%Willkie2,603
1.0%Thomas75
+29.1%
7,453
D
72.7%Roosevelt4,278
22.1%Landon1,299
5.2%Lemke307
+50.6%
5,884
D
58.6%Roosevelt2,962
33.6%Hoover1,697
7.8%Thomas396
+25.0%
5,055
R
36.8%Smith1,702
60.8%Hoover2,815
2.4%Thomas111
−24.0%
4,628
R
23.2%Davis1,015
53.0%Coolidge2,321
23.8%La Follette1,042
−29.8%
4,378
R
35.3%Cox1,072
54.2%Harding1,649
10.5%Debs319
−19.0%
3,040
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1920 to 2024. Most recent: +10.4% in 2024.flipped D · 2020+10.4%DR19202024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1920−19.0%
1924−29.8%
1928−24.0%
1932+25.0%
1936+50.6%
1940+29.1%
1944+19.6%
1948+0.5%
1952−29.0%
1956−13.7%
1960−3.7%
1964+37.6%
1968−6.6%
1972−9.6%
1976+2.2%
1980−19.3%
1984−24.6%
1988−6.9%
1992+0.1%
1996−8.8%
2000−17.4%
2004−14.3%
2008−0.3%
2012−6.7%
2016−3.3%
2020+8.2%
2024+10.4%
DemocraticRepublican

Bend's rapid in-migration has made Deschutes County a competitive pivot point in statewide races, shifting a once reliably Republican media market toward split-ticket patterns that neither party can take for granted.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 29.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 2.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.

A population of 206,334, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,758 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Charlottesville and Butte-Bozeman.

Political twins — media markets

The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Charlottesville
Virginia
80.9twin score
12-yr trend2024 margincollege share≠ Norwegian ancestry
Butte-Bozeman
Montana
74.8twin score
college share% unaffiliatedpopulation scale≠ 12-yr trend
Juneau
Alaska
71.9twin score
12-yr trend2024 margin% unaffiliated≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bend, OR, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/821/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Bend, OR

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Deschutes County

Frequently asked questions

How did Bend, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bend, OR, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.4 points (D+10.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 127,375 votes cast, 68,108 went Democratic and 54,850 went Republican.
When did Bend, OR, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bend, OR, Oregon voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Bend, OR, Oregon has a population of 206,334 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Bend, OR, Oregon is $92,758 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Bend, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bend, OR, Oregon from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.