Oregon — Elections 1892–2024

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−26.4%
1896	−2.1%
1900	−15.6%
1904	−47.6%
1908	−22.1%
1912	+9.0%
1916	−2.6%
1920	−26.7%
1924	−26.8%
1928	−30.0%
1932	+21.1%
1936	+34.8%
1940	+8.1%
1944	+4.8%
1948	−3.4%
1952	−21.6%
1956	−10.5%
1960	−5.2%
1964	+27.8%
1968	−6.0%
1972	−10.1%
1976	−0.2%
1980	−9.7%
1984	−12.2%
1988	+4.7%
1992	+10.0%
1996	+8.1%
2000	+0.4%
2004	+4.2%
2008	+16.3%
2012	+12.1%
2016	+11.0%
2020	+16.1%
2024	+14.3%

DemocraticRepublican

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	D	55.3%Harris1,240,600	41.0%Trump919,480	1.5%Kennedy33,733	+14.3%	2,244,493
2020	D	56.5%Biden1,340,383	40.4%Trump958,448	1.8%Jorgensen41,582	+16.1%	2,374,321
2016	D	50.1%Clinton1,002,106	39.1%Trump782,403	4.7%Johnson94,231	+11.0%	2,001,336
2012	D	54.2%Obama970,488	42.1%Romney754,175	1.3%Johnson24,089	+12.1%	1,789,270
2008	D	56.7%Obama1,037,291	40.4%McCain738,475	1.0%Nader18,614	+16.3%	1,827,864
2004	D	51.3%Kerry943,163	47.2%Bush866,831	0.5%Other8,956	+4.2%	1,836,782
2000	D	47.0%Gore720,342	46.5%Bush713,577	5.0%Nader77,357	+0.4%	1,533,968
1996	D	47.2%Clinton649,641	39.1%Dole538,152	8.8%Perot121,221	+8.1%	1,377,760
1992	D	42.5%Clinton621,314	32.5%Bush475,757	24.2%Perot354,091	+10.0%	1,462,643
1988	D	51.3%Dukakis616,206	46.6%Bush560,126	1.2%Paul14,811	+4.7%	1,201,694
1984	R	43.7%Mondale536,479	55.9%Reagan685,700	0.4%Other4,348	−12.2%	1,226,527
1980	R	38.7%Carter456,890	48.3%Reagan571,044	9.5%Anderson112,389	−9.7%	1,181,516
1976	R	47.6%Carter490,407	47.8%Ford492,120	3.9%McCarthy40,207	−0.2%	1,029,876
1972	R	42.3%McGovern392,760	52.4%Nixon486,686	5.2%Schmitz48,500	−10.1%	927,946
1968	R	43.8%Humphrey358,866	49.8%Nixon408,433	6.4%Wallace52,323	−6.0%	819,622
1964	D	63.7%Johnson501,017	36.0%Goldwater282,779	0.3%Hass2,509	+27.8%	786,305
1960	R	47.3%Kennedy367,402	52.6%Nixon408,060	0.1%Byrd959	−5.2%	776,421
1956	R	44.8%Stevenson329,204	55.2%Eisenhower406,393	0.0%	−10.5%	735,597
1952	R	38.9%Stevenson270,579	60.5%Eisenhower420,815	0.5%Hallinan3,665	−21.6%	695,059
1948	R	46.4%Truman243,147	49.8%Dewey260,904	3.8%Thurmond20,029	−3.4%	524,080
1944	D	51.8%Roosevelt248,635	46.9%Dewey225,365	1.3%Thomas6,147	+4.8%	480,147
1940	D	53.7%Roosevelt258,415	45.6%Willkie219,555	0.7%Thomas3,270	+8.1%	481,240
1936	D	64.4%Roosevelt266,733	29.6%Landon122,706	5.9%Lemke24,582	+34.8%	414,021
1932	D	58.0%Roosevelt213,871	36.9%Hoover136,019	5.1%Thomas18,918	+21.1%	368,808
1928	R	34.1%Smith109,223	64.2%Hoover205,341	1.7%Thomas5,378	−30.0%	319,942
1924	R	24.2%Davis67,589	51.0%Coolidge142,579	24.8%La Follette69,320	−26.8%	279,488
1920	R	33.5%Cox80,019	60.2%Harding143,592	6.3%Debs14,911	−26.7%	238,522
1916	R	45.9%Wilson120,087	48.5%Hughes126,813	5.6%Benson14,750	−2.6%	261,650
1912	O	34.3%Wilson47,064	25.3%Taft34,673	40.4%Roosevelt55,303	Roosevelt +6.0	137,040
1908	R	34.3%Bryan38,049	56.4%Taft62,530	9.3%Debs10,313	−22.1%	110,892
1904	R	19.4%Parker17,521	67.1%Roosevelt60,455	13.5%Debs12,178	−47.6%	90,154
1900	R	39.6%Bryan33,385	55.2%McKinley46,526	5.1%Woolley4,305	−15.6%	84,216
1896	R	47.9%Bryan46,745	50.0%McKinley48,779	2.0%Palmer1,978	−2.1%	97,502
1892	R	18.1%Cleveland14,243	44.6%Harrison35,002	37.3%Weaver29,246	−26.4%	78,491

2026 election

On the ballot

Governor

Tina KoteknomineeChristine Drazannominee

Incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek (D) is seeking a second term and won the Democratic primary (~84%). Christine Drazan, the 2022 GOP nominee, won the Republican primary (~41%) over Ed Diehl and Chris Dudley, setting up a 2022 rematch (Oregon's first gubernatorial rematch since 1978).

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. Senate

Jeff MerkleynomineeDavid Brock Smithnominee

Merkley (D) 4th term, ~93.2%. David Brock Smith (R state sen). Solid D.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.

Congressional elections · 124 House races · 16 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
Seats won	D %	R %	Total
D 5 · R 1	53.4%	42.3%	2,156,972
D 4 · R 2	53.1%	44.7%	1,906,940
D 4 · R 1	55.7%	41.9%	2,308,189
D 4 · R 1	57.4%	38.0%	1,847,646

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	55.8%1,076,424	40.9%788,991	1,927,949
2020	D	57.0%1,321,047	39.4%912,814	2,318,847
2016	D	56.6%1,105,119	33.3%651,106	1,952,478
2014	D	55.7%814,537	36.9%538,847	1,461,618
2010	D	57.2%825,507	39.2%566,199	1,442,588
2008	D	48.9%864,392	45.6%805,159	1,767,504
2004	D	63.4%1,128,728	31.7%565,254	1,780,550
2002	R	39.6%501,898	56.2%712,287	1,267,221
1998	D	61.1%682,425	33.8%377,739	1,117,747
1996	R	45.9%624,370	49.8%677,336	1,360,230
1992	R	46.7%639,851	52.4%717,455	1,370,240
1990	R	46.2%507,743	53.7%590,095	1,099,255
1986	R	36.0%375,735	63.0%656,317	1,042,555
1984	R	33.4%406,122	66.5%808,152	1,214,735
1980	R	44.0%501,963	52.1%594,290	1,139,939
1978	R	38.3%341,616	61.7%550,165	891,781

Five Willamette Valley counties cast 54 percent of Oregon’s vote and 65 percent of every Democratic ballot; the reddest county ran 65 points the other way.

Held against the tide: D+16.1 (2020) → D+14.3 (2024) — a 1.8-pt slip as the nation moved about 6 pts to Trump · MIT Election Lab
The blue majority is one valley: Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, Lane, and Benton cast 54% of all votes and 65% of every Democratic ballot · MIT Election Lab 2024
Bluest and reddest: Multnomah (Portland) D+61.6; Lake County R+65.0 — only 9 of 36 counties went Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
A county trends blue: Deschutes (Bend): R+6.7 (2012) → R+3.3 (2016) → D+8.2 (2020) → D+10.4 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
Secular and educated: 66.9% claim no religion — 3rd of 50; 36.7% hold a bachelor’s degree; median household income $83,011 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census; ACS 2024 5-year
Governor and Senate in 2026: Gov. Tina Kotek (D) in a rematch with Christine Drazan (R); Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) seeks a 4th term · Akashic 2026 forecast

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Washington

77.7twin score

12-yr trend2008–2024 trajectory≠ median income

Colorado

70.0twin score

% unaffiliated12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ college share

Vermont

66.2twin score

% unaffiliated% Black2024 margin≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Largest cities in Oregon

Oregon at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Oregon

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Frequently asked questions

How did Oregon vote in 2024?

In 2024, Oregon voted Democratic by 14.3 points (D+14.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,244,493 votes cast, 1,240,600 went Democratic and 919,480 went Republican.

When did Oregon last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Oregon voted Republican was 1984.

How many people live in Oregon?

Oregon has a population of 4,254,293 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Oregon?

Median household income in Oregon is $83,011 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.

What is the political history of Oregon?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Oregon from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.

Oregon, Oregon

U.S. House

U.S. Senate

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Oregon

Frequently asked questions