HarrisDemocratic55.3%1,240,600TrumpRepublican41.0%919,480KennedyWe The People1.5%33,733
D+14.3- Lead
- 321,120
- Total
- 2,244,493
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- 70.7%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,254,2932024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 95,996 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $83,0112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 71.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington, WA · twin score 77.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.7%2,269,608 participants ÷ 3,211,655 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.5%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,051,452 | 2,911,330 | 70.5% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 1,914,923 | 3,002,261 | 63.8% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,396,123 | 3,108,030 | 77.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,968,717 | 3,177,375 | 62.0% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,269,608 | 3,211,655 | 70.7% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
64.4%
266,733 votes · D+34.8
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 63.7%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
67.1%
60,455 votes · R+47.6
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 64.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,340,383votes
56.5% of the vote · D+16.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,240,600 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
958,448votes
40.4% of the vote · D+16.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 919,480 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+15.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+14.3 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +13.0 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+28.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+26.4 · U.S. D+1.7
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +28.0 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Tina KoteknomineeChristine Drazannominee
Incumbent Gov. Tina Kotek (D) is seeking a second term and won the Democratic primary (~84%). Christine Drazan, the 2022 GOP nominee, won the Republican primary (~41%) over Ed Diehl and Chris Dudley, setting up a 2022 rematch (Oregon's first gubernatorial rematch since 1978).
U.S. Senate
Jeff MerkleynomineeDavid Brock Smithnominee
Merkley (D) 4th term, ~93.2%. David Brock Smith (R state sen). Solid D.
U.S. House elections · 124 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 5 · R 1 | 53.4% | 42.3% | 2,156,972 | |
| D 4 · R 2 | 53.1% | 44.7% | 1,906,940 | |
| D 4 · R 1 | 55.7% | 41.9% | 2,308,189 | |
| D 4 · R 1 | 57.4% | 38.0% | 1,847,646 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+8.9
Presidential vote · 2024D+14.3
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 5.4 points more Democratic than the rolls.
3,084,789 registered voters · 2024 · up from 3,003,625 in 2022
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2,228 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +226,349 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +11,426 |
| 2012 | +10,910 |
| 2013 | +8,768 |
| 2014 | +22,278 |
| 2015 | +36,867 |
| 2016 | +51,117 |
| 2017 | +37,653 |
| 2018 | +27,663 |
| 2019 | +25,821 |
| 2021 | +9,670 |
| 2022 | −8,946 |
| 2023 | −7,370 |
| 2024 | −1,736 |
| 2025 | +2,228 |
Five Willamette Valley counties cast 54 percent of Oregon’s vote and 65 percent of every Democratic ballot; the reddest county ran 65 points the other way.
- Held against the tide
- D+16.1 (2020) → D+14.3 (2024) — a 1.8-pt slip as the nation moved about 6 pts to Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The blue majority is one valley
- Multnomah, Washington, Clackamas, Lane, and Benton cast 54% of all votes and 65% of every Democratic ballot · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Bluest and reddest
- Multnomah (Portland) D+61.6; Lake County R+65.0 — only 9 of 36 counties went Democratic · MIT Election Lab 2024
- A county trends blue
- Deschutes (Bend): R+6.7 (2012) → R+3.3 (2016) → D+8.2 (2020) → D+10.4 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Secular and educated
- 66.9% claim no religion — 3rd of 50; 36.7% hold a bachelor’s degree; median household income $83,011 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census; ACS 2024 5-year
- Governor and Senate in 2026
- Gov. Tina Kotek (D) in a rematch with Christine Drazan (R); Sen. Jeff Merkley (D) seeks a 4th term · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washington
Washington
77.7twin score
12-yr trend2008–2024 trajectory≠ median income
Colorado
Colorado
70.0twin score
% unaffiliated12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Vermont
Vermont
66.2twin score
% unaffiliated% Black2024 margin≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/OR/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Oregon
Frequently asked questions
How did Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oregon voted Democratic by 14.3 points (D+14.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,244,493 votes cast, 1,240,600 went Democratic and 919,480 went Republican.
When did Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Oregon voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Oregon?
Oregon has a population of 4,254,293 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oregon?
Median household income in Oregon is $83,011 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Oregon?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Oregon from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.