akashic
1876–2024
Polk County, Oregon
Polk County·Oregon

Polk County votes the way the country votes.

A mid-Willamette Valley county trending toward closer margins

18762024·38 elections
Polk County, Oregon · Gary Halvorson, Oregon State Archives · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
89,662
2024 ACS
Most similar
Yamhill County
OR · similarity 0.99
16 precincts · 47,593 votes cast
Trump · R+4
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−3.6%
22,03423,76847,593
2020R
−1.7%
22,91723,73248,291
2016R
−6.3%
16,42018,94040,295
2012R
−4.3%
16,29217,81935,257
2008R
−0.5%
17,53617,71436,207
2004R
−11.3%
15,48419,50835,489
2000R
−10.8%
11,92114,98828,449
1996R
−2.1%
10,94211,47825,331
1992R
−2.1%
9,55110,08225,614
1988R
−4.5%
9,62610,55320,621
1984R
−18.5%
8,70912,67821,432
1980R
−10.6%
7,83310,00620,531
1976R
−2.2%
8,1418,52817,530
1972R
−19.7%
5,9088,98515,609
1968R
−16.2%
4,9616,99712,571
1964D
+25.6%
7,2924,31911,629
1960R
−18.9%
4,5786,70911,298
1956R
−22.6%
4,0476,40410,451
1952R
−39.2%
2,9836,8509,869
1948R
−10.9%
3,4514,3288,012
1944R
−8.0%
3,3183,9047,340
1940R
−1.6%
4,0774,2118,348
1936D
+22.3%
3,6942,2466,498
1932D
+17.8%
3,7052,5486,514
1928R
−30.2%
1,7243,2445,034
1924R
−21.7%
1,6212,7555,223
1920R
−23.0%
1,6532,7094,594
1916R
−0.9%
2,8442,8996,054
1912D
+4.9%
1,2011,0433,252
1908R
−12.2%
1,1131,4562,807
1904R
−39.6%
5211,3802,168
1900R
−7.5%
9911,1632,298
1896D
+3.1%
1,3341,2532,647
1892R
−23.2%
4329432,203
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
11.8%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
3.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.1%
Baptist
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 74.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Polk County sits west of Salem along the Willamette River, blending rural farmland with small cities like Dallas and Independence. It shifted modestly rightward in 2024 but has remained competitive across recent cycles.

The Democratic margin in Polk County has rarely exceeded twenty-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by four points.

Polk County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 78% non-Hispanic-white share, a 13% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,118 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yamhill County and Jackson County.