Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Salem, OR
presidential margin
2008D+1.62012R+3.42016R+4.62020D+0.52024R+2.4
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+2.4
2024
median income$78,938U.S. $80,734 · OR $83,011
median age37.6U.S. 39.1 · OR 40.6
poverty rate12.9%U.S. 12.5% · OR 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.1%U.S. 35.6% · OR 36.7%
non-english22.8%U.S. 22.3% · OR 15.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German16.5%
English12.4%
Irish8.9%
Mexican22.9%
Guatemalan0.6%
Salvadoran0.4%
Aztec0.2%
Marshallese0.2%
Chinese0.5%
Filipino0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%
African American†0.7%
African0.2%
religion
other traditions
Mainline2.1%
Other Christian1.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Salem, OR, Oregon

Akashic
Salem, ORTrumpR+2.4
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Salem, OR, ORA map of the constituent counties of Salem, OR, OR, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Marion County, OR · R+2.0Polk County, OR · R+3.6
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican49.4%100,857
Kamala HarrisDemocratic47.0%96,004
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.6%7,423
D+60
R+60
2 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (2 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Salem, OR, OR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Marion County, ORRepublicanR+2.0
Polk County, ORRepublicanR+3.6
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
47.0%Harris96,004
49.4%Trump100,857
3.6%Kennedy7,423
−2.4%
204,284
D
48.5%Biden103,789
48.0%Trump102,734
3.4%Jorgensen7,302
+0.5%
213,825
R
41.9%Clinton74,208
46.5%Trump82,317
11.6%Johnson20,610
−4.6%
177,135
R
46.7%Obama72,668
50.1%Romney78,009
3.2%Johnson4,956
−3.4%
155,633
D
49.4%Obama79,352
47.8%McCain76,773
2.9%Nader4,645
+1.6%
160,770
R
44.3%Kerry73,155
54.2%Bush89,408
1.5%Other2,545
−9.8%
165,108
R
43.3%Gore61,351
51.1%Bush72,431
5.6%Nader8,001
−7.8%
141,783
D
44.9%Clinton59,579
43.6%Dole57,893
11.5%Perot15,322
+1.3%
132,794
R
37.3%Clinton50,688
38.4%Bush52,227
24.3%Perot33,033
−1.1%
135,948
R
46.6%Dukakis50,819
51.2%Bush55,845
2.2%Paul2,449
−4.6%
109,113
R
40.1%Mondale45,149
59.7%Reagan67,213
0.2%Other279
−19.6%
112,641
R
37.7%Carter39,967
49.3%Reagan52,197
13.0%Anderson13,816
−11.5%
105,980
R
46.7%Carter41,922
49.0%Ford44,025
4.4%McCarthy3,914
−2.3%
89,861
R
37.8%McGovern29,816
57.5%Nixon45,426
4.7%Schmitz3,728
−19.8%
78,970
R
40.1%Humphrey27,288
55.0%Nixon37,414
5.0%Wallace3,371
−14.9%
68,073
D
62.7%Johnson39,383
36.9%Goldwater23,216
0.4%Hass239
+25.7%
62,838
R
41.4%Kennedy25,369
58.5%Nixon35,833
0.1%Byrd66
−17.1%
61,268
R
36.4%Stevenson20,217
63.6%Eisenhower35,394
0.0%
−27.3%
55,611
R
29.3%Stevenson15,320
70.2%Eisenhower36,737
0.5%Hallinan260
−40.9%
52,317
R
40.4%Truman16,634
56.6%Dewey23,325
3.0%Thurmond1,224
−16.2%
41,183
R
42.4%Roosevelt15,225
55.9%Dewey20,080
1.8%Thomas636
−13.5%
35,941
R
45.8%Roosevelt18,108
53.4%Willkie21,151
0.8%Thomas316
−7.7%
39,575
D
59.0%Roosevelt19,230
33.3%Landon10,841
7.7%Lemke2,498
+25.8%
32,569
D
56.8%Roosevelt16,277
39.0%Hoover11,181
4.1%Thomas1,187
+17.8%
28,645
R
36.3%Smith8,722
62.5%Hoover14,998
1.2%Thomas285
−26.1%
24,005
R
26.4%Davis5,617
52.3%Coolidge11,106
21.3%La Follette4,516
−25.8%
21,239
R
30.7%Cox5,484
64.3%Harding11,507
5.0%Debs901
−33.7%
17,892
R
40.6%Wilson8,543
53.3%Hughes11,215
6.1%Benson1,284
−12.7%
21,042
O
33.4%Wilson3,789
31.5%Taft3,566
35.1%Roosevelt3,982
Roosevelt +1.7
11,337
R
35.6%Bryan3,352
55.6%Taft5,244
8.8%Debs829
−20.1%
9,425
R
20.0%Parker1,605
68.3%Roosevelt5,486
11.7%Debs940
−48.3%
8,031
R
41.2%Bryan3,309
53.3%McKinley4,275
5.5%Woolley439
−12.0%
8,023
R
47.6%Bryan4,753
50.0%McKinley4,997
2.4%Palmer241
−2.4%
9,991
R
16.0%Cleveland1,311
47.9%Harrison3,922
36.1%Weaver2,955
−31.9%
8,188
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −2.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−2.4%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−31.9%
1896−2.4%
1900−12.0%
1904−48.3%
1908−20.1%
1912+2.0%
1916−12.7%
1920−33.7%
1924−25.8%
1928−26.1%
1932+17.8%
1936+25.8%
1940−7.7%
1944−13.5%
1948−16.2%
1952−40.9%
1956−27.3%
1960−17.1%
1964+25.7%
1968−14.9%
1972−19.8%
1976−2.3%
1980−11.5%
1984−19.6%
1988−4.6%
1992−1.1%
1996+1.3%
2000−7.8%
2004−9.8%
2008+1.6%
2012−3.4%
2016−4.6%
2020+0.5%
2024−2.4%
DemocraticRepublican

The Salem metro blends state-government employment with a substantial Latino population in surrounding Marion County, producing margins that consistently run closer than the Portland media market and make it a bellwether for statewide ballot measures.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 48.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.4 points.

A population of 438,906, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,938 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA and San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA
88.6twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale% Black≠ 2016 margin
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA
85.4twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ college share
Reno, NV
85.0twin score
2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Italian ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Salem, OR, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/41420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Salem, OR

counties2
Marion CountyPolk County

Frequently asked questions

How did Salem, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Salem, OR, Oregon voted Republican by 2.4 points (R+2.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 204,284 votes cast, 96,004 went Democratic and 100,857 went Republican.
When did Salem, OR, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Salem, OR, Oregon voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Salem, OR, Oregon?
Salem, OR, Oregon has a population of 438,906 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Salem, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Salem, OR, Oregon is $78,938 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Salem, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Salem, OR, Oregon from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.