- Lead
- 7,118
- Total
- 35,735
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Turnout
- 69.2%
Coos County, OR
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.2% of 52,313 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 7,586
- Total
- 37,075
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- 72.8%
- Lead
- 7,417
- Total
- 31,313
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Lead
- 1,828
- Total
- 28,686
- vs nation
- R+10.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 953
- Total
- 30,951
- vs nation
- R+10.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,898
- Total
- 33,362
- vs nation
- R+9.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,016
- Total
- 29,379
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,285
- Total
- 27,638
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 64,8272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,1432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45.9 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, ME · twin score 84.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.2%36,199 participants ÷ 52,313 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.8%–60.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 31,960 | 50,003 | 63.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 29,615 | 50,474 | 58.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 37,405 | 51,367 | 72.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 32,065 | 52,208 | 61.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 36,199 | 52,313 | 69.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 35,388 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -55 | 1,515 | 1,803 | 141 | 3,459 | 43.8% | 52.1% | R+8.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -88 | 1,186 | 2,058 | 126 | 3,370 | 35.2% | 61.1% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -33 | 1,227 | 1,624 | 136 | 2,987 | 41.1% | 54.4% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -22 | 1,027 | 1,733 | 68 | 2,828 | 36.3% | 61.3% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct -1717 | 1,023 | 1,459 | 77 | 2,559 | 40.0% | 57.0% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -1010 | 739 | 1,558 | 59 | 2,356 | 31.4% | 66.1% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -77 | 1,078 | 1,178 | 91 | 2,347 | 45.9% | 50.2% | R+4.3 |
| Precinct -44 | 1,069 | 1,031 | 72 | 2,172 | 49.2% | 47.5% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -1212 | 716 | 1,283 | 69 | 2,068 | 34.6% | 62.0% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -1616 | 1,056 | 937 | 72 | 2,065 | 51.1% | 45.4% | D+5.8 |
| Precinct -66 | 986 | 981 | 63 | 2,030 | 48.6% | 48.3% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -1111 | 513 | 1,335 | 60 | 1,908 | 26.9% | 70.0% | R+43.1 |
| Precinct -1414 | 334 | 1,296 | 27 | 1,657 | 20.2% | 78.2% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -11 | 469 | 998 | 26 | 1,493 | 31.4% | 66.8% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -1313 | 371 | 854 | 47 | 1,272 | 29.2% | 67.1% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -1515 | 128 | 347 | 12 | 487 | 26.3% | 71.3% | R+45.0 |
| Precinct -99 | 166 | 156 | 8 | 330 | 50.3% | 47.3% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -1818 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.0% |
| 1896 | +16.7% |
| 1900 | −12.4% |
| 1904 | −45.9% |
| 1908 | −29.4% |
| 1912 | +10.4% |
| 1916 | +1.9% |
| 1920 | −15.7% |
| 1924 | −26.6% |
| 1928 | −23.2% |
| 1932 | +23.7% |
| 1936 | +43.2% |
| 1940 | +21.7% |
| 1944 | +16.6% |
| 1948 | −0.7% |
| 1952 | −10.9% |
| 1956 | +9.7% |
| 1960 | +19.1% |
| 1964 | +52.4% |
| 1968 | +12.7% |
| 1972 | +6.1% |
| 1976 | +19.0% |
| 1980 | −4.3% |
| 1984 | −0.2% |
| 1988 | +15.5% |
| 1992 | +9.4% |
| 1996 | +4.6% |
| 2000 | −13.7% |
| 2004 | −11.7% |
| 2008 | −3.1% |
| 2012 | −6.4% |
| 2016 | −23.7% |
| 2020 | −20.5% |
| 2024 | −19.9% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Democratic.
50,320 registered voters · 2024 · up from 49,339 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+294 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,598 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,239 in average income, against $67,740 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+0.5 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Coos County, OR itself (R+19.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Douglas County, OR108R+37.5
- Lane County, OR102D+22.9
- Curry County, OR53R+15.9
- Jackson County, OR53R+6.4
- Multnomah County, OR41D+61.6
- Clackamas County, OR33D+9.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Douglas County, OR141
- Lane County, OR139
- Jackson County, OR62
- Multnomah County, OR47
- Washington County, OR42
- Marion County, OR36
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −44 |
| 2012 | +148 |
| 2013 | −137 |
| 2014 | +183 |
| 2015 | +586 |
| 2016 | +935 |
| 2017 | +709 |
| 2018 | +919 |
| 2019 | +568 |
| 2021 | +652 |
| 2022 | +616 |
| 2023 | −40 |
| 2024 | +209 |
| 2025 | +294 |
Coos County's economy traces its roots to logging and commercial fishing, and its electorate has shifted steadily rightward over two decades, reaching a nearly 20-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 despite sitting on Oregon's famously scenic southern coast.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 45.9 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 64,827, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,143 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Curry County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Coos County, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/41011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.