Medford, Oregon
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −18.5% |
| 2008 | −6.5% |
| 2012 | −11.3% |
| 2016 | −12.1% |
| 2020 | −4.1% |
| 2024 | −6.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45.1%Harris18,712 | 51.6%Trump21,381 | 3.3% | R+6.4 | R+2.4 | R+5.0 | 41,446 | |
| R | 46.3%Biden20,464 | 50.4%Trump22,264 | 3.3% | R+4.1 | D+8.1 | R+8.5 | 44,207 | |
| R | 38.4%Clinton14,093 | 50.6%Trump18,539 | 11.0% | R+12.1 | R+0.9 | R+14.2 | 36,660 | |
| R | 42.5%Obama14,054 | 53.8%Romney17,781 | 3.7% | R+11.3 | R+4.8 | R+15.1 | 33,074 | |
| R | 45.7%Obama15,654 | 52.2%McCain17,885 | 2.1% | R+6.5 | D+12.0 | R+13.8 | 34,267 | |
| R | 39.9%Kerry14,121 | 58.4%Bush20,676 | 1.7% | R+18.5 | — | R+16.1 | 35,390 |
Medford sits in the Rogue Valley as the region's commercial hub, drawing a mix of retirees, agricultural workers, and healthcare industry employees whose competing interests have kept countywide margins within single digits in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 18.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 86,315, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,230 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Citrus Heights and Wichita.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Medford, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4147000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.