- Lead
- 7,678
- Total
- 119,572
- vs nation
- R+4.9
Medford, OR
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
- Lead
- 4,391
- Total
- 127,165
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Lead
- 9,423
- Total
- 109,327
- vs nation
- R+10.7
- Lead
- 4,552
- Total
- 97,127
- vs nation
- R+8.5
- Lead
- 47
- Total
- 101,047
- vs nation
- R+7.2
- Lead
- 12,153
- Total
- 102,189
- vs nation
- R+9.4
- Lead
- 12,899
- Total
- 84,796
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Lead
- 4,541
- Total
- 73,647
- vs nation
- R+14.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 222,6452024 5-year
- Population density
- 80 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,783 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,9992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.4 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bend, OR · twin score 88.9
presidential history
Party record book
Medford, OR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
62.1%
2,354 votes · D+25.5
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 57.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
75.4%
8,053 votes · R+52.4
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 67.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
59,478votes
46.8% of the vote · R+3.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 54,065 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
63,869votes
50.2% of the vote · R+3.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 61,743 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+31.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+25.5 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +11.7 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+34.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.4 · U.S. R+17.5
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +24.8 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.4 points.
165,335 registered voters · 2024 · up from 160,299 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+1,137 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +18,892 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,072 |
| 2012 | +1,166 |
| 2013 | +1,425 |
| 2014 | +1,985 |
| 2015 | +2,232 |
| 2016 | +2,854 |
| 2017 | +2,468 |
| 2018 | +2,863 |
| 2019 | +1,652 |
| 2021 | +1,368 |
| 2022 | −1,545 |
| 2023 | −219 |
| 2024 | +434 |
| 2025 | +1,137 |
Medford anchors Jackson County, which has trended more conservative than Oregon's urban centers despite steady in-migration from California. Its retiree-heavy demographic and timber-era roots keep it competitive in a reliably blue state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 222,645, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,999 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bend, OR and Truckee-Grass Valley, CA.
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Medford, OR, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.