Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Medford, OR
presidential margin
2008D+0.052012R+4.72016R+8.62020R+3.52024R+6.4
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+6.4
2024
median income$73,999U.S. $80,734 · OR $83,011
median age42.8U.S. 39.1 · OR 40.6
poverty rate12.4%U.S. 12.5% · OR 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.7%U.S. 35.6% · OR 36.7%
non-english9.4%U.S. 22.3% · OR 15.3%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
English15.7%
German14.6%
Irish11.6%
Mexican11.9%
Spaniard0.7%
Spanish0.6%
Filipino0.3%
Korean0.2%
Asian Indian0.1%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.7%
Mainline1.4%
Hindu0.5%
Other faiths0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Medford, OR, Oregon

Akashic
Medford, ORTrumpR+6.4
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Medford, OR, ORA map of the single county of Medford, OR, OR, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Jackson County, OR · R+6.4
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican51.6%61,743
Kamala HarrisDemocratic45.2%54,065
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.We The People3.1%3,764
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Medford, OR, OR — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Jackson County, ORRepublicanR+6.4
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
45.2%Harris54,065
51.6%Trump61,743
3.1%Kennedy3,764
−6.4%
119,572
R
46.8%Biden59,478
50.2%Trump63,869
3.0%Jorgensen3,818
−3.5%
127,165
R
40.7%Clinton44,447
49.3%Trump53,870
10.1%Johnson11,010
−8.6%
109,327
R
45.8%Obama44,468
50.5%Romney49,020
3.7%Johnson3,639
−4.7%
97,127
D
48.6%Obama49,090
48.5%McCain49,043
2.9%Nader2,914
+0.0%
101,047
R
43.4%Kerry44,366
55.3%Bush56,519
1.3%Other1,304
−11.9%
102,189
R
39.1%Gore33,153
54.3%Bush46,052
6.6%Nader5,591
−15.2%
84,796
R
39.7%Clinton29,230
45.9%Dole33,771
14.5%Perot10,646
−6.2%
73,647
D
37.8%Clinton29,146
37.2%Bush28,704
25.0%Perot19,246
+0.6%
77,096
R
45.3%Dukakis28,028
52.5%Bush32,516
2.2%Paul1,368
−7.2%
61,912
R
37.9%Mondale23,230
61.8%Reagan37,895
0.4%Other234
−23.9%
61,359
R
33.9%Carter19,903
56.0%Reagan32,879
10.1%Anderson5,958
−22.1%
58,740
R
46.5%Carter23,384
48.2%Ford24,237
5.2%McCarthy2,615
−1.7%
50,236
R
35.0%McGovern14,529
57.8%Nixon24,003
7.3%Schmitz3,029
−22.8%
41,561
R
36.5%Humphrey12,714
56.2%Nixon19,577
7.3%Wallace2,551
−19.7%
34,842
D
57.2%Johnson19,486
42.8%Goldwater14,598
0.0%
+14.3%
34,084
R
45.2%Kennedy14,531
54.6%Nixon17,554
0.2%Byrd72
−9.4%
32,157
R
42.5%Stevenson12,733
57.5%Eisenhower17,201
0.0%
−14.9%
29,934
R
32.1%Stevenson8,674
67.5%Eisenhower18,279
0.4%Hallinan107
−35.5%
27,060
R
38.5%Truman7,342
58.9%Dewey11,226
2.6%Thurmond504
−20.4%
19,072
R
43.2%Roosevelt6,668
55.7%Dewey8,598
1.0%Thomas160
−12.5%
15,426
R
44.0%Roosevelt6,754
55.5%Willkie8,507
0.5%Thomas78
−11.4%
15,339
D
54.0%Roosevelt7,520
35.0%Landon4,866
11.0%Lemke1,528
+19.1%
13,914
D
55.1%Roosevelt7,519
40.0%Hoover5,459
4.8%Thomas661
+15.1%
13,639
R
23.1%Smith2,463
75.4%Hoover8,053
1.5%Thomas160
−52.4%
10,676
R
20.1%Davis1,840
53.3%Coolidge4,868
26.6%La Follette2,433
−33.1%
9,141
R
34.2%Cox2,503
59.8%Harding4,382
6.0%Debs441
−25.6%
7,326
D
54.3%Wilson4,874
39.4%Hughes3,538
6.3%Benson566
+14.9%
8,978
O
39.7%Wilson2,079
16.2%Taft847
44.2%Roosevelt2,317
Roosevelt +4.5
5,243
R
37.9%Bryan1,537
50.1%Taft2,032
12.0%Debs488
−12.2%
4,057
R
24.5%Parker798
61.2%Roosevelt1,992
14.3%Debs467
−36.7%
3,257
R
46.9%Bryan1,525
48.2%McKinley1,565
4.9%Woolley159
−1.2%
3,249
D
62.1%Bryan2,354
36.6%McKinley1,387
1.2%Palmer47
+25.5%
3,788
O
17.0%Cleveland466
35.0%Harrison959
47.9%Weaver1,312
Weaver +12.9
2,737
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −6.4% in 2024.flipped R · 2012−6.4%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−18.0%
1896+25.5%
1900−1.2%
1904−36.7%
1908−12.2%
1912+23.5%
1916+14.9%
1920−25.6%
1924−33.1%
1928−52.4%
1932+15.1%
1936+19.1%
1940−11.4%
1944−12.5%
1948−20.4%
1952−35.5%
1956−14.9%
1960−9.4%
1964+14.3%
1968−19.7%
1972−22.8%
1976−1.7%
1980−22.1%
1984−23.9%
1988−7.2%
1992+0.6%
1996−6.2%
2000−15.2%
2004−11.9%
2008+0.0%
2012−4.7%
2016−8.6%
2020−3.5%
2024−6.4%
DemocraticRepublican

Medford anchors Jackson County, which has trended more conservative than Oregon's urban centers despite steady in-migration from California. Its retiree-heavy demographic and timber-era roots keep it competitive in a reliably blue state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 52.4 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.

A population of 222,645, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,999 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bend, OR and Truckee-Grass Valley, CA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Bend, OR
88.9twin score
% unaffiliated2016–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Truckee-Grass Valley, CA
88.0twin score
% unaffiliated% Evangelical% Black≠ 12-yr trend
Durango, CO
81.7twin score
% unaffiliated% Black% Evangelical≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Medford, OR, Oregon. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/32780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Medford, OR

counties1
Jackson County

Frequently asked questions

How did Medford, OR, Oregon vote in 2024?
In 2024, Medford, OR, Oregon voted Republican by 6.4 points (R+6.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 119,572 votes cast, 54,065 went Democratic and 61,743 went Republican.
When did Medford, OR, Oregon last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Medford, OR, Oregon voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Medford, OR, Oregon?
Medford, OR, Oregon has a population of 222,645 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Medford, OR, Oregon?
Median household income in Medford, OR, Oregon is $73,999 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Medford, OR, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Medford, OR, Oregon from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.