- Lead
- 15,081
- Total
- 41,496
- vs nation
- R+34.9
Oregon 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 15,238
- Total
- 43,342
- vs nation
- R+39.6
- Lead
- 14,316
- Total
- 37,038
- vs nation
- R+40.7
- Lead
- 11,405
- Total
- 32,919
- vs nation
- R+38.5
- Lead
- 9,913
- Total
- 33,928
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Lead
- 14,332
- Total
- 35,550
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Lead
- 12,571
- Total
- 30,061
- vs nation
- R+42.3
- Lead
- 7,585
- Total
- 25,523
- vs nation
- R+38.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 71,1152024 5-year
- Population density
- 41 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,755 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,2732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+1.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.1 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, OR · twin score 96.7
presidential history
Party record book
Oregon 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
44.0%
1,918 votes · R+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 44.0%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
83.0%
3,269 votes · R+67.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 77.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,482votes
31.1% of the vote · R+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,635 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
28,720votes
66.3% of the vote · R+35.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 27,716 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
−4.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+10.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · −18.1 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
+49.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+67.1 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +45.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering sparsely populated eastern Oregon rangeland, this district delivered a 36.3-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a demographic and economic profile centered on agriculture, natural resources, and small rural communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 1.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 67.1 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.3 points.
A population of 71,115, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,273 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 60.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Oregon 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/41004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.