† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMcMinnvilleOregonUnited States
German18.1%16.3%12.5%
English14.0%14.1%9.5%
Irish10.6%11.1%9.4%
American5.6%4.3%5.3%
Italian3.5%3.5%4.8%
Scottish3.1%3.0%1.3%
Norwegian3.1%3.1%—
Swedish2.6%——
Mexican16.6%11.5%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.4%1.8%
Spanish0.3%0.4%—
Guatemalan0.2%0.4%0.5%
Nicaraguan0.2%——
Salvadoran0.2%0.2%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.4%—
Chinese0.5%0.9%1.3%
Vietnamese0.2%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.2%0.4%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.3%0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
McMinnville
Oregon
United States
Median age
38.9
40.6
39.1
Age 18–24
10.5%
8.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.5%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
McMinnville
Oregon
United States
Median household income
$73,736
$83,011
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.0%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.8%
36.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
McMinnville
Oregon
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.2%
15.3%
22.3%
Spanish
13.8%
9.0%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
McMinnville
Oregon
United States
Catholic
—
11.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
66.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
McMinnville, Oregon
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−5.0%
2008
+8.8%
2012
+4.3%
2016
+4.7%
2020
+10.5%
2024
+10.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
53.5%Harris9,243
42.9%Trump7,409
3.6%
D+10.6
D+0.1
D+12.1
17,270
D
53.5%Biden9,434
43.0%Trump7,575
3.5%
D+10.5
D+5.8
D+6.1
17,635
D
46.4%Clinton6,743
41.7%Trump6,059
11.9%
D+4.7
D+0.4
D+2.6
14,539
D
50.3%Obama6,548
46.0%Romney5,989
3.7%
D+4.3
R+4.5
D+0.4
13,023
D
53.3%Obama6,962
44.5%McCain5,814
2.3%
D+8.8
D+13.8
D+1.5
13,071
R
47.0%Kerry5,845
51.9%Bush6,465
1.1%
R+5.0
—
R+2.5
12,446
McMinnville anchors Yamhill County, a reliably competitive stretch where agricultural heritage and a growing wine-tourism economy have kept margins close in statewide races despite Oregon's broader Democratic lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.6 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 5.0 points in 2004. The 2024 margin was 10.6 points.
A population of 34,596, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,736 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Albany and Walla Walla.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, McMinnville, Oregon voted Democratic by 10.6 points (D+10.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 17,270 votes cast, 9,243 went Democratic and 7,409 went Republican.
When did McMinnville, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which McMinnville, Oregon voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in McMinnville, Oregon?
McMinnville, Oregon has a population of 34,596 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McMinnville, Oregon?
Median household income in McMinnville, Oregon is $73,736 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of McMinnville, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in McMinnville, Oregon from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
