Vermont, Vermont
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −38.8% |
| 1896 | −63.4% |
| 1900 | −52.9% |
| 1904 | −59.1% |
| 1908 | −53.3% |
| 1912 | −12.7% |
| 1916 | −27.2% |
| 1920 | −52.6% |
| 1924 | −62.5% |
| 1928 | −34.0% |
| 1932 | −16.6% |
| 1936 | −13.2% |
| 1940 | −9.9% |
| 1944 | −14.1% |
| 1948 | −24.6% |
| 1952 | −43.2% |
| 1956 | −44.3% |
| 1960 | −17.3% |
| 1964 | +32.6% |
| 1968 | −9.2% |
| 1972 | −26.2% |
| 1976 | −11.2% |
| 1980 | −6.0% |
| 1984 | −17.1% |
| 1988 | −3.5% |
| 1992 | +15.7% |
| 1996 | +22.3% |
| 2000 | +9.9% |
| 2004 | +20.1% |
| 2008 | +37.0% |
| 2012 | +35.6% |
| 2016 | +26.4% |
| 2020 | +35.4% |
| 2024 | +31.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 63.8%Harris235,791 | 32.3%Trump119,395 | 1.6%Kennedy5,905 | 369,422 | ||
| D | 66.1%Biden242,820 | 30.7%Trump112,704 | 1.0%Jorgensen3,608 | 367,428 | ||
| D | 56.7%Clinton178,573 | 30.3%Trump95,369 | 3.2%Johnson10,078 | 315,067 | ||
| D | 66.6%Obama199,239 | 31.0%Romney92,698 | 1.2%Johnson3,487 | 299,290 | ||
| D | 67.5%Obama219,262 | 30.4%McCain98,974 | 1.0%Nader3,339 | 325,046 | ||
| D | 58.9%Kerry184,067 | 38.8%Bush121,180 | 1.4%Nader4,494 | 312,309 | ||
| D | 50.6%Gore149,022 | 40.7%Bush119,775 | 6.9%Nader20,374 | 294,308 | ||
| D | 53.4%Clinton137,894 | 31.1%Dole80,352 | 12.0%Perot31,024 | 258,449 | ||
| D | 46.1%Clinton133,592 | 30.4%Bush88,122 | 22.8%Perot65,991 | 289,701 | ||
| R | 47.6%Dukakis115,775 | 51.1%Bush124,331 | 0.5%Scattering1,134 | 243,333 | ||
| R | 40.8%Mondale95,730 | 58.0%Reagan135,865 | 0.4%Bergland1,002 | 234,446 | ||
| R | 38.4%Carter81,891 | 44.4%Reagan94,598 | 14.9%Anderson31,761 | 213,207 | ||
| R | 43.1%Carter81,044 | 54.3%Ford102,085 | 2.1%McCarthy4,001 | 187,855 | ||
| R | 36.5%McGovern68,174 | 62.7%Nixon117,149 | 0.9%Schmitz1,623 | 186,946 | ||
| R | 43.5%Humphrey70,255 | 52.8%Nixon85,142 | 3.7%Wallace6,007 | 161,404 | ||
| D | 66.3%Johnson108,127 | 33.7%Goldwater54,942 | 0.0%Hass20 | 163,089 | ||
| R | 41.3%Kennedy69,186 | 58.6%Nixon98,131 | 0.0%Byrd7 | 167,324 | ||
| R | 27.8%Stevenson42,549 | 72.2%Eisenhower110,390 | 0.0%Andrews39 | 152,978 | ||
| R | 28.2%Stevenson43,355 | 71.5%Eisenhower109,717 | 0.3%Hallinan485 | 153,557 | ||
| R | 36.9%Truman45,557 | 61.5%Dewey75,926 | 1.5%Thurmond1,899 | 123,382 | ||
| R | 42.9%Roosevelt53,820 | 57.1%Dewey71,527 | 0.0%Thomas14 | 125,361 | ||
| R | 44.9%Roosevelt64,269 | 54.8%Willkie78,371 | 0.3%Thomas422 | 143,062 | ||
| R | 43.2%Roosevelt62,124 | 56.4%Landon81,023 | 0.4%Lemke542 | 143,689 | ||
| R | 41.1%Roosevelt56,266 | 57.7%Hoover78,984 | 1.3%Thomas1,730 | 136,980 | ||
| R | 32.9%Smith44,440 | 66.9%Hoover90,404 | 0.3%Thomas347 | 135,191 | ||
| R | 15.7%Davis16,124 | 78.2%Coolidge80,498 | 6.1%La Follette6,295 | 102,917 | ||
| R | 23.3%Cox20,919 | 75.8%Harding68,212 | 0.9%Debs830 | 89,961 | ||
| R | 35.2%Wilson22,708 | 62.4%Hughes40,250 | 2.4%Benson1,517 | 64,475 | ||
| O | 24.4%Wilson15,350 | 37.1%Taft23,303 | 38.5%Roosevelt24,152 | 62,805 | ||
| R | 21.8%Bryan11,496 | 75.1%Taft39,552 | 3.1%Debs1,635 | 52,683 | ||
| R | 18.8%Parker9,777 | 78.0%Roosevelt40,459 | 3.2%Debs1,652 | 51,888 | ||
| R | 22.9%Bryan12,849 | 75.7%McKinley42,569 | 1.4%Woolley794 | 56,212 | ||
| R | 16.7%Bryan10,640 | 80.1%McKinley51,127 | 3.3%Palmer2,080 | 63,847 | ||
| R | 29.3%Cleveland16,325 | 68.1%Harrison37,992 | 2.7%Weaver1,479 | 55,796 |
2026 election
On the ballot
Governorno nominee yet
Phil Scottpresumptive nomineeAly RichardsAmanda Janoo
Not an open seat: Vermont has 2-year terms with no term limit; popular moderate incumbent Gov. Phil Scott (R) announced May 28 2026 he is running for a 6th term, with no serious primary challenger (presumptive). The Democratic primary (Aug 11, not held) is contested with no clear front-runner (declared Democrats include Aly Richards, Amanda Janoo, and Jeffrey Wilson). Scott routinely wins this blue state by wide margins.
Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0 | D | 62.3%218,398 | 29.8%104,451 | 350,616 |
| 2022 | 0 | D | 62.6%176,494 | 27.8%78,397 | 282,026 |
| 2020 | 0 | D | 67.3%238,827 | 27.0%95,830 | 354,837 |
| 2018 | 0 | D | 69.2%188,547 | 26.0%70,705 | 272,451 |
| 2016 | 0 | D | 89.5%264,414 | 0.0%0 | 295,334 |
| 2014 | 0 | D | 64.4%123,349 | 31.0%59,432 | 191,504 |
| 2012 | 0 | D | 71.9%208,600 | 23.3%67,543 | 289,931 |
| 2010 | 0 | D | 64.6%154,006 | 32.0%76,403 | 238,521 |
| 2008 | 0 | D | 83.2%248,203 | 0.0%0 | 298,151 |
| 2006 | 0 | D | 53.2%139,815 | 44.5%117,023 | 262,726 |
| 2004 | 0 | O | 7.1%21,684 | 24.4%74,271 | 305,008 |
| 2002 | 0 | O | 0.0%0 | 32.3%72,813 | 225,255 |
| 2000 | 0 | O | 5.3%14,918 | 18.3%51,977 | 283,366 |
| 1998 | 0 | O | 0.0%0 | 32.9%70,740 | 215,133 |
| 1996 | 0 | O | 9.4%23,830 | 32.6%83,021 | 254,706 |
| 1994 | 0 | O | 0.0%0 | 46.6%98,523 | 211,449 |
| 1992 | 0 | O | 7.9%22,279 | 30.9%86,901 | 281,162 |
| 1990 | 0 | O | 3.0%6,315 | 39.5%82,938 | 209,856 |
| 1988 | 0 | R | 18.9%45,330 | 41.2%98,937 | 240,131 |
| 1986 | 0 | R | 0.0%0 | 89.1%168,403 | 188,954 |
| 1984 | 0 | R | 26.7%60,360 | 65.4%148,025 | 226,297 |
| 1982 | 0 | R | 23.2%38,296 | 69.2%114,191 | 164,951 |
| 1980 | 0 | R | 0.0%0 | 79.2%154,274 | 194,697 |
| 1978 | 0 | R | 19.3%23,228 | 75.3%90,688 | 120,502 |
| 1976 | 0 | R | 32.6%60,202 | 67.4%124,458 | 184,783 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | O | 0.0%0 | 32.0%116,512 | 363,549 |
| 2022 | D | 68.4%196,575 | 28.0%80,468 | 287,386 |
| 2018 | O | 0.0%0 | 27.4%74,663 | 272,330 |
| 2016 | D | 61.3%192,243 | 33.1%103,637 | 313,500 |
| 2012 | O | 0.0%0 | 24.9%72,898 | 292,510 |
| 2010 | D | 64.4%151,281 | 30.9%72,699 | 235,065 |
| 2006 | O | 0.0%0 | 32.4%84,924 | 262,152 |
| 2004 | D | 70.7%216,972 | 24.6%75,398 | 307,034 |
| 2000 | R | 25.5%73,352 | 65.6%189,133 | 288,139 |
| 1998 | D | 72.4%154,567 | 22.5%48,051 | 213,407 |
| 1994 | R | 40.6%85,868 | 50.4%106,505 | 211,480 |
| 1992 | D | 54.2%154,762 | 43.4%123,854 | 285,517 |
| 1988 | R | 29.8%71,460 | 68.0%163,183 | 240,108 |
| 1986 | D | 63.2%124,123 | 34.5%67,798 | 196,532 |
| 1982 | R | 47.3%79,340 | 50.3%84,449 | 167,815 |
| 1980 | D | 49.8%104,176 | 48.5%101,421 | 209,002 |
| 1976 | R | 45.3%85,682 | 50.0%94,481 | 189,060 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 474,436 |
| 2018 | 491,253 |
| 2020 | 491,483 |
| 2022 | 503,698 |
| 2024 | 503,249 |
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Vermont gave Kamala Harris the widest margin of any state — and is the state most likely to re-elect a Republican governor by an equally wide one.
- Most Democratic state in 2024
- D+31.5 — the widest Democratic presidential margin of any of the 50 states, behind only D.C. nationally; D+35.4 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
- Democratic for president since 1992
- Every election from Bill Clinton’s D+15.7 in 1992 onward; first-ever Democratic vote in 1964 (D+32.6), Republican every prior cycle · MIT Election Lab
- Chittenden is the bluest, and the largest
- Burlington’s county voted D+53.1 — the widest in the state — and cast ~26% of the statewide vote · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Even the reddest county is mild
- Essex County R+15.9 — the state’s widest Republican margin; Orleans only R+1.5; just 2 of 14 counties Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
- White, old, and unaffiliated
- 90% White; median age 43.4 (3rd of 50); 62.4% claim no religion (7th of 50); 44.1% hold a bachelor’s (3rd) · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- A Republican governor in 2026
- Gov. Phil Scott (R), in office since 2017, is the presumptive nominee for a 6th term; the Democratic primary is unsettled; no Senate race · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Maine
Maine
80.0twin score
% Whitemedian age% Latino≠ 2020 margin
New Hampshire
New Hampshire
72.0twin score
median age% White% Black≠ 2012 margin
Oregon
Oregon
66.2twin score
% unaffiliated% Black2024 margin≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/VT/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Vermont
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont voted Democratic by 31.5 points (D+31.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 369,422 votes cast, 235,791 went Democratic and 119,395 went Republican.
When did Vermont last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont?
Vermont has a population of 647,106 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont?
Median household income in Vermont is $81,203 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Vermont from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.