Vermont — Elections 1892–2024

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	320,467	493,535	64.9%	B/A
2018 · Midterm	268,758	494,674	54.3%	B/A
2020 · Presidential	368,075	497,391	74.0%	B/A
2022 · Midterm	286,300	516,776	55.4%	B/A
2024 · Presidential	369,422	521,798	70.8%	C/A

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

67.5%

219,262 votes · D+37.0

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 66.6%

Republican

William McKinley1896

80.1%

51,127 votes · R+63.4

Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 78.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

242,820votes

66.1% of the vote · D+35.4

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 235,791 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

135,865votes

58.0% of the vote · R+17.1

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 124,331 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+33.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+31.5 · U.S. R+1.5

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +31.7 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+57.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+63.4 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +45.3 pts

2026 election

On the ballot

Governor

Phil ScottnomineeAmanda JanoonomineeAly Richards

Gov. Phil Scott, seeking a sixth term, took 98.5% of the GOP primary. Economist Amanda Janoo, Progressive-endorsed, upset Aly Richards 49.1%-46.6% in the Democratic primary.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. House elections · 25 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	At-large	D	62.3%218,398	29.8%104,451	350,616
2022	At-large	D	62.6%176,494	27.8%78,397	282,026
2020	At-large	D	67.3%238,827	27.0%95,830	354,837
2018	At-large	D	69.2%188,547	26.0%70,705	272,451
2016	At-large	D	89.5%264,414	0.0%0	295,334
2014	At-large	D	64.4%123,349	31.0%59,432	191,504
2012	At-large	D	71.9%208,600	23.3%67,543	289,931
2010	At-large	D	64.6%154,006	32.0%76,403	238,521
2008	At-large	D	83.2%248,203	0.0%0	298,151
2006	At-large	D	53.2%139,815	44.5%117,023	262,726
2004	At-large	O	7.1%21,684	24.4%74,271	305,008
2002	At-large	O	0.0%0	32.3%72,813	225,255
2000	At-large	O	5.3%14,918	18.3%51,977	283,366
1998	At-large	O	0.0%0	32.9%70,740	215,133
1996	At-large	O	9.4%23,830	32.6%83,021	254,706
1994	At-large	O	0.0%0	46.6%98,523	211,449
1992	At-large	O	7.9%22,279	30.9%86,901	281,162
1990	At-large	O	3.0%6,315	39.5%82,938	209,856
1988	At-large	R	18.9%45,330	41.2%98,937	240,131
1986	At-large	R	0.0%0	89.1%168,403	188,954
1984	At-large	R	26.7%60,360	65.4%148,025	226,297
1982	At-large	R	23.2%38,296	69.2%114,191	164,951
1980	At-large	R	0.0%0	79.2%154,274	194,697
1978	At-large	R	19.3%23,228	75.3%90,688	120,502
1976	At-large	R	32.6%60,202	67.4%124,458	184,783

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Vermont
Year	Total registered
2016	474,436
2018	491,253
2020	491,483
2022	503,698
2024	503,249

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−726 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −5,258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Vermont in Vermont: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−594
2012	−1,756
2013	−537
2014	−1,719
2015	−2,162
2016	−2,212
2017	−854
2018	−179
2019	−682
2021	+4,838
2022	+1,111
2023	+782
2024	−568
2025	−726

Vermont gave Kamala Harris the widest margin of any state — and is the state most likely to re-elect a Republican governor by an equally wide one.

Most Democratic state in 2024: D+31.5 — the widest Democratic presidential margin of any of the 50 states, behind only D.C. nationally; D+35.4 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
Democratic for president since 1992: Every election from Bill Clinton’s D+15.7 in 1992 onward; first-ever Democratic vote in 1964 (D+32.6), Republican every prior cycle · MIT Election Lab
Chittenden is the bluest, and the largest: Burlington’s county voted D+53.1 — the widest in the state — and cast ~26% of the statewide vote · MIT Election Lab 2024
Even the reddest county is mild: Essex County R+15.9 — the state’s widest Republican margin; Orleans only R+1.5; just 2 of 14 counties Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
White, old, and unaffiliated: 90% White; median age 43.4 (3rd of 50); 62.4% claim no religion (7th of 50); 44.1% hold a bachelor’s (3rd) · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
A Republican governor in 2026: Gov. Phil Scott (R), in office since 2017, is the presumptive nominee for a 6th term; the Democratic primary is unsettled; no Senate race · Akashic 2026 forecast

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Maine

80.0twin score

% Whitemedian age% Latino≠ 2020 margin

New Hampshire

72.0twin score

median age% White% Black≠ 2012 margin

Oregon

66.2twin score

% unaffiliated% Black2024 margin≠ population scale

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/VT/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont voted Democratic by 31.5 points (D+31.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 369,422 votes cast, 235,791 went Democratic and 119,395 went Republican.

When did Vermont last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont?

Vermont has a population of 647,106 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont?

Median household income in Vermont is $81,203 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Vermont from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	320,467	493,535	64.9%	B/A
2018 · Midterm	268,758	494,674	54.3%	B/A
2020 · Presidential	368,075	497,391	74.0%	B/A
2022 · Midterm	286,300	516,776	55.4%	B/A
2024 · Presidential	369,422	521,798	70.8%	C/A

presidential history

Party record book

Vermont · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

67.5%

219,262 votes · D+37.0

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 66.6%

Republican

William McKinley1896

80.1%

51,127 votes · R+63.4

Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 78.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Joe Biden2020

242,820votes

66.1% of the vote · D+35.4

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 235,791 votes

Republican

Ronald Reagan1984

135,865votes

58.0% of the vote · R+17.1

Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 124,331 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Kamala Harris2024

+33.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+31.5 · U.S. R+1.5

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +31.7 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+57.3pts R vs U.S.

Place R+63.4 · U.S. R+6.1

Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +45.3 pts

2026 election

On the ballot

Governor

Phil ScottnomineeAmanda JanoonomineeAly Richards

Gov. Phil Scott, seeking a sixth term, took 98.5% of the GOP primary. Economist Amanda Janoo, Progressive-endorsed, upset Aly Richards 49.1%-46.6% in the Democratic primary.

Full 2026 forecast →

U.S. House elections · 25 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC BY 4.0.
Year	District	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	At-large	D	62.3%218,398	29.8%104,451	350,616
2022	At-large	D	62.6%176,494	27.8%78,397	282,026
2020	At-large	D	67.3%238,827	27.0%95,830	354,837
2018	At-large	D	69.2%188,547	26.0%70,705	272,451
2016	At-large	D	89.5%264,414	0.0%0	295,334
2014	At-large	D	64.4%123,349	31.0%59,432	191,504
2012	At-large	D	71.9%208,600	23.3%67,543	289,931
2010	At-large	D	64.6%154,006	32.0%76,403	238,521
2008	At-large	D	83.2%248,203	0.0%0	298,151
2006	At-large	D	53.2%139,815	44.5%117,023	262,726
2004	At-large	O	7.1%21,684	24.4%74,271	305,008
2002	At-large	O	0.0%0	32.3%72,813	225,255
2000	At-large	O	5.3%14,918	18.3%51,977	283,366
1998	At-large	O	0.0%0	32.9%70,740	215,133
1996	At-large	O	9.4%23,830	32.6%83,021	254,706
1994	At-large	O	0.0%0	46.6%98,523	211,449
1992	At-large	O	7.9%22,279	30.9%86,901	281,162
1990	At-large	O	3.0%6,315	39.5%82,938	209,856
1988	At-large	R	18.9%45,330	41.2%98,937	240,131
1986	At-large	R	0.0%0	89.1%168,403	188,954
1984	At-large	R	26.7%60,360	65.4%148,025	226,297
1982	At-large	R	23.2%38,296	69.2%114,191	164,951
1980	At-large	R	0.0%0	79.2%154,274	194,697
1978	At-large	R	19.3%23,228	75.3%90,688	120,502
1976	At-large	R	32.6%60,202	67.4%124,458	184,783

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Vermont
Year	Total registered
2016	474,436
2018	491,253
2020	491,483
2022	503,698
2024	503,249

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net domestic migration over time

−726 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −5,258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Domestic migration in Vermont in Vermont: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−594
2012	−1,756
2013	−537
2014	−1,719
2015	−2,162
2016	−2,212
2017	−854
2018	−179
2019	−682
2021	+4,838
2022	+1,111
2023	+782
2024	−568
2025	−726

Vermont gave Kamala Harris the widest margin of any state — and is the state most likely to re-elect a Republican governor by an equally wide one.

Most Democratic state in 2024: D+31.5 — the widest Democratic presidential margin of any of the 50 states, behind only D.C. nationally; D+35.4 in 2020 · MIT Election Lab
Democratic for president since 1992: Every election from Bill Clinton’s D+15.7 in 1992 onward; first-ever Democratic vote in 1964 (D+32.6), Republican every prior cycle · MIT Election Lab
Chittenden is the bluest, and the largest: Burlington’s county voted D+53.1 — the widest in the state — and cast ~26% of the statewide vote · MIT Election Lab 2024
Even the reddest county is mild: Essex County R+15.9 — the state’s widest Republican margin; Orleans only R+1.5; just 2 of 14 counties Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
White, old, and unaffiliated: 90% White; median age 43.4 (3rd of 50); 62.4% claim no religion (7th of 50); 44.1% hold a bachelor’s (3rd) · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
A Republican governor in 2026: Gov. Phil Scott (R), in office since 2017, is the presumptive nominee for a 6th term; the Democratic primary is unsettled; no Senate race · Akashic 2026 forecast

Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Maine

80.0twin score

% Whitemedian age% Latino≠ 2020 margin

New Hampshire

72.0twin score

median age% White% Black≠ 2012 margin

Oregon

66.2twin score

% unaffiliated% Black2024 margin≠ population scale

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/VT/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/state/VT/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Vermont — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Frequently asked questions

How did Vermont vote in 2024?

In 2024, Vermont voted Democratic by 31.5 points (D+31.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 369,422 votes cast, 235,791 went Democratic and 119,395 went Republican.

When did Vermont last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Vermont voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Vermont?

Vermont has a population of 647,106 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Vermont?

Median household income in Vermont is $81,203 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.

What is the political history of Vermont?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Vermont from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.

Measure	Vermont	United States
Median age	43.4	39.1
Age 18–24	10.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.5%	17.2%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Median household income	$81,203	$84,427
Poverty rate	10.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	44.1%	35.6%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Owner-occupied homes	73.2%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	26.8%	34.8%
Median home value	$316,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$1,234	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	19.4%	10.1%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Mean commute	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	68.5%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	16.9%	15.1%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.5%	22.3%
Spanish	1.3%	13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)	1.2%	0.7%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Catholic	20.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	62.4%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	5.6%	5.2%

Measure	Vermont	United States
Foreign-born residents	4.3%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	2.7%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.5%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	6.2%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.453	0.483

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

On the ballot

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Vermont

Frequently asked questions

President margin by year

President results by year

Key facts

Party record book

Highest vote share

Most votes

Best relative to the U.S.

On the ballot

U.S. House

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Compare two places, side by side

Places within Vermont

Frequently asked questions