Middlebury, Vermont
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +43.4% |
| 2008 | +59.4% |
| 2012 | +63.1% |
| 2016 | +57.1% |
| 2020 | +63.5% |
| 2024 | +58.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 77.9%Harris2,726 | 19.3%Trump675 | 2.8% | D+58.6 | R+4.8 | D+60.1 | 3,499 | |
| D | 80.3%Biden2,800 | 16.8%Trump587 | 2.9% | D+63.5 | D+6.3 | D+59.0 | 3,487 | |
| D | 73.3%Clinton2,161 | 16.1%Trump476 | 10.6% | D+57.1 | R+6.0 | D+55.0 | 2,949 | |
| D | 80.6%Obama2,216 | 17.5%Romney481 | 1.9% | D+63.1 | D+3.7 | D+59.3 | 2,748 | |
| D | 78.9%Obama2,235 | 19.5%McCain552 | 1.6% | D+59.4 | D+16.1 | D+52.2 | 2,831 | |
| D | 71.1%Kerry1,927 | 27.7%Bush752 | 1.1% | D+43.4 | — | D+45.8 | 2,710 |
Home to Middlebury College, this small Champlain Valley hub skews heavily toward high educational attainment, a demographic profile that has correlated with consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent statewide cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.5 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.6 points.
A population of 7,220, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,250 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Williamstown and Hanover.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Middlebury, Vermont. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5044275/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.