- Lead
- 9,100
- Total
- 24,725
- vs nation
- D+38.3
Vermont Addison Senatorial District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,753
- Total
- 24,159
- vs nation
- D+35.9
- Lead
- 6,717
- Total
- 20,913
- vs nation
- D+30.0
- Lead
- 7,854
- Total
- 19,606
- vs nation
- D+36.2
- Lead
- 8,425
- Total
- 21,092
- vs nation
- D+32.7
- Lead
- 4,652
- Total
- 20,333
- vs nation
- D+25.3
- Lead
- 2,343
- Total
- 19,083
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Lead
- 3,816
- Total
- 16,948
- vs nation
- D+14.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+36.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,4252024 5-year
- Population density
- 47 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 866 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,5482024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+81.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington Senatorial District, VT · twin score 94.5
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Addison Senatorial District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
69.0%
14,553 votes · D+39.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 68.8%
Republican
William McKinley1896
89.0%
4,484 votes · R+81.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 88.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
16,540votes
68.5% of the vote · D+40.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 16,425 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
8,231votes
57.8% of the vote · R+16.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 7,635 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+38.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+36.8 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +36.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+75.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+81.0 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +65.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored by Middlebury and the Lake Champlain shoreline, this district delivered a nearly 36.8-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the college-town and rural-Democratic mix characteristic of Addison County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 81.0 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.8 points.
A population of 40,425, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,548 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington Senatorial District and Bennington Senatorial District.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Addison Senatorial District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/50ADD/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.