- Lead
- 1,973
- Total
- 5,881
- vs nation
- D+35.0
Vermont Addison-4 State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,168
- Total
- 5,633
- vs nation
- D+34.0
- Lead
- 1,410
- Total
- 4,852
- vs nation
- D+27.0
- Lead
- 1,805
- Total
- 4,573
- vs nation
- D+35.6
- Lead
- 1,953
- Total
- 4,874
- vs nation
- D+32.8
- Lead
- 1,209
- Total
- 4,676
- vs nation
- D+28.3
- Lead
- 667
- Total
- 4,330
- vs nation
- D+14.9
- Lead
- 1,005
- Total
- 3,834
- vs nation
- D+17.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,9402024 5-year
- Population density
- 53 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 167 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,8862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+40.1 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Addison-3 State House District, VT · twin score 99.7
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Addison-4 State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
68.9%
3,358 votes · D+40.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 68.1%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
86.8%
1,077 votes · R+75.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 86.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,801votes
67.5% of the vote · D+38.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 3,798 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,826votes
56.1% of the vote · R+13.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,825 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+35.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +35.0 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+71.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+77.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +64.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Addison-4 covers a stretch of Vermont's Champlain Valley where the 2024 presidential margin reached D+34, placing it among the state's most reliably left-leaning rural districts despite its small, largely agricultural population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.1 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 77.7 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.5 points.
A population of 8,940, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,886 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Addison-3 State House District and Addison-5 State House District.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Vermont Addison-4 State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50A-4/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.