HarrisDemocratic55.5%1,407TrumpRepublican41.4%1,049OtherAll other candidates3.2%80
D+14.1- Lead
- 358
- Total
- 2,536
- vs nation
- D+15.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic55.8%1,409TrumpRepublican40.2%1,017OtherAll other candidates4.0%101
D+15.5- Lead
- 392
- Total
- 2,527
- vs nation
- D+11.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.7%1,072TrumpRepublican38.5%848OtherAll other candidates12.8%283
D+10.2- Lead
- 224
- Total
- 2,203
- vs nation
- D+8.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.1%1,239RomneyRepublican36.7%743OtherAll other candidates2.2%45
D+24.5- Lead
- 496
- Total
- 2,027
- vs nation
- D+20.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic61.4%1,359McCainRepublican36.6%809OtherAll other candidates2.0%45
D+24.9- Lead
- 550
- Total
- 2,213
- vs nation
- D+17.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic53.8%1,158BushRepublican43.5%936OtherAll other candidates2.7%59
D+10.3- Lead
- 222
- Total
- 2,153
- vs nation
- D+12.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic45.7%955BushRepublican43.8%916OtherAll other candidates10.4%218
D+1.9- Lead
- 39
- Total
- 2,089
- vs nation
- D+1.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic45.5%882DoleRepublican33.1%642OtherAll other candidates21.3%413
D+12.4- Lead
- 240
- Total
- 1,937
- vs nation
- D+3.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,1842024 5-year
- Population density
- 27 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 153 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,2082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.9 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.5 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Addison-5 State House District, VT · twin score 97.0
presidential history
Party record book
Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
61.4%
1,359 votes · D+24.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 61.1%
Republican
William McKinley1896
88.3%
543 votes · R+79.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 85.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,409votes
55.8% of the vote · D+15.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,407 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,049votes
41.4% of the vote · D+14.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,017 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+20.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +17.6 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+73.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.5 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1900 · +60.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJim CaseyState House · Addison-Rutland
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Spanning farming communities between the Green Mountains and Lake Champlain, this low-population district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential margin landing at 13.6 points — notable for its rural character.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 79.5 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.1 points.
A population of 4,184, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,208 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Addison-5 State House District and Addison-2 State House District.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Addison-5 State House District
Vermont
97.0twin score
population scale2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Addison-2 State House District
Vermont
97.0twin score
population scale2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Addison-3 State House District
Vermont
96.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/50A-R/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Vermont at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District voted Democratic by 14.1 points (D+14.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,536 votes cast, 1,407 went Democratic and 1,049 went Republican.
When did Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District?
Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District has a population of 4,184 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District?
Median household income in Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District is $90,208 — above the national median of $80,734. The Vermont state median is $81,203.
What is the political history of Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Vermont Addison-Rutland State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.