HarrisDemocratic50.7%418,488TrumpRepublican47.9%395,523OliverLibertarian0.5%4,425
D+2.8- Lead
- 22,965
- Total
- 826,189
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Turnout
- 74.7%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+2.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,394,8682024 5-year
- Population density
- 156 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,954 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,0312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+42.8 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Maine, ME · twin score 84.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.7%829,090 participants ÷ 1,109,601 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.6%–56.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 757,669 | 1,027,630 | 73.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 581,551 | 1,048,201 | 55.5% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 814,499 | 1,065,299 | 76.5% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 626,931 | 1,093,456 | 57.3% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 829,090 | 1,109,601 | 74.7% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
63.9%
184,064 votes · D+27.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 54.4%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
68.7%
267,051 votes · R+37.7
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 68.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
424,937votes
52.7% of the vote · D+7.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 418,488 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
395,523votes
47.9% of the vote · D+2.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 365,660 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+5.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · +5.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+36.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.8 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +22.5 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governorno nominee yet
Kelly Ayottepresumptive nomineeCinde Warmingtonpresumptive nominee
Not an open seat: NH governors serve 2-year terms with no term limit; incumbent Gov. Kelly Ayotte (R) filed for re-election June 2026 and faces only minor primary challengers (presumptive). Cinde Warmington (former Executive Councilor, 2024 runner-up) is the only serious Democrat who filed (presumptive). Sept 8 primary not yet held. Several independents (e.g., Jon Kiper) must still collect signatures by Aug 5 for the general ballot; omitted pending ballot access.
U.S. Senateopen seatno nominee yet
Chris Pappaspresumptive nomineeJohn E. SununuScott Brown
OPEN: Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) is not seeking re-election. Primary Sept 8 (not yet held). Rep. Chris Pappas is the clear Democratic frontrunner; former Sen. John E. Sununu leads former Sen. Scott Brown for the GOP nod.
U.S. House elections · 50 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 | 53.5% | 46.4% | 804,626 | |
| D 2 | 54.9% | 45.0% | 617,546 | |
| D 2 | 52.6% | 45.0% | 787,102 | |
| D 2 | 54.5% | 43.6% | 570,744 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+5.1
Presidential vote · 2024D+2.8
New Hampshire registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 7.9-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
956,346 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+6,554 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +45,604 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,677 |
| 2012 | −896 |
| 2013 | −1,714 |
| 2014 | +2,964 |
| 2015 | −1,133 |
| 2016 | +1,719 |
| 2017 | +4,126 |
| 2018 | +2,784 |
| 2019 | +4,469 |
| 2021 | +8,626 |
| 2022 | +9,899 |
| 2023 | +4,458 |
| 2024 | +5,425 |
| 2025 | +6,554 |
New Hampshire voted for George W. Bush in 2000, then went Democratic in the six elections since — never by more than ten points.
- Swing-state line
- R+1.3 (2000), then Democratic six straight: D+7.4 (2020) → D+2.8 (2024), a 4.6-pt move to Trump · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest county
- Grafton (Dartmouth / Hanover) D+19.8; Strafford (UNH / Durham) D+12.0 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Reddest county
- Coos (the North Country) R+13.7 — after R+5.9 in 2020 and D+17.5 in 2012 · MIT Election Lab
- The hinge
- Hillsborough (Manchester / Nashua), 28% of the state’s vote: R+0.2 (2016) → D+7.6 (2020) → D+2.9 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Least religiously affiliated
- 72.8% claim no denomination — 1st of 50; 47th in Evangelical adherence · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- Affluent, old, low-poverty
- 6th in income ($99,031), 1st-lowest poverty (7.3%), 2nd-oldest (median age 43.5); no sales or income tax · ACS 2024 5-year
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Maine
Maine
84.4twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian age% White≠ median income
Vermont
Vermont
72.0twin score
median age% White% Black≠ 2012 margin
Oregon
Oregon
56.0twin score
% unaffiliated% Black2004 margin≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NH/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within New Hampshire
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 2.8 points (D+2.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 826,189 votes cast, 418,488 went Democratic and 395,523 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in New Hampshire?
New Hampshire has a population of 1,394,868 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire?
Median household income in New Hampshire is $99,031 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in New Hampshire from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 20 went Republican.