Dover, New Hampshire
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +19.4% |
| 2008 | +27.9% |
| 2012 | +22.0% |
| 2016 | +23.6% |
| 2020 | +32.2% |
| 2024 | +30.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 64.8%Harris12,655 | 34.1%Trump6,650 | 1.1% | D+30.8 | R+1.4 | D+32.2 | 19,525 | |
| D | 65.2%Biden12,508 | 33.0%Trump6,331 | 1.8% | D+32.2 | D+8.6 | D+27.7 | 19,185 | |
| D | 58.2%Clinton10,118 | 34.6%Trump6,015 | 7.3% | D+23.6 | D+1.6 | D+21.5 | 17,395 | |
| D | 60.1%Obama9,730 | 38.0%Romney6,162 | 1.9% | D+22.0 | R+5.8 | D+18.2 | 16,199 | |
| D | 63.6%Obama10,217 | 35.8%McCain5,743 | 0.6% | D+27.9 | D+8.5 | D+20.6 | 16,060 | |
| D | 59.4%Kerry9,222 | 40.0%Bush6,209 | 0.7% | D+19.4 | — | D+21.9 | 15,534 |
Dover, a former mill city on the Cocheco River, has shifted toward Democratic margins in recent cycles while retaining a working-class residential base that keeps competitive races within single digits.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.8 points.
A population of 33,364, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $94,829 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Concord and Westbrook.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Dover, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3318820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.