Akashic

county

Strafford County, NH

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English21.7%18.3%9.5%

Irish21.6%20.6%9.4%

French10.7%10.5%1.6%

German9.7%8.6%12.5%

Italian8.5%9.8%4.8%

French Canadian6.3%7.2%—

Scottish4.0%2.1%1.3%

American4.0%4.2%5.3%

Puerto Rican0.9%1.4%1.8%

Mexican0.8%0.8%11.3%

Dominican0.3%0.8%0.7%

Spanish0.3%0.2%—

Spaniard0.2%——

Asian Indian0.5%0.7%1.4%

Indonesian0.5%——

Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%

Filipino0.4%0.3%0.9%

Korean0.3%0.2%0.4%

Vietnamese0.2%0.2%0.6%

Nepalese0.2%——

African American†0.5%0.5%9.9%

Jamaican0.3%—0.4%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median age	38.2	43.5	39.1
Age 18–24	14.4%	8.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	17.1%	20.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Median household income	$88,570	$99,031	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.7%	7.3%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	39.3%	40.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	5.3%	8.0%	22.3%
Spanish	1.4%	2.6%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Strafford County	New Hampshire	United States
Catholic	14.1%	16.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	5.2%	4.8%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	76.2%	72.8%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.6% of 107,215 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic55.3%42,374TrumpRepublican43.2%33,163OliverLibertarian0.6%423

D+12.0

Lead: 9,211
Total: 76,690
vs nation: D+13.5
Turnout: 71.6%

BidenDemocratic56.5%41,721TrumpRepublican41.3%30,489JorgensenLibertarian1.9%1,386

D+15.2

Lead: 11,232
Total: 73,805
vs nation: D+10.8
Turnout: 72.3%

ClintonDemocratic50.6%34,894TrumpRepublican42.1%29,072JohnsonLibertarian4.7%3,258

D+8.4

Lead: 5,822
Total: 69,000
vs nation: D+6.3
Turnout: 71.6%

ObamaDemocratic56.3%36,026RomneyRepublican41.8%26,729JohnsonLibertarian1.3%856

D+14.5

Lead: 9,297
Total: 63,969
vs nation: D+10.7
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic59.8%37,990McCainRepublican39.4%25,021OtherAll other candidates0.8%538

D+20.4

Lead: 12,969
Total: 63,549
vs nation: D+13.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic55.6%32,942BushRepublican43.6%25,825OtherAll other candidates0.9%514

D+12.0

Lead: 7,117
Total: 59,281
vs nation: D+14.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic51.4%25,400BushRepublican42.7%21,108NaderGreen4.6%2,273

D+8.7

Lead: 4,292
Total: 49,393
vs nation: D+8.2
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic54.8%23,475DoleRepublican33.8%14,484PerotReform9.5%4,088

D+21.0

Lead: 8,991
Total: 42,843
vs nation: D+12.5
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+12.0MIT Election Lab
Population: 132,5752024 5-year
Median household income: $88,5702024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.6%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+36.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+40.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Merrimack County, NH · twin score 97.9

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 71.6%76,812 participants ÷ 107,215 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 54.2%–54.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	70,152	97,920	71.6%	B/A
2018 · Midterm	54,153	100,234	54.0%	B/A
2020 · Presidential	74,580	103,136	72.3%	B/A
2022 · Midterm	57,779	105,147	55.0%	C/A
2024 · Presidential	76,812	107,215	71.6%	B/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

40 precincts · 76,688 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Strafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -017-Dover017-Dover	12,655	6,650	355	19,660	64.4%	33.8%	D+30.5
Precinct -017-Rochester017-Rochester	8,264	8,881	233	17,378	47.6%	51.1%	R+3.6
Precinct -017-Durham017-Durham	6,047	2,270	135	8,452	71.5%	26.9%	D+44.7
Precinct -017-Somersworth017-Somersworth	3,532	2,808	86	6,426	55.0%	43.7%	D+11.3
Precinct -017-Barrington017-Barrington	3,241	2,985	94	6,320	51.3%	47.2%	D+4.1
Precinct -017-Farmington017-Farmington	1,405	2,232	31	3,668	38.3%	60.9%	R+22.5
Precinct -017-Strafford017-Strafford	1,403	1,551	38	2,992	46.9%	51.8%	R+4.9
Precinct -017-Lee017-Lee	1,893	986	43	2,922	64.8%	33.7%	D+31.0
Precinct -017-Milton017-Milton	1,022	1,661	43	2,726	37.5%	60.9%	R+23.4
Precinct -017-New Durham017-New Durham	746	1,167	31	1,944	38.4%	60.0%	R+21.7
Precinct -017-Rollinsford017-Rollinsford	975	747	27	1,749	55.7%	42.7%	D+13.0
Precinct -017-Madbury017-Madbury	812	471	26	1,309	62.0%	36.0%	D+26.1
Precinct -017-Middleton017-Middleton	378	753	11	1,142	33.1%	65.9%	R+32.8
DOVER WARD 133_33017DOVE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 233_33017DOVE02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 333_33017DOVE03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 433_33017DOVE04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 533_33017DOVE05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
DOVER WARD 633_33017DOVE06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 133_33017ROCH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 233_33017ROCH02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 333_33017ROCH03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 433_33017ROCH04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 533_33017ROCH05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCHESTER WARD 633_33017ROCH06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 133_33017SOME01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 233_33017SOME02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 333_33017SOME03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 433_33017SOME04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOMERSWORTH WARD 533_33017SOME05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF BARRINGTON Voting District33_33017BARR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF DURHAM Voting District33_33017DURH01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF FARMINGTON Voting District33_33017FARM01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF LEE Voting District33_33017LEE01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MADBURY Voting District33_33017MADB01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MIDDLETON Voting District33_33017MIDD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF MILTON Voting District33_33017MILT01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF NEW DURHAM Voting District33_33017NDUR01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF ROLLINSFORD Voting District33_33017ROLL01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
TOWN OF STRAFFORD Voting District33_33017STFD01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.8%
1896	−40.3%
1900	−13.3%
1904	−15.3%
1908	−15.2%
1912	+6.4%
1916	+0.0%
1920	−21.2%
1924	−16.8%
1928	−16.9%
1932	+4.8%
1936	+14.2%
1940	+17.6%
1944	+14.2%
1948	+7.4%
1952	−7.8%
1956	−23.2%
1960	+2.9%
1964	+36.0%
1968	+2.7%
1972	−16.5%
1976	−0.0%
1980	−16.5%
1984	−23.1%
1988	−10.8%
1992	+11.0%
1996	+21.0%
2000	+8.7%
2004	+12.0%
2008	+20.4%
2012	+14.5%
2016	+8.4%
2020	+15.2%
2024	+12.0%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	D	55.3%Harris42,374	43.2%Trump33,163	0.6%Oliver423	D+12.0	R+3.2	D+13.5	76,690
2020	D	56.5%Biden41,721	41.3%Trump30,489	1.9%Jorgensen1,386	D+15.2	D+6.8	D+10.8	73,805
2016	D	50.6%Clinton34,894	42.1%Trump29,072	4.7%Johnson3,258	D+8.4	R+6.1	D+6.3	69,000
2012	D	56.3%Obama36,026	41.8%Romney26,729	1.3%Johnson856	D+14.5	R+5.9	D+10.7	63,969
2008	D	59.8%Obama37,990	39.4%McCain25,021	0.8%	D+20.4	D+8.4	D+13.1	63,549
2004	D	55.6%Kerry32,942	43.6%Bush25,825	0.9%	D+12.0	D+3.3	D+14.5	59,281
2000	D	51.4%Gore25,400	42.7%Bush21,108	4.6%Nader2,273	D+8.7	R+12.3	D+8.2	49,393
1996	D	54.8%Clinton23,475	33.8%Dole14,484	9.5%Perot4,088	D+21.0	D+10.0	D+12.5	42,843
1992	D	44.7%Clinton21,247	33.7%Bush16,028	20.9%Perot9,920	D+11.0	D+21.8	D+5.4	47,539
1988	R	43.9%Dukakis16,547	54.7%Bush20,636	1.4%	R+10.8	D+12.2	R+3.1	37,698
1984	R	38.2%Mondale12,752	61.3%Reagan20,452	0.5%	R+23.1	R+6.6	R+4.9	33,356
1980	R	33.9%Carter11,041	50.4%Reagan16,399	15.6%	R+16.5	R+16.5	R+6.7	32,531
1976	R	49.6%Carter14,566	49.6%Ford14,569	0.8%	R+0.01	D+16.5	R+2.1	29,365
1972	R	41.3%McGovern12,028	57.8%Nixon16,846	0.9%	R+16.5	R+19.2	D+6.6	29,129
1968	D	50.0%Humphrey13,129	47.3%Nixon12,427	2.8%	D+2.7	R+33.4	D+3.4	26,283
1964	D	68.0%Johnson17,737	32.0%Goldwater8,342	0.0%	D+36.0	D+33.2	D+13.4	26,079
1960	D	51.4%Kennedy14,335	48.6%Nixon13,539	0.0%	D+2.9	D+26.0	D+2.7	27,874
1956	R	38.4%Stevenson9,659	61.6%Eisenhower15,494	0.0%	R+23.2	R+15.4	R+7.8	25,160
1952	R	46.1%Stevenson11,753	53.9%Eisenhower13,729	0.0%	R+7.8	R+15.2	D+3.0	25,482
1948	D	53.3%Truman11,603	45.9%Dewey9,988	0.8%	D+7.4	R+6.8	D+2.9	21,776
1944	D	57.1%Roosevelt12,497	42.9%Dewey9,388	0.1%	D+14.2	R+3.4	D+6.7	21,898
1940	D	58.8%Roosevelt12,847	41.2%Willkie8,996	0.0%	D+17.6	D+3.5	D+7.7	21,843
1936	D	55.9%Roosevelt11,005	41.7%Landon8,215	2.4%	D+14.2	D+9.4	R+10.1	19,697
1932	D	52.2%Roosevelt9,970	47.4%Hoover9,060	0.4%	D+4.8	D+21.6	R+13.0	19,098
1928	R	41.5%Smith7,441	58.4%Hoover10,470	0.2%	R+16.9	R+0.1	D+0.6	17,939
1924	R	39.8%Davis6,445	56.6%Coolidge9,167	3.6%La Follette575	R+16.8	D+4.4	D+8.4	16,187
1920	R	39.2%Cox5,643	60.4%Harding8,700	0.5%	R+21.2	R+21.2	D+5.0	14,412
1916	D	49.6%Wilson4,040	49.6%Hughes4,037	0.8%	D+0.04	R+6.4	R+3.1	8,142
1912	D	44.1%Wilson3,468	37.7%Taft2,962	18.3%	D+6.4	D+21.6	R+13.1	7,866
1908	R	41.1%Bryan3,523	56.2%Taft4,822	2.7%	R+15.2	D+0.1	R+5.6	8,573
1904	R	41.3%Parker3,553	56.6%Roosevelt4,869	2.1%	R+15.3	R+2.0	D+4.4	8,605
1900	R	42.1%Bryan3,792	55.3%McKinley4,987	2.6%	R+13.3	D+27.1	R+5.7	9,015
1896	R	28.3%Bryan2,259	68.6%McKinley5,483	3.2%	R+40.3	R+35.5	R+34.2	7,995
1892	R	46.8%Cleveland4,229	51.7%Harrison4,666	1.5%	R+4.8	—	R+6.5	9,029
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 25 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	59.5%44,492	40.5%30,230	74,722
2020	D	58.0%40,617	42.0%29,396	70,013
2018	D	58.9%30,819	41.1%21,469	52,288

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	D	58.7%33,240	39.2%22,217	56,618
2020Class II	D	60.9%Jeanne Shaheen44,415	36.3%Corky Messner26,465	72,888
2016Class III	D	52.6%Maggie Hassan36,023	43.0%Kelly Ayotte29,419	68,442
2014Class II	D	55.9%Jeanne Shaheen23,710	43.7%Scott Brown18,541	42,385
2010Class III	R	41.1%Paul Hodes15,695	55.5%Kelly Ayotte21,204	38,212
2008Class II	D	57.9%Jeanne Shaheen36,096	39.3%John E. Sununu24,503	62,380
2004Class III	R	36.6%Doris Haddock21,037	63.2%Judd Gregg36,321	57,444
2002Class II	D	52.0%Jeanne Shaheen20,109	45.0%John E. Sununu17,418	38,676
1998Class III	R	32.5%George Condodemtraky8,463	63.7%Judd Gregg16,585	26,052
1996Class II	D	51.4%Dick Swett21,827	44.0%Bob Smith18,685	42,469
1992Class III	D	49.9%John Rauh22,614	44.0%Judd Gregg19,956	45,327
1990Class II	R	34.1%John A. Durkin8,257	62.6%Bob Smith15,157	24,196
1986Class III	R	38.3%Endicott Peabody7,968	57.7%Warren B. Rudman11,993	20,779
1984Class II	D	52.8%Norman E. D'Amours17,730	47.1%Gordon J. Humphrey15,811	33,590
1980Class III	D	57.7%John A. Durkin18,710	42.3%Warren B. Rudman13,714	32,428
1978Class II	D	62.0%Thomas J. McIntyre14,489	37.6%Gordon Humphrey8,786	23,388
1974Class III	D	56.4%John A. Durkin11,423	43.3%Louis C. Wyman8,772	20,249
1972Class II	D	64.2%Thomas J. McIntyre18,365	35.8%Wesley Powell10,257	28,622
1968Class III	R	44.7%John W. King11,262	55.3%Norris Cotton13,927	25,191
1966Class II	D	61.9%Thomas McIntyre12,798	38.0%Harrison R. Thyng7,865	20,680
1962Class III	R	43.0%Alfred Catalfo Jr.8,974	57.0%Norris Cotton11,872	20,846
1960Class II	R	41.4%Herbet W. Hill11,289	58.6%Styles Bridges15,949	27,238
1956Class III	R	40.6%Laurence M. Pickett9,697	59.4%Norris Cotton14,179	23,876
1954Class II	R	47.4%Gerard L. Morin9,534	52.6%Styles Bridges10,585	20,119
1950Class III	R	43.8%Emmet J. Kelley8,083	51.7%Charles W. Tobey9,539	18,435
1948Class II	R	46.5%Alfred E. Fortin9,837	52.8%Styles Bridges11,176	21,157
1944Class III	D	53.1%Joseph J. Betley11,022	46.9%Charles W. Tobey9,749	20,771
1942Class II	D	50.5%Francis P. Murphy7,836	49.5%Styles Bridges7,668	15,504
1938Class III	D	51.9%Fred H. Brown9,359	48.1%Charles W. Tobey8,675	18,034
1936Class II	D	55.5%William N. Rogers10,850	44.1%Styles Bridges8,620	19,538
1932Class III	D	53.9%Fred H. Brown9,926	46.0%George H. Moses8,478	18,429
1930Class II	R	41.8%Albert W. Noone5,229	58.1%Henry W. Keyes7,263	12,511
1926Class III	R	40.7%Robert C. Murchie5,486	59.3%George H. Moses7,997	13,483
1924Class II	R	43.8%George E. Farrand6,889	56.2%Henry W. Keyes8,841	15,730
1920Class III	R	41.7%Raymond B. Stevens5,888	57.9%George H. Moses8,186	14,127
1914Class III	R	44.5%Raymond B. Stevens3,518	53.4%Jacob Gallinger4,223	7,903

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1975Special · Class III	D	61.2%John A. Durkin14,145	35.9%Louis C. Wyman8,296	23,109
1962Special · Class II	D	59.7%Thomas McIntyre12,528	40.3%Perkins Bass8,455	20,983
1954Special · Class III	R	49.1%Stanley J. Betley9,601	50.9%Norris Cotton9,950	19,551

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	50.0%Joyce Craig37,641	47.8%Kelly Ayotte36,040	75,347
2022	R	46.9%Tom Sherman26,495	51.5%Chris Sununu29,100	56,524
2020	R	36.9%Dan Feltes26,791	61.4%Chris Sununu44,542	72,538
2018	D	49.9%Molly Kelly26,593	48.4%Chris Sununu25,782	53,285
2016	D	51.0%Colin Van Ostern34,173	44.1%Chris Sununu29,578	67,043
2014	D	57.0%Maggie Hassan24,032	42.8%Walt Havenstein18,026	42,156
2012	D	59.5%Maggie Hassan37,120	37.5%Ovide Lamontagne23,387	62,390
2010	D	59.4%John Lynch22,807	38.1%John Stephen14,639	38,425
2008	D	74.8%John Lynch45,878	23.1%Joseph Kenney14,190	61,333
2006	D	79.9%John Lynch27,168	19.9%Jim Coburn6,776	33,986
2004	D	54.8%John Lynch31,912	45.1%Craig Benson26,261	58,229
2002	R	40.4%Mark Fernald15,461	55.9%Craig Benson21,352	38,223
2000	D	56.9%Jeanne Shaheen28,044	35.0%Gordon Humphrey17,234	49,262
1998	D	72.4%Jeanne Shaheen19,341	24.9%Jay Lucas6,640	26,706
1996	D	65.9%Jeanne Shaheen28,340	30.7%Ovide Lamontagne13,200	42,976
1994	R	29.5%Wayne King7,477	65.7%Steve Merrill16,656	25,334
1992	R	44.6%Deborah Arnie Arnesen20,246	51.7%Steve Merrill23,475	45,397
1990	R	40.1%J. Joseph Grandmaison9,693	54.7%Judd Gregg13,218	24,169
1988	R	49.5%Paul McEachern18,272	50.1%Judd Gregg18,496	36,944
1986	D	52.5%Paul McEachern11,429	47.4%John H. Sununu10,325	21,767
1984	R	41.7%Chris Spirou13,818	58.2%John H. Sununu19,299	33,144
1982	D	53.4%Hugh Gallen13,421	45.3%John H. Sununu11,400	25,156
1980	D	68.0%Hugh Gallen22,397	31.7%Meldrim Thomson Jr.10,440	32,932
1978	D	59.5%Hugh Gallen14,047	36.4%Meldrim Thomson Jr.8,601	23,601
1976	R	47.6%Harry V. Spanos14,168	52.3%Meldrim Thomson Jr.15,568	29,740

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026D+4.1

Presidential vote · 2024D+12.0

Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.9 points more Republican.

90,627 registered voters · 2026

Democratic32.5%Republican28.4%Unaffiliated39.1%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+754 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +6,876 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $71,999 in average income, against $94,925 for residents who stayed — 24% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+6.9 on average — 5.1 points more Republican-leaning than Strafford County, NH itself (D+12.0).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Rockingham County, NH1,037R+2.4
York County, ME473D+10.5
Hillsborough County, NH291D+2.9
Essex County, MA225D+20.2
Middlesex County, MA150D+39.2
Carroll County, NH148R+1.7

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Rockingham County, NH790
York County, ME545
Hillsborough County, NH219
Carroll County, NH194
Merrimack County, NH140
Belknap County, NH132

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Strafford County, NH in Strafford County, NH: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+317
2012	+26
2013	−309
2014	+977
2015	−58
2016	+685
2017	+1,199
2018	−323
2019	+484
2021	+392
2022	+892
2023	+1,172
2024	+668
2025	+754

Anchored by Durham's University of New Hampshire campus and the small city of Dover, Strafford County combines a large student population with working-class mill-town voters, producing a consistent Democratic margin in statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 36.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 40.3 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.0 points.

A population of 132,575, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,570 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Merrimack County and York County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2008–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Grafton County

New Hampshire

95.7twin score

2004–2024 trajectory≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Strafford County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Strafford County

New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2024 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Strafford County, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 12.0 points (D+12.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 76,690 votes cast, 42,374 went Democratic and 33,163 went Republican.

When did Strafford County, New Hampshire last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Strafford County, New Hampshire has a population of 132,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire is $88,570 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Strafford County, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.

Measure

Strafford County

New Hampshire

United States

Median age

38.2

43.5

39.1

Age 18–24

14.4%

8.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

17.1%

20.3%

17.2%

Measure

Strafford County

New Hampshire

United States

Median household income

$88,570

$99,031

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.7%

7.3%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

39.3%

40.7%

35.6%

Measure

Strafford County

New Hampshire

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

5.3%

8.0%

22.3%

Spanish

1.4%

2.6%

13.6%

Measure

Strafford County

New Hampshire

United States

Catholic

14.1%

16.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

5.2%

4.8%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

76.2%

72.8%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

D+12.0MIT Election Lab

Population

132,5752024 5-year

Median household income

$88,5702024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.6%2024 5-year

Black

1.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

3.2%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+36.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+40.3 in 1896MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Merrimack County, NH · twin score 97.9

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

70,152

97,920

71.6%

B/A

2018 · Midterm

54,153

100,234

54.0%

B/A

2020 · Presidential

74,580

103,136

72.3%

B/A

2022 · Midterm

57,779

105,147

55.0%

C/A

2024 · Presidential

76,812

107,215

71.6%

B/A

Strafford County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -017-Dover017-Dover

12,655

6,650

355

19,660

64.4%

33.8%

D+30.5

Precinct -017-Rochester017-Rochester

8,264

8,881

233

17,378

47.6%

51.1%

R+3.6

Precinct -017-Durham017-Durham

6,047

2,270

135

8,452

71.5%

26.9%

D+44.7

Precinct -017-Somersworth017-Somersworth

3,532

2,808

6,426

55.0%

43.7%

D+11.3

Precinct -017-Barrington017-Barrington

3,241

2,985

6,320

51.3%

47.2%

D+4.1

Precinct -017-Farmington017-Farmington

1,405

2,232

3,668

38.3%

60.9%

R+22.5

Precinct -017-Strafford017-Strafford

1,403

1,551

2,992

46.9%

51.8%

R+4.9

Precinct -017-Lee017-Lee

1,893

986

2,922

64.8%

33.7%

D+31.0

Precinct -017-Milton017-Milton

1,022

1,661

2,726

37.5%

60.9%

R+23.4

Precinct -017-New Durham017-New Durham

746

1,167

1,944

38.4%

60.0%

R+21.7

Precinct -017-Rollinsford017-Rollinsford

975

747

1,749

55.7%

42.7%

D+13.0

Precinct -017-Madbury017-Madbury

812

471

1,309

62.0%

36.0%

D+26.1

Precinct -017-Middleton017-Middleton

378

753

1,142

33.1%

65.9%

R+32.8

DOVER WARD 133_33017DOVE01

—

No votes

DOVER WARD 233_33017DOVE02

—

No votes

DOVER WARD 333_33017DOVE03

—

No votes

DOVER WARD 433_33017DOVE04

—

No votes

DOVER WARD 533_33017DOVE05

—

No votes

DOVER WARD 633_33017DOVE06

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 133_33017ROCH01

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 233_33017ROCH02

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 333_33017ROCH03

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 433_33017ROCH04

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 533_33017ROCH05

—

No votes

ROCHESTER WARD 633_33017ROCH06

—

No votes

SOMERSWORTH WARD 133_33017SOME01

—

No votes

SOMERSWORTH WARD 233_33017SOME02

—

No votes

SOMERSWORTH WARD 333_33017SOME03

—

No votes

SOMERSWORTH WARD 433_33017SOME04

—

No votes

SOMERSWORTH WARD 533_33017SOME05

—

No votes

TOWN OF BARRINGTON Voting District33_33017BARR01

—

No votes

TOWN OF DURHAM Voting District33_33017DURH01

—

No votes

TOWN OF FARMINGTON Voting District33_33017FARM01

—

No votes

TOWN OF LEE Voting District33_33017LEE01

—

No votes

TOWN OF MADBURY Voting District33_33017MADB01

—

No votes

TOWN OF MIDDLETON Voting District33_33017MIDD01

—

No votes

TOWN OF MILTON Voting District33_33017MILT01

—

No votes

TOWN OF NEW DURHAM Voting District33_33017NDUR01

—

No votes

TOWN OF ROLLINSFORD Voting District33_33017ROLL01

—

No votes

TOWN OF STRAFFORD Voting District33_33017STFD01

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−4.8%
1896	−40.3%
1900	−13.3%
1904	−15.3%
1908	−15.2%
1912	+6.4%
1916	+0.0%
1920	−21.2%
1924	−16.8%
1928	−16.9%
1932	+4.8%
1936	+14.2%
1940	+17.6%
1944	+14.2%
1948	+7.4%
1952	−7.8%
1956	−23.2%
1960	+2.9%
1964	+36.0%
1968	+2.7%
1972	−16.5%
1976	−0.0%
1980	−16.5%
1984	−23.1%
1988	−10.8%
1992	+11.0%
1996	+21.0%
2000	+8.7%
2004	+12.0%
2008	+20.4%
2012	+14.5%
2016	+8.4%
2020	+15.2%
2024	+12.0%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

55.3%Harris42,374

43.2%Trump33,163

0.6%Oliver423

D+12.0

R+3.2

D+13.5

76,690

2020

56.5%Biden41,721

41.3%Trump30,489

1.9%Jorgensen1,386

D+15.2

D+6.8

D+10.8

73,805

2016

50.6%Clinton34,894

42.1%Trump29,072

4.7%Johnson3,258

D+8.4

R+6.1

D+6.3

69,000

2012

56.3%Obama36,026

41.8%Romney26,729

1.3%Johnson856

D+14.5

R+5.9

D+10.7

63,969

2008

59.8%Obama37,990

39.4%McCain25,021

0.8%

D+20.4

D+8.4

D+13.1

63,549

2004

55.6%Kerry32,942

43.6%Bush25,825

0.9%

D+12.0

D+3.3

D+14.5

59,281

2000

51.4%Gore25,400

42.7%Bush21,108

4.6%Nader2,273

D+8.7

R+12.3

D+8.2

49,393

1996

54.8%Clinton23,475

33.8%Dole14,484

9.5%Perot4,088

D+21.0

D+10.0

D+12.5

42,843

1992

44.7%Clinton21,247

33.7%Bush16,028

20.9%Perot9,920

D+11.0

D+21.8

D+5.4

47,539

1988

43.9%Dukakis16,547

54.7%Bush20,636

1.4%

R+10.8

D+12.2

R+3.1

37,698

1984

38.2%Mondale12,752

61.3%Reagan20,452

0.5%

R+23.1

R+6.6

R+4.9

33,356

1980

33.9%Carter11,041

50.4%Reagan16,399

15.6%

R+16.5

R+6.7

32,531

1976

49.6%Carter14,566

49.6%Ford14,569

0.8%

R+0.01

D+16.5

R+2.1

29,365

1972

41.3%McGovern12,028

57.8%Nixon16,846

0.9%

R+16.5

R+19.2

D+6.6

29,129

1968

50.0%Humphrey13,129

47.3%Nixon12,427

2.8%

D+2.7

R+33.4

D+3.4

26,283

1964

68.0%Johnson17,737

32.0%Goldwater8,342

0.0%

D+36.0

D+33.2

D+13.4

26,079

1960

51.4%Kennedy14,335

48.6%Nixon13,539

0.0%

D+2.9

D+26.0

D+2.7

27,874

1956

38.4%Stevenson9,659

61.6%Eisenhower15,494

0.0%

R+23.2

R+15.4

R+7.8

25,160

1952

46.1%Stevenson11,753

53.9%Eisenhower13,729

0.0%

R+7.8

R+15.2

D+3.0

25,482

1948

53.3%Truman11,603

45.9%Dewey9,988

0.8%

D+7.4

R+6.8

D+2.9

21,776

1944

57.1%Roosevelt12,497

42.9%Dewey9,388

0.1%

D+14.2

R+3.4

D+6.7

21,898

1940

58.8%Roosevelt12,847

41.2%Willkie8,996

0.0%

D+17.6

D+3.5

D+7.7

21,843

1936

55.9%Roosevelt11,005

41.7%Landon8,215

2.4%

D+14.2

D+9.4

R+10.1

19,697

1932

52.2%Roosevelt9,970

47.4%Hoover9,060

0.4%

D+4.8

D+21.6

R+13.0

19,098

1928

41.5%Smith7,441

58.4%Hoover10,470

0.2%

R+16.9

R+0.1

D+0.6

17,939

1924

39.8%Davis6,445

56.6%Coolidge9,167

3.6%La Follette575

R+16.8

D+4.4

D+8.4

16,187

1920

39.2%Cox5,643

60.4%Harding8,700

0.5%

R+21.2

D+5.0

14,412

1916

49.6%Wilson4,040

49.6%Hughes4,037

0.8%

D+0.04

R+6.4

R+3.1

8,142

1912

44.1%Wilson3,468

37.7%Taft2,962

18.3%

D+6.4

D+21.6

R+13.1

7,866

1908

41.1%Bryan3,523

56.2%Taft4,822

2.7%

R+15.2

D+0.1

R+5.6

8,573

1904

41.3%Parker3,553

56.6%Roosevelt4,869

2.1%

R+15.3

R+2.0

D+4.4

8,605

1900

42.1%Bryan3,792

55.3%McKinley4,987

2.6%

R+13.3

D+27.1

R+5.7

9,015

1896

28.3%Bryan2,259

68.6%McKinley5,483

3.2%

R+40.3

R+35.5

R+34.2

7,995

1892

46.8%Cleveland4,229

51.7%Harrison4,666

1.5%

R+4.8

—

R+6.5

9,029

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

59.5%44,492

40.5%30,230

74,722

2020

58.0%40,617

42.0%29,396

70,013

2018

58.9%30,819

41.1%21,469

52,288

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

58.7%33,240

39.2%22,217

56,618

2020Class II

60.9%Jeanne Shaheen44,415

36.3%Corky Messner26,465

72,888

2016Class III

52.6%Maggie Hassan36,023

43.0%Kelly Ayotte29,419

68,442

2014Class II

55.9%Jeanne Shaheen23,710

43.7%Scott Brown18,541

42,385

2010Class III

41.1%Paul Hodes15,695

55.5%Kelly Ayotte21,204

38,212

2008Class II

57.9%Jeanne Shaheen36,096

39.3%John E. Sununu24,503

62,380

2004Class III

36.6%Doris Haddock21,037

63.2%Judd Gregg36,321

57,444

2002Class II

52.0%Jeanne Shaheen20,109

45.0%John E. Sununu17,418

38,676

1998Class III

32.5%George Condodemtraky8,463

63.7%Judd Gregg16,585

26,052

1996Class II

51.4%Dick Swett21,827

44.0%Bob Smith18,685

42,469

1992Class III

49.9%John Rauh22,614

44.0%Judd Gregg19,956

45,327

1990Class II

34.1%John A. Durkin8,257

62.6%Bob Smith15,157

24,196

1986Class III

38.3%Endicott Peabody7,968

57.7%Warren B. Rudman11,993

20,779

1984Class II

52.8%Norman E. D'Amours17,730

47.1%Gordon J. Humphrey15,811

33,590

1980Class III

57.7%John A. Durkin18,710

42.3%Warren B. Rudman13,714

32,428

1978Class II

62.0%Thomas J. McIntyre14,489

37.6%Gordon Humphrey8,786

23,388

1974Class III

56.4%John A. Durkin11,423

43.3%Louis C. Wyman8,772

20,249

1972Class II

64.2%Thomas J. McIntyre18,365

35.8%Wesley Powell10,257

28,622

1968Class III

44.7%John W. King11,262

55.3%Norris Cotton13,927

25,191

1966Class II

61.9%Thomas McIntyre12,798

38.0%Harrison R. Thyng7,865

20,680

1962Class III

43.0%Alfred Catalfo Jr.8,974

57.0%Norris Cotton11,872

20,846

1960Class II

41.4%Herbet W. Hill11,289

58.6%Styles Bridges15,949

27,238

1956Class III

40.6%Laurence M. Pickett9,697

59.4%Norris Cotton14,179

23,876

1954Class II

47.4%Gerard L. Morin9,534

52.6%Styles Bridges10,585

20,119

1950Class III

43.8%Emmet J. Kelley8,083

51.7%Charles W. Tobey9,539

18,435

1948Class II

46.5%Alfred E. Fortin9,837

52.8%Styles Bridges11,176

21,157

1944Class III

53.1%Joseph J. Betley11,022

46.9%Charles W. Tobey9,749

20,771

1942Class II

50.5%Francis P. Murphy7,836

49.5%Styles Bridges7,668

15,504

1938Class III

51.9%Fred H. Brown9,359

48.1%Charles W. Tobey8,675

18,034

1936Class II

55.5%William N. Rogers10,850

44.1%Styles Bridges8,620

19,538

1932Class III

53.9%Fred H. Brown9,926

46.0%George H. Moses8,478

18,429

1930Class II

41.8%Albert W. Noone5,229

58.1%Henry W. Keyes7,263

12,511

1926Class III

40.7%Robert C. Murchie5,486

59.3%George H. Moses7,997

13,483

1924Class II

43.8%George E. Farrand6,889

56.2%Henry W. Keyes8,841

15,730

1920Class III

41.7%Raymond B. Stevens5,888

57.9%George H. Moses8,186

14,127

1914Class III

44.5%Raymond B. Stevens3,518

53.4%Jacob Gallinger4,223

7,903

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1975Special · Class III

61.2%John A. Durkin14,145

35.9%Louis C. Wyman8,296

23,109

1962Special · Class II

59.7%Thomas McIntyre12,528

40.3%Perkins Bass8,455

20,983

1954Special · Class III

49.1%Stanley J. Betley9,601

50.9%Norris Cotton9,950

19,551

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

50.0%Joyce Craig37,641

47.8%Kelly Ayotte36,040

75,347

2022

46.9%Tom Sherman26,495

51.5%Chris Sununu29,100

56,524

2020

36.9%Dan Feltes26,791

61.4%Chris Sununu44,542

72,538

2018

49.9%Molly Kelly26,593

48.4%Chris Sununu25,782

53,285

2016

51.0%Colin Van Ostern34,173

44.1%Chris Sununu29,578

67,043

2014

57.0%Maggie Hassan24,032

42.8%Walt Havenstein18,026

42,156

2012

59.5%Maggie Hassan37,120

37.5%Ovide Lamontagne23,387

62,390

2010

59.4%John Lynch22,807

38.1%John Stephen14,639

38,425

2008

74.8%John Lynch45,878

23.1%Joseph Kenney14,190

61,333

2006

79.9%John Lynch27,168

19.9%Jim Coburn6,776

33,986

2004

54.8%John Lynch31,912

45.1%Craig Benson26,261

58,229

2002

40.4%Mark Fernald15,461

55.9%Craig Benson21,352

38,223

2000

56.9%Jeanne Shaheen28,044

35.0%Gordon Humphrey17,234

49,262

1998

72.4%Jeanne Shaheen19,341

24.9%Jay Lucas6,640

26,706

1996

65.9%Jeanne Shaheen28,340

30.7%Ovide Lamontagne13,200

42,976

1994

29.5%Wayne King7,477

65.7%Steve Merrill16,656

25,334

1992

44.6%Deborah Arnie Arnesen20,246

51.7%Steve Merrill23,475

45,397

1990

40.1%J. Joseph Grandmaison9,693

54.7%Judd Gregg13,218

24,169

1988

49.5%Paul McEachern18,272

50.1%Judd Gregg18,496

36,944

1986

52.5%Paul McEachern11,429

47.4%John H. Sununu10,325

21,767

1984

41.7%Chris Spirou13,818

58.2%John H. Sununu19,299

33,144

1982

53.4%Hugh Gallen13,421

45.3%John H. Sununu11,400

25,156

1980

68.0%Hugh Gallen22,397

31.7%Meldrim Thomson Jr.10,440

32,932

1978

59.5%Hugh Gallen14,047

36.4%Meldrim Thomson Jr.8,601

23,601

1976

47.6%Harry V. Spanos14,168

52.3%Meldrim Thomson Jr.15,568

29,740

Frequently asked questions

How did Strafford County, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 12.0 points (D+12.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 76,690 votes cast, 42,374 went Democratic and 33,163 went Republican.

When did Strafford County, New Hampshire last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Strafford County, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Strafford County, New Hampshire has a population of 132,575 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Median household income in Strafford County, New Hampshire is $88,570 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of Strafford County, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Strafford County, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.