- Lead
- 4,816
- Total
- 92,979
- vs nation
- D+6.7
- Turnout
- 74.4%
Merrimack County, NH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.4% of 125,272 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 8,822
- Total
- 90,133
- vs nation
- D+5.3
- Turnout
- 76.1%
- Lead
- 2,524
- Total
- 83,648
- vs nation
- D+0.9
- Turnout
- 73.9%
- Lead
- 10,232
- Total
- 80,514
- vs nation
- D+8.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 11,068
- Total
- 79,719
- vs nation
- D+6.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,915
- Total
- 76,647
- vs nation
- D+7.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 594
- Total
- 63,684
- vs nation
- D+0.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 8,150
- Total
- 56,200
- vs nation
- D+6.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 155,9672024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,0042024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43.4 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- York County, ME · twin score 98.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.4%93,238 participants ÷ 125,272 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.1%–57.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 85,147 | 115,214 | 73.9% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 66,003 | 116,975 | 56.4% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 90,783 | 119,240 | 76.1% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 72,384 | 122,865 | 58.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 93,238 | 125,272 | 74.4% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
65 precincts · 92,978 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -013-Concord013-Concord | 15,216 | 8,670 | 383 | 24,269 | 62.7% | 35.7% | D+27.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -013-Hooksett013-Hooksett | 4,211 | 4,639 | 137 | 8,987 | 46.9% | 51.6% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -013-Bow013-Bow | 3,093 | 2,246 | 90 | 5,429 | 57.0% | 41.4% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct -013-Pembroke013-Pembroke | 2,205 | 2,250 | 64 | 4,519 | 48.8% | 49.8% | R+1.0 |
| Precinct -013-Franklin013-Franklin | 1,852 | 2,573 | 76 | 4,501 | 41.1% | 57.2% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -013-Hopkinton013-Hopkinton | 2,636 | 1,492 | 77 | 4,205 | 62.7% | 35.5% | D+27.2 |
| Precinct -013-Loudon013-Loudon | 1,427 | 2,259 | 42 | 3,728 | 38.3% | 60.6% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -013-New London013-New London | 2,078 | 1,043 | 53 | 3,174 | 65.5% | 32.9% | D+32.6 |
| Precinct -013-Epsom013-Epsom | 1,146 | 1,853 | 39 | 3,038 | 37.7% | 61.0% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -013-Henniker013-Henniker | 1,548 | 1,324 | 39 | 2,911 | 53.2% | 45.5% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -013-Northfield013-Northfield | 1,115 | 1,624 | 42 | 2,781 | 40.1% | 58.4% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -013-Allenstown013-Allenstown | 1,151 | 1,468 | 34 | 2,653 | 43.4% | 55.3% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -013-Pittsfield013-Pittsfield | 850 | 1,441 | 46 | 2,337 | 36.4% | 61.7% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -013-Boscawen013-Boscawen | 935 | 1,213 | 25 | 2,173 | 43.0% | 55.8% | R+12.8 |
| Precinct -013-Dunbarton013-Dunbarton | 899 | 1,173 | 37 | 2,109 | 42.6% | 55.6% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -013-Warner013-Warner | 1,013 | 868 | 28 | 1,909 | 53.1% | 45.5% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -013-Chichester013-Chichester | 741 | 1,077 | 25 | 1,843 | 40.2% | 58.4% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct -013-Canterbury013-Canterbury | 950 | 774 | 31 | 1,755 | 54.1% | 44.1% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -013-Newbury013-Newbury | 908 | 762 | 31 | 1,701 | 53.4% | 44.8% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct -013-Andover013-Andover | 801 | 788 | 23 | 1,612 | 49.7% | 48.9% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -013-Sutton013-Sutton | 770 | 636 | 26 | 1,432 | 53.8% | 44.4% | D+9.4 |
| Precinct -013-Webster013-Webster | 554 | 727 | 15 | 1,296 | 42.7% | 56.1% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -013-Bradford013-Bradford | 571 | 521 | 19 | 1,111 | 51.4% | 46.9% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -013-Wilmot013-Wilmot | 598 | 392 | 16 | 1,006 | 59.4% | 39.0% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct -013-Salisbury013-Salisbury | 381 | 610 | 14 | 1,005 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.8 |
| Precinct -013-Danbury013-Danbury | 297 | 519 | 13 | 829 | 35.8% | 62.6% | R+26.8 |
| Precinct -013-Hill013-Hill | 235 | 422 | 8 | 665 | 35.3% | 63.5% | R+28.1 |
| CONCORD WARD 133_33013CONC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 1033_33013CONC10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 233_33013CONC02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 333_33013CONC03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 433_33013CONC04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 533_33013CONC05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 633_33013CONC06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 733_33013CONC07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 833_33013CONC08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CONCORD WARD 933_33013CONC09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN WARD 133_33013FRAN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN WARD 233_33013FRAN02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FRANKLIN WARD 333_33013FRAN03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ALLENSTOWN Voting District33_33013ALLE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ANDOVER Voting District33_33013ANDO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BOSCAWEN Voting District33_33013BOSC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BOW Voting District33_33013BOW01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BRADFORD Voting District33_33013BRAD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CANTERBURY Voting District33_33013CANT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CHICHESTER Voting District33_33013CHIC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF DANBURY Voting District33_33013DANB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF DUNBARTON Voting District33_33013DUNB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF EPSOM Voting District33_33013EPSO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HENNIKER Voting District33_33013HENN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HILL Voting District33_33013HILL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HOOKSETT Voting District33_33013HOOK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HOPKINTON Voting District33_33013HOPK01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LOUDON Voting District33_33013LOUD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEW LONDON Voting District33_33013NLON01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWBURY Voting District33_33013NBRY01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NORTHFIELD Voting District33_33013NFLD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PEMBROKE Voting District33_33013PEMB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PITTSFIELD Voting District33_33013PITF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SALISBURY Voting District33_33013SALI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SUTTON Voting District33_33013SUTT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WARNER Voting District33_33013WARN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WEBSTER Voting District33_33013WEBS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WILMOT Voting District33_33013WILM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −1.6% |
| 1896 | −37.5% |
| 1900 | −17.4% |
| 1904 | −21.6% |
| 1908 | −17.0% |
| 1912 | +0.9% |
| 1916 | −0.0% |
| 1920 | −17.2% |
| 1924 | −23.4% |
| 1928 | −21.5% |
| 1932 | −4.4% |
| 1936 | −2.9% |
| 1940 | −0.8% |
| 1944 | −4.3% |
| 1948 | −19.4% |
| 1952 | −35.8% |
| 1956 | −43.4% |
| 1960 | −21.1% |
| 1964 | +22.4% |
| 1968 | −19.8% |
| 1972 | −36.4% |
| 1976 | −18.7% |
| 1980 | −27.4% |
| 1984 | −34.7% |
| 1988 | −22.4% |
| 1992 | +3.9% |
| 1996 | +14.5% |
| 2000 | +0.9% |
| 2004 | +5.1% |
| 2008 | +13.9% |
| 2012 | +12.7% |
| 2016 | +3.0% |
| 2020 | +9.8% |
| 2024 | +5.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Merrimack County, NH registers Republican but votes Democratic — a 9.2-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
106,311 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+810 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,596 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $90,862 in average income, against $100,221 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.0 on average — about the same lean as Merrimack County, NH (D+5.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Hillsborough County, NH1,362D+2.9
- Rockingham County, NH473R+2.4
- Belknap County, NH424R+13.0
- Grafton County, NH205D+19.8
- Middlesex County, MA177D+39.2
- Strafford County, NH140D+12.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hillsborough County, NH1,059
- Belknap County, NH396
- Rockingham County, NH384
- Grafton County, NH208
- Strafford County, NH132
- Middlesex County, MA128
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1 |
| 2012 | −144 |
| 2013 | −100 |
| 2014 | +234 |
| 2015 | +88 |
| 2016 | −63 |
| 2017 | +558 |
| 2018 | +636 |
| 2019 | +551 |
| 2021 | +499 |
| 2022 | +1,787 |
| 2023 | +881 |
| 2024 | +858 |
| 2025 | +810 |
Merrimack County anchors central New Hampshire with a mix of state-capital civics in Concord and working-class mill-town heritage, producing margins that have shifted modestly toward Democrats over the past decade while remaining genuinely competitive.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 22.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.4 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.2 points.
A population of 155,967, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,004 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York County and Strafford County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Merrimack County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.