- Lead
- 4,927
- Total
- 202,929
- vs nation
- R+1.0
- Turnout
- 79.9%
Rockingham County, NH
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.9% of 254,892 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,206
- Total
- 199,342
- vs nation
- R+2.3
- Turnout
- 82.9%
- Lead
- 10,453
- Total
- 181,434
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- 79.2%
- Lead
- 7,779
- Total
- 170,423
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,806
- Total
- 167,093
- vs nation
- R+6.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,632
- Total
- 158,816
- vs nation
- R+1.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,232
- Total
- 134,173
- vs nation
- R+3.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,443
- Total
- 113,248
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 319,0822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $118,3312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+16.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Saratoga County, NY · twin score 95.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.9%203,635 participants ÷ 254,892 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.7%–59.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 184,526 | 233,064 | 79.2% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 141,919 | 239,281 | 59.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 202,000 | 243,728 | 82.9% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 157,483 | 251,031 | 62.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 203,635 | 254,892 | 79.9% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
77 precincts · 202,922 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -015-Salem015-Salem | 7,453 | 10,943 | 210 | 18,606 | 40.1% | 58.8% | R+18.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -015-Derry015-Derry | 7,851 | 9,989 | 213 | 18,053 | 43.5% | 55.3% | R+11.8 |
| Precinct -015-Londonderry015-Londonderry | 7,655 | 8,435 | 184 | 16,274 | 47.0% | 51.8% | R+4.8 |
| Precinct -015-Portsmouth015-Portsmouth | 10,289 | 4,187 | 243 | 14,719 | 69.9% | 28.4% | D+41.5 |
| Precinct -015-Hampton015-Hampton | 5,521 | 4,843 | 83 | 10,447 | 52.8% | 46.4% | D+6.5 |
| Precinct -015-Exeter015-Exeter | 6,782 | 3,385 | 190 | 10,357 | 65.5% | 32.7% | D+32.8 |
| Precinct -015-Windham015-Windham | 4,373 | 5,557 | 156 | 10,086 | 43.4% | 55.1% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct -015-Raymond015-Raymond | 2,400 | 3,876 | 72 | 6,348 | 37.8% | 61.1% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -015-Hampstead015-Hampstead | 2,425 | 3,563 | 84 | 6,072 | 39.9% | 58.7% | R+18.7 |
| Precinct -015-Newmarket015-Newmarket | 3,895 | 2,012 | 108 | 6,015 | 64.8% | 33.4% | D+31.3 |
| Precinct -015-Stratham015-Stratham | 3,302 | 2,178 | 85 | 5,565 | 59.3% | 39.1% | D+20.2 |
| Precinct -015-Seabrook015-Seabrook | 1,996 | 3,166 | 45 | 5,207 | 38.3% | 60.8% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -015-Atkinson015-Atkinson | 2,149 | 2,958 | 52 | 5,159 | 41.7% | 57.3% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -015-Epping015-Epping | 2,149 | 2,719 | 57 | 4,925 | 43.6% | 55.2% | R+11.6 |
| Precinct -015-Plaistow015-Plaistow | 1,895 | 2,761 | 83 | 4,739 | 40.0% | 58.3% | R+18.3 |
| Precinct -015-Rye015-Rye | 2,611 | 1,728 | 79 | 4,418 | 59.1% | 39.1% | D+20.0 |
| Precinct -015-Sandown015-Sandown | 1,568 | 2,616 | 44 | 4,228 | 37.1% | 61.9% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -015-Kingston015-Kingston | 1,680 | 2,419 | 51 | 4,150 | 40.5% | 58.3% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -015-Auburn015-Auburn | 1,667 | 2,340 | 50 | 4,057 | 41.1% | 57.7% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -015-Nottingham015-Nottingham | 1,796 | 1,823 | 56 | 3,675 | 48.9% | 49.6% | R+0.7 |
| Precinct -015-Chester015-Chester | 1,411 | 2,065 | 65 | 3,541 | 39.8% | 58.3% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -015-North Hampton015-North Hampton | 1,945 | 1,438 | 53 | 3,436 | 56.6% | 41.9% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct -015-Deerfield015-Deerfield | 1,401 | 1,932 | 55 | 3,388 | 41.4% | 57.0% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -015-Fremont015-Fremont | 1,243 | 1,855 | 38 | 3,136 | 39.6% | 59.2% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -015-Brentwood015-Brentwood | 1,566 | 1,488 | 64 | 3,118 | 50.2% | 47.7% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -015-Newton015-Newton | 1,217 | 1,790 | 43 | 3,050 | 39.9% | 58.7% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -015-Greenland015-Greenland | 1,681 | 1,226 | 48 | 2,955 | 56.9% | 41.5% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct -015-Northwood015-Northwood | 1,333 | 1,580 | 42 | 2,955 | 45.1% | 53.5% | R+8.4 |
| Precinct -015-Candia015-Candia | 1,077 | 1,841 | 35 | 2,953 | 36.5% | 62.3% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -015-Danville015-Danville | 1,043 | 1,792 | 32 | 2,867 | 36.4% | 62.5% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -015-Hampton Falls015-Hampton Falls | 807 | 911 | 23 | 1,741 | 46.4% | 52.3% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -015-East Kingston015-East Kingston | 765 | 910 | 38 | 1,713 | 44.7% | 53.1% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -015-Kensington015-Kensington | 798 | 760 | 24 | 1,582 | 50.4% | 48.0% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -015-Newfields015-Newfields | 740 | 503 | 29 | 1,272 | 58.2% | 39.5% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -015-New Castle015-New Castle | 555 | 286 | 17 | 858 | 64.7% | 33.3% | D+31.4 |
| Precinct -015-South Hampton015-South Hampton | 271 | 351 | 11 | 633 | 42.8% | 55.5% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -015-Newington015-Newington | 301 | 313 | 10 | 624 | 48.2% | 50.2% | R+1.9 |
| PORTSMOUTH WARD 133_33015PORT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTSMOUTH WARD 233_33015PORT02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTSMOUTH WARD 333_33015PORT03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTSMOUTH WARD 433_33015PORT04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PORTSMOUTH WARD 533_33015PORT05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ATKINSON Voting District33_33015ATKI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF AUBURN Voting District33_33015AUBU01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BRENTWOOD Voting District33_33015BREN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CANDIA Voting District33_33015CAND01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CHESTER Voting District33_33015CHSR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF DANVILLE Voting District33_33015DANV01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF DEERFIELD Voting District33_33015DFLD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF EAST KINGSTON Voting District33_33015EKIN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF EPPING Voting District33_33015EPPI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF EXETER Voting District33_33015EXET01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF FREMONT Voting District33_33015FREM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GREENLAND Voting District33_33015GRND01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HAMPSTEAD Voting District33_33015HMST01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HAMPTON FALLS Voting District33_33015HAFA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HAMPTON Voting District33_33015HMTN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF KENSINGTON Voting District33_33015KENS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF KINGSTON Voting District33_33015KING01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LONDONDERRY Voting District33_33015LOND01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEW CASTLE Voting District33_33015NCAS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWFIELDS Voting District33_33015NEWF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWINGTON Voting District33_33015NWIN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWMARKET Voting District33_33015NMAR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NEWTON Voting District33_33015NEWT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NORTH HAMPTON Voting District33_33015NOHA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NORTHWOOD Voting District33_33015NTHW01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF NOTTINGHAM Voting District33_33015NOTT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PLAISTOW Voting District33_33015PLAI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF RAYMOND Voting District33_33015RAYM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF RYE Voting District33_33015RYE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SALEM Voting District33_33015SALE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SANDOWN Voting District33_33015SNDN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SEABROOK Voting District33_33015SEAB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SOUTH HAMPTON Voting District33_33015SOHA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF STRATHAM Voting District33_33015STRM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WINDHAM Voting District33_33015WNDM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.3% |
| 1896 | −43.0% |
| 1900 | −21.3% |
| 1904 | −24.5% |
| 1908 | −23.9% |
| 1912 | +0.7% |
| 1916 | −2.0% |
| 1920 | −35.2% |
| 1924 | −39.8% |
| 1928 | −38.6% |
| 1932 | −13.4% |
| 1936 | −11.5% |
| 1940 | −7.4% |
| 1944 | −13.1% |
| 1948 | −22.3% |
| 1952 | −37.2% |
| 1956 | −46.9% |
| 1960 | −24.3% |
| 1964 | +16.6% |
| 1968 | −14.6% |
| 1972 | −27.3% |
| 1976 | −9.8% |
| 1980 | −30.5% |
| 1984 | −38.4% |
| 1988 | −27.9% |
| 1992 | −2.5% |
| 1996 | +6.6% |
| 2000 | −3.2% |
| 2004 | −4.2% |
| 2008 | +1.1% |
| 2012 | −4.6% |
| 2016 | −5.8% |
| 2020 | +2.1% |
| 2024 | −2.4% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Republican.
231,891 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,939 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +18,776 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $124,229 in average income, against $138,385 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.1 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Rockingham County, NH itself (R+2.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Essex County, MA1,672D+20.2
- Hillsborough County, NH1,656D+2.9
- Middlesex County, MA1,098D+39.2
- Strafford County, NH790D+12.0
- Merrimack County, NH384D+5.2
- York County, ME289D+10.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hillsborough County, NH1,708
- Strafford County, NH1,037
- Essex County, MA867
- Middlesex County, MA610
- Merrimack County, NH473
- York County, ME376
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +272 |
| 2012 | +1,232 |
| 2013 | +620 |
| 2014 | +1,290 |
| 2015 | +752 |
| 2016 | +1,062 |
| 2017 | +1,864 |
| 2018 | +1,296 |
| 2019 | +1,173 |
| 2021 | +3,588 |
| 2022 | +1,230 |
| 2023 | +1,122 |
| 2024 | +1,336 |
| 2025 | +1,939 |
Rockingham's mix of affluent coastal towns and fast-growing suburban commuter corridors has compressed its Republican margins steadily over two decades, making it a bellwether for statewide outcomes in New Hampshire.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.4 points.
A population of 319,082, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,331 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Saratoga County and Hillsborough County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Rockingham County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.