HarrisDemocratic59.0%32,995TrumpRepublican39.2%21,910OliverLibertarian0.6%348
D+19.8- Lead
- 11,085
- Total
- 55,898
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Turnout
- 74.1%
Akashiccounty
Grafton County, NH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.1% of 75,576 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic61.3%33,180TrumpRepublican36.8%19,905JorgensenLibertarian1.6%881
D+24.5- Lead
- 13,275
- Total
- 54,132
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- 74.6%
ClintonDemocratic55.7%28,510TrumpRepublican37.1%19,010JohnsonLibertarian3.8%1,967
D+18.6- Lead
- 9,500
- Total
- 51,191
- vs nation
- D+16.5
- Turnout
- 72.8%
ObamaDemocratic60.9%29,826RomneyRepublican37.1%18,208JohnsonLibertarian1.4%666
D+23.7- Lead
- 11,618
- Total
- 49,014
- vs nation
- D+19.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic63.4%31,446McCainRepublican35.7%17,687OtherAll other candidates0.9%469
D+27.7- Lead
- 13,759
- Total
- 49,602
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic55.7%26,180BushRepublican43.2%20,277OtherAll other candidates1.1%514
D+12.6- Lead
- 5,903
- Total
- 46,971
- vs nation
- D+15.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic47.3%18,326BushRepublican46.7%18,092NaderGreen4.6%1,783
D+0.6- Lead
- 234
- Total
- 38,733
- vs nation
- D+0.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.0%19,496DoleRepublican36.8%13,543PerotReform8.8%3,237
D+16.2- Lead
- 5,953
- Total
- 36,792
- vs nation
- D+7.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+19.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,1202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,2612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.7 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cumberland County, ME · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 74.1%55,984 participants ÷ 75,576 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 58.3%–58.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 52,045 | 71,502 | 72.8% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 40,875 | 71,894 | 56.9% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 54,556 | 73,156 | 74.6% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 43,663 | 74,044 | 59.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 55,984 | 75,576 | 74.1% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
80 precincts · 55,895 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -009-Lebanon009-Lebanon | 6,076 | 1,981 | 150 | 8,207 | 74.0% | 24.1% | D+49.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -009-Hanover009-Hanover | 6,049 | 995 | 135 | 7,179 | 84.3% | 13.9% | D+70.4 |
| Precinct -009-Plymouth009-Plymouth | 2,046 | 1,367 | 70 | 3,483 | 58.7% | 39.2% | D+19.5 |
| Precinct -009-Littleton009-Littleton | 1,582 | 1,691 | 46 | 3,319 | 47.7% | 50.9% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -009-Enfield009-Enfield | 1,679 | 1,017 | 45 | 2,741 | 61.3% | 37.1% | D+24.2 |
| Precinct -009-Haverhill009-Haverhill | 939 | 1,464 | 35 | 2,438 | 38.5% | 60.0% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -009-Canaan009-Canaan | 1,190 | 971 | 30 | 2,191 | 54.3% | 44.3% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct -009-Campton009-Campton | 1,094 | 1,040 | 35 | 2,169 | 50.4% | 47.9% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -009-Bristol009-Bristol | 957 | 1,049 | 39 | 2,045 | 46.8% | 51.3% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -009-Thornton009-Thornton | 983 | 829 | 24 | 1,836 | 53.5% | 45.2% | D+8.4 |
| Precinct -009-Bethlehem009-Bethlehem | 1,013 | 624 | 40 | 1,677 | 60.4% | 37.2% | D+23.2 |
| Precinct -009-Holderness009-Holderness | 866 | 589 | 26 | 1,481 | 58.5% | 39.8% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -009-Ashland009-Ashland | 627 | 614 | 24 | 1,265 | 49.6% | 48.5% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct -009-Lyme009-Lyme | 1,050 | 173 | 20 | 1,243 | 84.5% | 13.9% | D+70.6 |
| Precinct -009-Alexandria009-Alexandria | 436 | 667 | 20 | 1,123 | 38.8% | 59.4% | R+20.6 |
| Precinct -009-Rumney009-Rumney | 443 | 567 | 34 | 1,044 | 42.4% | 54.3% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct -009-Lincoln009-Lincoln | 505 | 418 | 25 | 948 | 53.3% | 44.1% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -009-Bridgewater009-Bridgewater | 400 | 472 | 7 | 879 | 45.5% | 53.7% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct -009-Orford009-Orford | 529 | 324 | 19 | 872 | 60.7% | 37.2% | D+23.5 |
| Precinct -009-Woodstock009-Woodstock | 441 | 401 | 18 | 860 | 51.3% | 46.6% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct -009-Lisbon009-Lisbon | 369 | 477 | 11 | 857 | 43.1% | 55.7% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -009-Franconia009-Franconia | 542 | 267 | 19 | 828 | 65.5% | 32.2% | D+33.2 |
| Precinct -009-Grafton009-Grafton | 318 | 452 | 20 | 790 | 40.3% | 57.2% | R+17.0 |
| Precinct -009-Bath009-Bath | 257 | 434 | 7 | 698 | 36.8% | 62.2% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -009-Wentworth009-Wentworth | 211 | 408 | 14 | 633 | 33.3% | 64.5% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -009-Hebron009-Hebron | 277 | 277 | 5 | 559 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -009-Monroe009-Monroe | 215 | 319 | 12 | 546 | 39.4% | 58.4% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -009-Warren009-Warren | 184 | 324 | 6 | 514 | 35.8% | 63.0% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -009-Sugar Hill009-Sugar Hill | 323 | 163 | 12 | 498 | 64.9% | 32.7% | D+32.1 |
| Precinct -009-Piermont009-Piermont | 241 | 228 | 3 | 472 | 51.1% | 48.3% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct -009-Waterville Valley009-Waterville Valley | 255 | 163 | 10 | 428 | 59.6% | 38.1% | D+21.5 |
| Precinct -009-Groton009-Groton | 132 | 252 | 5 | 389 | 33.9% | 64.8% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -009-Lyman009-Lyman | 166 | 214 | 7 | 387 | 42.9% | 55.3% | R+12.4 |
| Precinct -009-Landaff009-Landaff | 126 | 169 | 3 | 298 | 42.3% | 56.7% | R+14.4 |
| Precinct -009-Dorchester009-Dorchester | 100 | 141 | 4 | 245 | 40.8% | 57.6% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -009-Easton009-Easton | 165 | 75 | 2 | 242 | 68.2% | 31.0% | D+37.2 |
| Precinct -009-Benton009-Benton | 76 | 154 | 4 | 234 | 32.5% | 65.8% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -009-Orange009-Orange | 94 | 103 | 6 | 203 | 46.3% | 50.7% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -009-Ellsworth009-Ellsworth | 37 | 36 | 1 | 74 | 50.0% | 48.6% | D+1.4 |
| LEBANON WARD 133_33009LEBA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEBANON WARD 233_33009LEBA02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEBANON WARD 333_33009LEBA03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ALEXANDRIA Voting District33_33009ALEX01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ASHLAND Voting District33_33009ASHL01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BATH Voting District33_33009BATH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BENTON Voting District33_33009BENT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BETHLEHEM Voting District33_33009BETH01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BRIDGEWATER Voting District33_33009BRID01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF BRISTOL Voting District33_33009BRIS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CAMPTON Voting District33_33009CAMP01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF CANAAN Voting District33_33009CANA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF DORCHESTER Voting District33_33009DORC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF EASTON Voting District33_33009EASN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ELLSWORTH Voting District33_33009ELLS01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ENFIELD Voting District33_33009ENFI01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF FRANCONIA Voting District33_33009FRCA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GRAFTON Voting District33_33009GRAF01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF GROTON Voting District33_33009GROT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HANOVER Voting District33_33009HANO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HAVERHILL Voting District33_33009HAVE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HEBRON Voting District33_33009HEBR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF HOLDERNESS Voting District33_33009HOLD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LANDAFF Voting District33_33009LAND01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LINCOLN Voting District33_33009LINC01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LISBON Voting District33_33009LISB01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LITTLETON Voting District33_33009LITT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LYMAN Voting District33_33009LYMA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF LYME Voting District33_33009LYME01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF MONROE Voting District33_33009MONR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ORANGE Voting District33_33009ORAN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF ORFORD Voting District33_33009ORFO01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PIERMONT Voting District33_33009PIER01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF PLYMOUTH Voting District33_33009PLYM01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF RUMNEY Voting District33_33009RUMN01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF SUGAR HILL Voting District33_33009SUGA01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF THORNTON Voting District33_33009THOR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WARREN Voting District33_33009WARR01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WATERVILLE VALLEY Voting District33_33009WATE01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WENTWORTH Voting District33_33009WENT01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TOWN OF WOODSTOCK Voting District33_33009WOOD01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −0.3% |
| 1896 | −42.8% |
| 1900 | −25.6% |
| 1904 | −26.7% |
| 1908 | −27.1% |
| 1912 | +2.4% |
| 1916 | −1.6% |
| 1920 | −22.5% |
| 1924 | −31.4% |
| 1928 | −34.8% |
| 1932 | −12.8% |
| 1936 | −14.1% |
| 1940 | −8.1% |
| 1944 | −11.2% |
| 1948 | −28.0% |
| 1952 | −44.5% |
| 1956 | −48.1% |
| 1960 | −29.8% |
| 1964 | +19.5% |
| 1968 | −23.5% |
| 1972 | −32.5% |
| 1976 | −22.7% |
| 1980 | −29.4% |
| 1984 | −35.5% |
| 1988 | −24.6% |
| 1992 | +5.3% |
| 1996 | +16.2% |
| 2000 | +0.6% |
| 2004 | +12.6% |
| 2008 | +27.7% |
| 2012 | +23.7% |
| 2016 | +18.6% |
| 2020 | +24.5% |
| 2024 | +19.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 36 Senate · 3 Senate special · 25 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+6.1
Presidential vote · 2024D+19.8
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Republican.
66,176 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+482 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,981 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $104,691 in average income, against $114,638 for residents who stayed — 9% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+17.6 on average — 2.2 points more Republican-leaning than Grafton County, NH itself (D+19.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Merrimack County, NH208D+5.2
- Windsor County, VT205D+35.3
- Middlesex County, MA182D+39.2
- Belknap County, NH157R+13.0
- Hillsborough County, NH140D+2.9
- Sullivan County, NH124R+0.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Merrimack County, NH205
- Windsor County, VT191
- Sullivan County, NH178
- Belknap County, NH151
- Hillsborough County, NH143
- Middlesex County, MA131
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −238 |
| 2012 | −22 |
| 2013 | +120 |
| 2014 | −126 |
| 2015 | −773 |
| 2016 | +369 |
| 2017 | −166 |
| 2018 | −132 |
| 2019 | +209 |
| 2021 | −577 |
| 2022 | +2,382 |
| 2023 | +51 |
| 2024 | +402 |
| 2025 | +482 |
Grafton County's tilt toward Democrats is anchored by the Dartmouth College community in Hanover, while its rural towns and White Mountain terrain produce a more varied electorate than the topline margin suggests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.7 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.8 points.
A population of 92,120, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,261 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cumberland County and Addison County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cumberland County
Maine
96.6twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Addison County
Vermont
96.5twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Washington County
Vermont
96.4twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grafton County, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/33009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Grafton County
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Grafton County, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grafton County, New Hampshire voted Democratic by 19.8 points (D+19.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 55,898 votes cast, 32,995 went Democratic and 21,910 went Republican.
When did Grafton County, New Hampshire last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Grafton County, New Hampshire voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Grafton County, New Hampshire?
Grafton County, New Hampshire has a population of 92,120 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grafton County, New Hampshire?
Median household income in Grafton County, New Hampshire is $88,261 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of Grafton County, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Grafton County, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.