- Lead
- 169
- Total
- 2,631
- vs nation
- D+7.9
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 9
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 223
- Total
- 2,515
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Lead
- 9
- Total
- 2,286
- vs nation
- R+2.5
- Lead
- 252
- Total
- 2,127
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Lead
- 327
- Total
- 2,152
- vs nation
- D+7.9
- Lead
- 160
- Total
- 2,011
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Lead
- 67
- Total
- 1,646
- vs nation
- R+4.6
- Lead
- 104
- Total
- 1,481
- vs nation
- R+1.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4102024 5-year
- Population density
- 36 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 121 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $81,7082024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+15.2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Grafton 03, NH · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 9 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
57.4%
511 votes · D+14.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
75.5%
689 votes · R+51.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 74.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,384votes
52.6% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,347 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,215votes
46.2% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,124 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+10.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+8.0 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +8.0 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+42.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+17.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +41.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%1,570 | 39.5%1,026 | 2,596 |
With roughly 4,400 residents tucked into New Hampshire's Grafton County, this compact district leaned Democratic by 6.4 points in the 2024 presidential race, a margin that reflects the region's mix of rural voters and college-town influence.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 51.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.4 points.
A population of 4,410, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,708 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 03 and State House District Grafton 06.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 9. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33409/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.