HarrisDemocratic46.5%1,362TrumpRepublican52.1%1,524OtherAll other candidates1.4%40
R+5.5- Lead
- 162
- Total
- 2,926
- vs nation
- R+4.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic44.4%1,210TrumpRepublican53.9%1,468OtherAll other candidates1.7%46
R+9.5- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 2,724
- vs nation
- R+13.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic37.4%896TrumpRepublican55.4%1,327OtherAll other candidates7.2%173
R+18.0- Lead
- 431
- Total
- 2,396
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic45.9%1,038RomneyRepublican52.2%1,181OtherAll other candidates1.9%44
R+6.3- Lead
- 143
- Total
- 2,263
- vs nation
- R+10.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic48.5%1,103McCainRepublican50.5%1,147OtherAll other candidates1.0%23
R+1.9- Lead
- 44
- Total
- 2,273
- vs nation
- R+9.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic44.9%1,018BushRepublican54.1%1,227OtherAll other candidates0.9%21
R+9.2- Lead
- 209
- Total
- 2,266
- vs nation
- R+6.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.8%713BushRepublican57.7%1,089OtherAll other candidates4.5%84
R+19.9- Lead
- 376
- Total
- 1,886
- vs nation
- R+20.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic41.6%689DoleRepublican49.5%819OtherAll other candidates8.9%147
R+7.9- Lead
- 130
- Total
- 1,655
- vs nation
- R+16.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,4042024 5-year
- Population density
- 115 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 38.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,9652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Strafford 06, NH · twin score 94.9
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
48.9%
488 votes · R+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 48.5%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
81.1%
941 votes · R+62.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 80.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
1,362votes
46.5% of the vote · R+5.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,210 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,524votes
52.1% of the vote · R+5.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,468 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−4.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.5 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −6.8 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+59.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +54.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn SellersState House · Grafton 10
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%1,568 | 39.5%1,025 | 2,593 |
With roughly 4,400 residents, Grafton 10 is one of New Hampshire's more sparsely populated state house districts, and its R+5.5 presidential margin in 2024 reflects the modest conservative lean common to rural Grafton County communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 62.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.5 points.
A population of 4,404, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,965 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Strafford 06 and State House District 44.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District Strafford 06
New Hampshire
94.9twin score
population scale% unaffiliated% Evangelical≠ Scottish ancestry
State House District 44
Maine
94.2twin score
population scale% unaffiliated% White
State House District Grafton 11
New Hampshire
94.0twin score
population scale% unaffiliatedScottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33410/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 voted Republican by 5.5 points (R+5.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,926 votes cast, 1,362 went Democratic and 1,524 went Republican.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 has a population of 4,404 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 is $79,965 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 10 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 38 went Republican.