- Lead
- 487
- Total
- 2,862
- vs nation
- R+15.5
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 11
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 374
- Total
- 2,775
- vs nation
- R+17.9
- Lead
- 481
- Total
- 2,477
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Lead
- 186
- Total
- 2,257
- vs nation
- R+12.1
- Lead
- 104
- Total
- 2,265
- vs nation
- R+11.9
- Lead
- 246
- Total
- 2,212
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Lead
- 406
- Total
- 1,888
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Lead
- 168
- Total
- 1,688
- vs nation
- R+18.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,3622024 5-year
- Population density
- 31 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 142 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $88,4692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Grafton 05, NH · twin score 96.4
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 11 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
47.5%
453 votes · R+5.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 47.0%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
82.2%
922 votes · R+64.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 81.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,170votes
42.2% of the vote · R+13.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,167 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,654votes
57.8% of the vote · R+17.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,544 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−8.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.1 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −11.9 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+60.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.8 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +56.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.5%1,553 | 39.5%1,015 | 2,568 |
With roughly 4,300 residents spread across a sparsely populated corner of Grafton County, this district backed the 2024 Republican presidential nominee by more than 17 points, reflecting a consistent rightward tilt common to rural northern New England districts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 64.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.0 points.
A population of 4,362, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $88,469 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 05 and State House District Carroll 05.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 11. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33411/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.