akashic
1876–2024
State House District Carroll 05·New Hampshire

New Hampshire 105th State House District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A rural Lakes Region seat that tilts heavily toward Republican candidates

18762024·38 elections
NH
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
3,924
2024 ACS

New Hampshire 105th State House District, New Hampshire: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+71 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
3,9242024 5-year
Median household income
$86,4632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.3%2024 5-year
Black
0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+71 in 1956MIT Election Lab
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−1.8%
1,2741,3202,625
D
+1.5%
1,2611,2232,522
R
−5.6%
9841,1092,244
R
−0.8%
1,0591,0762,167
D
+6.3%
1,1531,0142,190
R
−4.6%
1,0091,1072,138
R
−11.5%
7469541,809
R
−1.4%
6736951,573
R
−6.7%
5506601,644
R
−42.7%
3909841,390
R
−51.3%
2889011,194
R
−46.3%
2367561,124
R
−42.5%
256649924
R
−55.4%
181646839
R
−49.7%
164515706
R
−10.1%
307376683
R
−59.3%
145567712
R
−70.8%
97570668
R
−65.1%
120568688
R
−52.8%
142464610
R
−36.3%
186398584
R
−32.7%
217428646
R
−33.0%
210418631
R
−29.3%
218399618
R
−54.9%
121417539
R
−32.2%
168331506
R
−29.6%
173319493
R
−5.8%
152171325
D
+8.8%
138110320
R
−22.8%
121194320
R
−21.3%
127197329
R
−16.7%
141199347
R
−37.3%
92212322
D
+0.3%
172171350
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
26.4%
Irish
20.5%
German
10.4%
Italian
9.1%
French
7.5%
Scottish
7.3%
American
4.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.2%
speak English only
Other Indo-European1.7%
Spanish1.5%
Other languages0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
9.5%
Other Christian
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Methodist
0.9%
Baptist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 81.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a population under 4,500 and a 2024 presidential margin of R+25.3, Carroll 05 ranks among New Hampshire's most reliably Republican state house districts, reflecting the rural, small-town character of the Lakes Region interior.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached seventy-one points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 3,924, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $86,463 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire voted Republican by 1.8 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,625 votes cast, 1,274 went Democratic and 1,320 went Republican.
What is State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 30 times, and other 0 times.
When did State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire?
State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire has a population of 3,924 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire?
Median household income in State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire is $86,463 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District Carroll 05, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.