akashic
1876–2024
Carroll County, New Hampshire
Carroll County·New Hampshire

Carroll County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A Lakes Region swing county decided by fewer than 900 votes in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Carroll County, New Hampshire · Magicpiano · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+2
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
51,804
2024 ACS
Most similar
Warren County
NY · similarity 0.95
19 precincts · 34,658 votes cast
Trump · R+2
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−1.7%
16,82217,42634,658
2020D
+1.5%
16,64916,15033,297
2016R
−5.6%
12,98714,63529,616
2012R
−0.8%
13,97714,20728,602
2008D
+6.3%
15,22113,38728,910
2004R
−4.6%
13,31914,61428,222
2000R
−11.5%
9,85212,59723,879
1996R
−1.4%
8,8819,16820,763
1992R
−6.7%
7,2588,71521,703
1988R
−42.7%
5,15312,98318,344
1984R
−51.3%
3,80611,89115,764
1980R
−46.2%
3,1199,98014,841
1976R
−42.5%
3,3748,56112,198
1972R
−55.4%
2,3958,52511,070
1968R
−49.7%
2,1636,7959,317
1964R
−10.0%
4,0584,9579,015
1960R
−59.2%
1,9187,4879,405
1956R
−70.8%
1,2817,5278,816
1952R
−65.2%
1,5787,4989,076
1948R
−52.9%
1,8696,1278,050
1944R
−36.2%
2,4615,2517,713
1940R
−32.7%
2,8705,6568,526
1936R
−33.1%
2,7695,5218,325
1932R
−29.4%
2,8735,2698,161
1928R
−55.0%
1,5925,5097,117
1924R
−32.3%
2,2134,3726,685
1920R
−29.7%
2,2794,2146,510
1916R
−6.0%
2,0032,2594,294
1912D
+8.7%
1,8201,4544,221
1908R
−23.0%
1,5912,5624,218
1904R
−21.0%
1,6832,5944,339
1900R
−16.7%
1,8592,6264,586
1896R
−37.3%
1,2142,8004,250
1892D
+0.3%
2,2672,2534,615
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
9.5%
Other Christian
3.3%
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
Methodist
0.9%
Baptist
0.8%
Non-Christian
0.6%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 81.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carroll County's economy revolves around tourism and second-home ownership along Lake Winnipesaukee, drawing a mix of year-round working residents and seasonal transplants whose competing priorities have kept presidential margins within single digits for over a decade.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached seventy-one points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Carroll County's demographics — a population of 51,804, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $86,463 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Rockingham County.