- Lead
- 1,766
- Total
- 38,680
- vs nation
- R+3.1
New Hampshire 3rd State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 37,008
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Lead
- 2,575
- Total
- 33,009
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Lead
- 638
- Total
- 31,684
- vs nation
- R+5.9
- Lead
- 1,566
- Total
- 32,052
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 1,506
- Total
- 31,100
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 3,014
- Total
- 26,283
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 228
- Total
- 22,796
- vs nation
- R+9.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 57,0812024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,310 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $86,1962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+6.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.1 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 2, NH · twin score 95.8
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire 3rd State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
52.9%
2,594 votes · D+5.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 51.7%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
83.0%
8,573 votes · R+66.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 79.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
18,223votes
47.1% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,077 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
19,989votes
51.7% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,380 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−2.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.8 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −2.4 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+54.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.9 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +52.9 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Covering a largely rural stretch of northern New Hampshire, this district's 2024 presidential margin of R+4.6 points marks it as among the state's most competitive, where small swings in voter turnout can flip outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 66.1 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.6 points.
A population of 57,081, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,196 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 2 and State Senate District 6.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire 3rd State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/33003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.