State House District Carroll 04 State House District (NH) — Elections 1876–2024

New Hampshire 104th State House District, New Hampshire: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+2%. Republican peak: R+71 in 1956.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+2MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: TossupAkashic typology
Population: 8,9362024 5-year
Median household income: $86,4632024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 94.3%2024 5-year
Black: 0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+9 in 1912MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+71 in 1956MIT Election Lab

2024 results by constituent county

1 counties · 0 D · 1 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−1.7%	2,902	3,006	5,979
2020	D	+1.5%	2,872	2,786	5,744
2016	R	−5.6%	2,240	2,525	5,109
2012	R	−0.8%	2,411	2,451	4,934
2008	D	+6.4%	2,626	2,309	4,987
2004	R	−4.6%	2,298	2,521	4,868
2000	R	−11.5%	1,700	2,173	4,119
1996	R	−1.4%	1,532	1,582	3,582
1992	R	−6.7%	1,252	1,503	3,744
1988	R	−42.7%	889	2,240	3,164
1984	R	−51.3%	657	2,051	2,719
1980	R	−46.3%	538	1,722	2,560
1976	R	−42.5%	582	1,477	2,104
1972	R	−55.4%	413	1,471	1,910
1968	R	−49.7%	373	1,172	1,607
1964	R	−10.0%	700	855	1,555
1960	R	−59.2%	331	1,292	1,622
1956	R	−70.8%	221	1,298	1,521
1952	R	−65.2%	272	1,293	1,566
1948	R	−52.9%	322	1,057	1,389
1944	R	−36.1%	425	906	1,331
1940	R	−32.7%	495	976	1,471
1936	R	−33.0%	478	952	1,436
1932	R	−29.3%	496	909	1,408
1928	R	−55.0%	275	950	1,228
1924	R	−32.3%	382	754	1,153
1920	R	−29.7%	393	727	1,123
1916	R	−5.9%	346	390	741
1912	D	+8.7%	314	251	728
1908	R	−23.1%	274	442	728
1904	R	−21.0%	290	447	749
1900	R	−16.7%	321	453	791
1896	R	−37.4%	209	483	733
1892	D	+0.3%	391	389	796
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

English

26.4%

Irish

20.5%

German

10.4%

Italian

9.1%

French

7.5%

Scottish

7.3%

American

4.0%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 54.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.7%

85+

1.0%

5.0%

75–84

5.0%

9.7%

65–74

9.5%

9.0%

55–64

9.5%

5.8%

45–54

5.7%

4.7%

35–44

4.8%

25–34

4.3%

3.0%

18–24

2.8%

6.3%

5–17

5.3%

1.6%

1.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$86,463

State House District Carroll 04 ranks near the middle of US counties.

State House District Carroll 04$86,463

New Hampshire$99,031

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

7.6%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 186.7%

Working age (18–64)7.7%

Seniors (65+)7.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

96.2%

speak English only

Other Indo-European1.7%

Spanish1.5%

Other languages0.4%

Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

9.5%

Other Christian

3.3%

Mainline Protestant

3.3%

Methodist

0.9%

Baptist

0.8%

Non-Christian

0.6%

Pentecostal & Holiness

0.2%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 81.4% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Carroll 04 covers a lightly populated stretch of New Hampshire's Lakes and White Mountain region, where the 2024 presidential contest broke R+20.8 — among the wider margins in a state that itself has grown increasingly competitive statewide.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached nine points in 1912; the Republican margin reached seventy-one points in 1956. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 8,936, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $86,463 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33104/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire vote in 2024?

In 2024, State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire voted Republican by 1.7 points (R+2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,979 votes cast, 2,902 went Democratic and 3,006 went Republican.

What is State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire's political archetype?

Akashic classifies State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 30 times, and other 0 times.

When did State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire?

State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire has a population of 8,936 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire?

Median household income in State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire is $86,463 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.

What is the political history of State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District Carroll 04, New Hampshire from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

New Hampshire 104th State House District delivered R+2 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

Key facts

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions