- Lead
- 4,065
- Total
- 24,456
- vs nation
- D+18.1
- Turnout
- 81.4%
Sagadahoc County, ME
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.4% of 30,467 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,773
- Total
- 24,280
- vs nation
- D+11.1
- Turnout
- 85.3%
- Lead
- 1,360
- Total
- 21,616
- vs nation
- D+4.2
- Turnout
- 79.5%
- Lead
- 3,392
- Total
- 20,794
- vs nation
- D+12.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,431
- Total
- 21,301
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,610
- Total
- 21,079
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 792
- Total
- 18,406
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,071
- Total
- 16,924
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+16.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,2852024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,8062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lincoln County, ME · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 81.4%24,810 participants ÷ 30,467 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.8%–69.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,356 | 28,131 | 79.5% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,543 | 28,024 | 69.7% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,280 | 28,459 | 85.3% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 20,950 | 29,649 | 70.7% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 24,810 | 30,467 | 81.4% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 24,456 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 230802302323080 | 4,112 | 2,302 | 143 | 6,557 | 62.7% | 35.1% | D+27.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 230202302323020 | 3,492 | 1,581 | 135 | 5,208 | 67.1% | 30.4% | D+36.7 |
| Precinct 231002302323100 | 1,087 | 1,090 | 58 | 2,235 | 48.6% | 48.8% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct 230702302323070 | 966 | 1,143 | 49 | 2,158 | 44.8% | 53.0% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct 230402302323040 | 1,111 | 906 | 59 | 2,076 | 53.5% | 43.6% | D+9.9 |
| Precinct 230302302323030 | 770 | 1,137 | 28 | 1,935 | 39.8% | 58.8% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct 230602302323060 | 849 | 762 | 32 | 1,643 | 51.7% | 46.4% | D+5.3 |
| Precinct 230902302323090 | 777 | 622 | 26 | 1,425 | 54.5% | 43.6% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct 230502302323050 | 553 | 284 | 24 | 861 | 64.2% | 33.0% | D+31.2 |
| Precinct 230102302323010 | 265 | 90 | 3 | 358 | 74.0% | 25.1% | D+48.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −26.7% |
| 1896 | −46.5% |
| 1900 | −35.0% |
| 1904 | −40.9% |
| 1908 | −33.8% |
| 1912 | +12.8% |
| 1916 | −1.0% |
| 1920 | −38.1% |
| 1924 | −50.7% |
| 1928 | −48.7% |
| 1932 | −20.7% |
| 1936 | −6.1% |
| 1940 | +13.2% |
| 1944 | +1.5% |
| 1948 | −18.7% |
| 1952 | −34.0% |
| 1956 | −45.9% |
| 1960 | −23.4% |
| 1964 | +43.9% |
| 1968 | +14.4% |
| 1972 | −30.8% |
| 1976 | −3.9% |
| 1980 | −2.2% |
| 1984 | −27.6% |
| 1988 | −17.2% |
| 1992 | +4.9% |
| 1996 | +18.1% |
| 2000 | +4.3% |
| 2004 | +7.6% |
| 2008 | +16.1% |
| 2012 | +16.3% |
| 2016 | +6.3% |
| 2020 | +15.5% |
| 2024 | +16.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 59.0%13,978 | 41.0%9,722 | 23,700 |
| 2018 | D | 59.3%10,634 | 40.7%7,301 | 17,935 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.1 points more Republican.
29,813 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+329 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,504 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $75,335 in average income, against $81,932 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.0 on average — 1.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Sagadahoc County, ME itself (D+16.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cumberland County, ME436D+35.3
- Kennebec County, ME128R+2.7
- Androscoggin County, ME127R+6.1
- Lincoln County, ME83D+11.3
- York County, ME48D+10.5
- Penobscot County, ME32R+10.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cumberland County, ME330
- Androscoggin County, ME151
- Kennebec County, ME150
- Lincoln County, ME79
- York County, ME48
- Somerset County, ME26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −102 |
| 2012 | −55 |
| 2013 | −71 |
| 2014 | +41 |
| 2015 | +98 |
| 2016 | +93 |
| 2017 | +344 |
| 2018 | +299 |
| 2019 | +255 |
| 2021 | +585 |
| 2022 | +311 |
| 2023 | +234 |
| 2024 | +143 |
| 2025 | +329 |
Sagadahoc, anchored by the small city of Bath and its historic shipbuilding identity, has posted double-digit Democratic presidential margins in recent cycles, standing out as one of coastal Maine's more consistent blue-leaning jurisdictions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 50.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.6 points.
A population of 37,285, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,806 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln County and Knox County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sagadahoc County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23023/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.