- Lead
- 681
- Total
- 6,534
- vs nation
- D+11.9
Maine 49th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 512
- Total
- 6,328
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Lead
- 1
- Total
- 5,663
- vs nation
- R+2.1
- Lead
- 532
- Total
- 5,429
- vs nation
- D+5.9
- Lead
- 536
- Total
- 5,584
- vs nation
- D+2.3
- Lead
- 54
- Total
- 5,549
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Lead
- 90
- Total
- 4,822
- vs nation
- R+2.4
- Lead
- 579
- Total
- 4,334
- vs nation
- D+4.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,6682024 5-year
- Population density
- 85 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 102 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $102,5262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.3 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 48, ME · twin score 94.5
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 49th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
69.2%
1,742 votes · D+38.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 54.1%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.8%
1,308 votes · R+53.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 76.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
3,536votes
54.1% of the vote · D+10.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 3,351 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,855votes
43.7% of the vote · D+10.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,839 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+38.4 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +11.9 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+47.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +45.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | D | 59.0%3,250 | 41.0%2,260 | 5,510 |
| 2018 | D | 59.3%2,472 | 40.7%1,697 | 4,169 |
With fewer than 9,000 residents, this compact Maine House district posted a 10.4-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the leftward tilt common to smaller coastal and college-proximate communities in the state's southern half.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 56.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.4 points.
A population of 8,668, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $102,526 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 46.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 49th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.