HarrisDemocratic52.4%435,652TrumpRepublican45.5%377,977SteinGreen Independent1.1%8,967
D+6.9- Lead
- 57,675
- Total
- 831,375
- vs nation
- D+8.4
- Turnout
- 75.6%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,387,8172024 5-year
- Population density
- 45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30,845 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,7332024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- New Hampshire, NH · twin score 84.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 75.6%842,447 participants ÷ 1,114,202 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 60.9%–62.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 771,892 | 1,051,867 | 73.4% | E/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 646,083 | 1,059,542 | 61.0% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 822,534 | 1,070,612 | 76.8% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 680,909 | 1,095,863 | 62.1% | E/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 842,447 | 1,114,202 | 75.6% | E/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 275/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 284/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 287/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Maine · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.8%
262,264 votes · D+37.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.7%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
72.0%
138,440 votes · R+50.2
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
435,652votes
52.4% of the vote · D+6.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 435,072 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
377,977votes
45.5% of the vote · D+6.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 360,737 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+15.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+37.7 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +12.9 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+38.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.0 · U.S. D+24.3
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +32.6 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governoropen seat
Hannah PingreenomineeBobby CharlesnomineeRick Bennett
Open seat: incumbent Janet Mills (D) is term-limited. Both primaries used ranked-choice voting (resolved by June 19); Pingree beat Nirav Shah, Charles beat Benjamin Midgley. Independent Rick Bennett (a longtime Republican who left the party) is a confirmed general-election candidate. The November general uses plurality, not RCV.
U.S. Senate
Susan CollinsnomineeTroy Jacksonnominee
Graham Platner won the June 9 primary with a record vote, then withdrew July 10 after a sexual-assault allegation he denies. Maine Democrats held a special nominating convention in Bangor July 25: former Senate President Troy Jackson won 566-5 and is formally the nominee on the November ballot. No independents qualified — a two-way Collins-Jackson race. Post-replacement polls: Fox News Jackson 48-46; Hart Research Jackson 49-45.
U.S. House elections · 50 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 | 53.8% | 42.0% | 831,163 | |
| D 2 | 55.7% | 39.8% | 691,464 | |
| D 2 | 58.0% | 42.0% | 809,262 | |
| D 2 | 55.1% | 40.1% | 617,610 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+4.4
Presidential vote · 2024D+6.9
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.5 points.
1,041,630 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+7,406 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +72,242 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3 |
| 2012 | −872 |
| 2013 | −783 |
| 2014 | +320 |
| 2015 | −1,253 |
| 2016 | +2,660 |
| 2017 | +4,815 |
| 2018 | +5,768 |
| 2019 | +6,613 |
| 2021 | +18,101 |
| 2022 | +14,422 |
| 2023 | +9,859 |
| 2024 | +5,189 |
| 2025 | +7,406 |
Aroostook County, along the Canadian border, voted Democratic by 7.6 points in 2012; it backed Trump by 26.2 in 2024 — a thirty-four-point move that gave the Second District its electoral vote.
- Splits its electoral votes
- One of two states (with Nebraska) awarding electors by district — in 2024 the statewide vote and ME-01 went Democratic, ME-02 to Trump · MIT Election Lab; public record
- The statewide line
- D+15.2 (2012) → D+2.7 (2016) → D+8.6 (2020) → D+6.9 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Bluest and reddest
- Cumberland County (Portland) D+35.3 against Piscataquis R+29.2 — the southern coast versus the northern interior · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The Second District’s realignment
- Aroostook County: D+7.6 (2012) → R+26.2 (2024), a 34-point move along the Canadian border · MIT Election Lab
- Oldest in the nation
- Median age 44.8 years — 1st of 50; 89.9% White, with a 6.1% French-Canadian thread · ACS 2024 5-year
- Two top races in 2026
- Open governor (Mills term-limited): Pingree (D) vs Charles (R); Sen. Collins (R) seeks a 6th term vs Jackson (D) · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New Hampshire
New Hampshire
84.4twin score
% unaffiliatedmedian age% White≠ median income
Vermont
Vermont
80.0twin score
% Whitemedian age% Latino≠ 2020 margin
Oregon
Oregon
57.4twin score
% unaffiliated2008–2012 trajectory% Black≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/ME/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Maine
Frequently asked questions
How did Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maine voted Democratic by 6.9 points (D+6.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 831,375 votes cast, 435,652 went Democratic and 377,977 went Republican.
When did Maine last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Maine voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Maine?
Maine has a population of 1,387,817 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maine?
Median household income in Maine is $74,733 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Maine?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Maine from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.