HarrisDemocratic42.7%14,765TrumpRepublican55.6%19,228SteinIndependent0.9%305
R+12.9- Lead
- 4,463
- Total
- 34,590
- vs nation
- R+11.4
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Akashiccounty
Oxford County, ME
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 48,428 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.6%14,755TrumpRepublican52.3%17,698JorgensenLibertarian1.9%655
R+8.7- Lead
- 2,943
- Total
- 33,810
- vs nation
- R+13.2
- Turnout
- 71.6%
ClintonDemocratic39.0%12,172TrumpRepublican52.0%16,210JohnsonLibertarian6.6%2,055
R+12.9- Lead
- 4,038
- Total
- 31,201
- vs nation
- R+15.0
- Turnout
- 70.7%
ObamaDemocratic55.5%16,330RomneyRepublican40.8%11,996OtherAll other candidates3.7%1,094
D+14.7- Lead
- 4,334
- Total
- 29,420
- vs nation
- D+10.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic56.7%17,940McCainRepublican40.6%12,863OtherAll other candidates2.7%847
D+16.0- Lead
- 5,077
- Total
- 31,650
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic52.7%16,618BushRepublican45.0%14,196OtherAll other candidates2.3%732
D+7.7- Lead
- 2,422
- Total
- 31,546
- vs nation
- D+10.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic49.6%13,649BushRepublican43.0%11,835NaderGreen5.5%1,509
D+6.6- Lead
- 1,814
- Total
- 27,493
- vs nation
- D+6.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.0%13,580DoleRepublican27.7%7,238PerotReform17.6%4,589
D+24.3- Lead
- 6,342
- Total
- 26,091
- vs nation
- D+15.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+12.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 59,2552024 5-year
- Median household income
- $60,1732024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Franklin County, ME · twin score 96.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.7%34,719 participants ÷ 48,428 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.8%–58.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 32,090 | 45,357 | 70.7% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 25,917 | 46,049 | 56.3% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 33,492 | 46,772 | 71.6% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 27,735 | 47,503 | 58.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 34,719 | 48,428 | 71.7% | E/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 308/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 34,590 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 172102301717210 | 1,499 | 1,495 | 43 | 3,037 | 49.4% | 49.2% | D+0.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 172302301717230 | 1,206 | 1,683 | 49 | 2,938 | 41.0% | 57.3% | R+16.2 |
| Precinct 172702301717270 | 1,152 | 1,551 | 32 | 2,735 | 42.1% | 56.7% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct 172202301717220 | 803 | 1,609 | 32 | 2,444 | 32.9% | 65.8% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct 170902301717090 | 1,120 | 882 | 42 | 2,044 | 54.8% | 43.2% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct 170202301717020 | 988 | 777 | 48 | 1,813 | 54.5% | 42.9% | D+11.6 |
| Precinct 170802301717080 | 427 | 870 | 18 | 1,315 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct 171902301717190 | 523 | 729 | 15 | 1,267 | 41.3% | 57.5% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 170402301717040 | 433 | 790 | 18 | 1,241 | 34.9% | 63.7% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 172172301717217 | 547 | 660 | 29 | 1,236 | 44.3% | 53.4% | R+9.1 |
| Precinct 173302301717330 | 460 | 572 | 17 | 1,049 | 43.9% | 54.5% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 170302301717030 | 487 | 530 | 17 | 1,034 | 47.1% | 51.3% | R+4.2 |
| Precinct 173402301717340 | 385 | 631 | 16 | 1,032 | 37.3% | 61.1% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 171502301717150 | 396 | 585 | 10 | 991 | 40.0% | 59.0% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct 173502301717350 | 382 | 548 | 17 | 947 | 40.3% | 57.9% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct 172502301717250 | 325 | 597 | 21 | 943 | 34.5% | 63.3% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 172402301717240 | 284 | 584 | 15 | 883 | 32.2% | 66.1% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct 171702301717170 | 438 | 387 | 15 | 840 | 52.1% | 46.1% | D+6.1 |
| Precinct 170702301717070 | 408 | 405 | 15 | 828 | 49.3% | 48.9% | D+0.4 |
| Precinct 171402301717140 | 304 | 472 | 21 | 797 | 38.1% | 59.2% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct 171302301717130 | 277 | 447 | 12 | 736 | 37.6% | 60.7% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct 171102301717110 | 302 | 291 | 10 | 603 | 50.1% | 48.3% | D+1.8 |
| Precinct 173002301717300 | 219 | 369 | 13 | 601 | 36.4% | 61.4% | R+25.0 |
| Precinct 170602301717060 | 169 | 385 | 8 | 562 | 30.1% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct 170102301717010 | 215 | 309 | 8 | 532 | 40.4% | 58.1% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct 178022301717802 | 156 | 172 | 12 | 340 | 45.9% | 50.6% | R+4.7 |
| Precinct 173102301717310 | 157 | 119 | 6 | 282 | 55.7% | 42.2% | D+13.5 |
| Precinct 172002301717200 | 146 | 115 | 9 | 270 | 54.1% | 42.6% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct 172602301717260 | 89 | 168 | 4 | 261 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct 172902301717290 | 125 | 118 | 5 | 248 | 50.4% | 47.6% | D+2.8 |
| Precinct 172802301717280 | 97 | 95 | 5 | 197 | 49.2% | 48.2% | D+1.0 |
| Precinct 171202301717120 | 111 | 82 | 3 | 196 | 56.6% | 41.8% | D+14.8 |
| Precinct 171002301717100 | 58 | 64 | 9 | 131 | 44.3% | 48.9% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct 170502301717050 | 36 | 66 | 2 | 104 | 34.6% | 63.5% | R+28.8 |
| Precinct 171602301717160 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 57 | 45.6% | 52.6% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct 173202301717320 | 15 | 41 | 0 | 56 | 26.8% | 73.2% | R+46.4 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.4% |
| 1896 | −46.4% |
| 1900 | −31.0% |
| 1904 | −41.4% |
| 1908 | −32.2% |
| 1912 | +23.1% |
| 1916 | −5.2% |
| 1920 | −30.0% |
| 1924 | −44.5% |
| 1928 | −40.0% |
| 1932 | −6.9% |
| 1936 | −19.1% |
| 1940 | −7.1% |
| 1944 | −11.6% |
| 1948 | −17.7% |
| 1952 | −33.5% |
| 1956 | −46.1% |
| 1960 | −13.4% |
| 1964 | +43.6% |
| 1968 | +14.7% |
| 1972 | −29.0% |
| 1976 | −1.0% |
| 1980 | −4.8% |
| 1984 | −29.1% |
| 1988 | −12.5% |
| 1992 | +10.2% |
| 1996 | +24.3% |
| 2000 | +6.6% |
| 2004 | +7.7% |
| 2008 | +16.0% |
| 2012 | +14.7% |
| 2016 | −12.9% |
| 2020 | −8.7% |
| 2024 | −12.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 49.4%16,745 | 50.6%17,155 | 33,900 |
| 2020 | D | 53.4%17,703 | 46.6%15,478 | 33,181 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+8.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+12.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.7 points more Democratic.
43,427 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+715 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +5,427 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,071 in average income, against $62,352 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.0 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Oxford County, ME itself (R+12.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Androscoggin County, ME311R+6.1
- Cumberland County, ME294D+35.3
- York County, ME109D+10.5
- Carroll County, NH76R+1.7
- Kennebec County, ME68R+2.7
- Franklin County, ME58R+8.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Androscoggin County, ME273
- Cumberland County, ME228
- York County, ME99
- Kennebec County, ME72
- Franklin County, ME66
- Penobscot County, ME45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +73 |
| 2012 | −172 |
| 2013 | −48 |
| 2014 | +45 |
| 2015 | +10 |
| 2016 | +266 |
| 2017 | +348 |
| 2018 | +419 |
| 2019 | +439 |
| 2021 | +1,145 |
| 2022 | +1,137 |
| 2023 | +832 |
| 2024 | +218 |
| 2025 | +715 |
Oxford County's economy centers on timber, agriculture, and small manufacturing, and its largely white, non-college electorate has shifted more than 20 points toward Republican presidential candidates over the past four election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 46.4 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.9 points.
A population of 59,255, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,173 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Somerset County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Franklin County
Maine
96.8twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Somerset County
Maine
96.6twin score
% unaffiliated12-yr trendFrench ancestry
Coos County
New Hampshire
92.8twin score
2008–2012 trajectoryFrench ancestry12-yr trend≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Oxford County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Oxford County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Oxford County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Oxford County, Maine voted Republican by 12.9 points (R+12.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 34,590 votes cast, 14,765 went Democratic and 19,228 went Republican.
When did Oxford County, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Oxford County, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Oxford County, Maine?
Oxford County, Maine has a population of 59,255 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Oxford County, Maine?
Median household income in Oxford County, Maine is $60,173 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Oxford County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Oxford County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.