Maine 2nd Congressional District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 692,3122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,7822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Predecessors: POLIQUIN, Bruce Lee (2017–2019), POLIQUIN, Bruce Lee (2015–2017), MICHAUD, Michael H. (2013–2015), MICHAUD, Michael H. (2011–2013)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 172,936 | 212,214 | 393,026 | ||
| R | 173,911 | 200,292 | 389,593 | ||
| R | 149,707 | 184,776 | 362,575 | ||
| D | 184,010 | 152,502 | 346,844 | ||
| D | 197,725 | 157,833 | 362,975 | ||
| D | 192,541 | 172,282 | 372,034 | ||
| D | 158,530 | 148,791 | 330,260 | ||
| D | 162,332 | 92,505 | 314,944 | ||
| D | 134,951 | 102,371 | 357,521 | ||
| R | 128,263 | 156,800 | 287,311 | ||
| R | 110,998 | 182,347 | 294,586 | ||
| R | 120,011 | 130,852 | 283,225 | ||
| R | 126,723 | 128,251 | 263,436 | ||
| R | 87,700 | 141,431 | 229,283 | ||
| D | 120,216 | 94,664 | 218,392 | ||
| D | 147,338 | 66,922 | 214,382 | ||
| R | 103,320 | 135,036 | 238,357 | ||
| R | 54,587 | 137,938 | 192,525 | ||
| R | 65,581 | 127,701 | 193,643 | ||
| R | 61,983 | 82,169 | 145,439 | ||
| R | 76,360 | 87,290 | 163,837 | ||
| R | 89,155 | 95,813 | 185,221 | ||
| R | 71,370 | 98,883 | 176,034 | ||
| R | 78,056 | 95,079 | 174,846 | ||
| R | 46,801 | 105,518 | 152,944 | ||
| R | 23,317 | 78,512 | 108,579 | ||
| R | 33,294 | 80,288 | 114,992 | ||
| R | 38,019 | 42,596 | 82,288 | ||
| O | 29,870 | 14,211 | 78,035 | ||
| R | 20,354 | 41,310 | 63,660 | ||
| R | 15,079 | 40,174 | 57,402 | ||
| R | 21,303 | 40,692 | 64,146 | ||
| R | 20,654 | 49,790 | 72,360 | ||
| R | 27,964 | 38,074 | 69,524 | ||
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U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | O | 10.5% | 33.8% | 842,447 |
| 2020 | R | 41.9% | 50.4% | 828,305 |
| 2018 | O | 10.4% | 35.2% | 634,409 |
| 2014 | R | 30.8% | 67.0% | 616,996 |
| 2012 | O | 12.8% | 29.7% | 724,720 |
| 2008 | R | 38.6% | 61.3% | 724,430 |
| 2006 | R | 20.8% | 74.4% | 545,128 |
| 2002 | R | 41.6% | 58.4% | 504,899 |
| 2000 | R | 31.1% | 68.9% | 634,872 |
| 1996 | R | 43.9% | 49.2% | 606,777 |
| 1994 | R | 36.4% | 60.2% | 511,733 |
| 1990 | R | 38.6% | 61.3% | 520,320 |
| 1988 | D | 81.3% | 18.7% | 556,745 |
| 1984 | R | 25.9% | 73.3% | 551,406 |
| 1982 | D | 60.9% | 39.1% | 459,715 |
| 1978 | R | 33.9% | 56.6% | 375,114 |
| 1976 | D | 60.2% | 39.8% | 486,193 |
Demographics
Covering roughly 80% of Maine's land area, this rural, working-class district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering its single electoral vote to the Republican presidential nominee in 2016, 2020, and 2024 by growing margins.
The Democratic margin in Maine 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 92% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $64,782 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Congressional District 2, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2302/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.