akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 2·Maine

Maine 2nd Congressional District delivered R+10 in 2024.

Maine's vast second district splits its Electoral College vote more often than not

18762024·38 elections
ME
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
692,312
2024 ACS

Maine 2nd Congressional District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+10%. Republican peak: R+51 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+10MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
692,3122024 5-year
Median household income
$64,7822024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.7%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+51 in 1924MIT Election Lab
D
GOLDEN, JaredCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: POLIQUIN, Bruce Lee (2017–2019), POLIQUIN, Bruce Lee (2015–2017), MICHAUD, Michael H. (2013–2015), MICHAUD, Michael H. (2011–2013)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

11 counties · 2 D · 9 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−10.0%
172,936212,214393,026
R
−6.8%
173,911200,292389,593
R
−9.7%
149,707184,776362,575
D
+9.1%
184,010152,502346,844
D
+11.0%
197,725157,833362,975
D
+5.4%
192,541172,282372,034
D
+2.9%
158,530148,791330,260
D
+22.2%
162,33292,505314,944
D
+9.1%
134,951102,371357,521
R
−9.9%
128,263156,800287,311
R
−24.2%
110,998182,347294,586
R
−3.8%
120,011130,852283,225
R
−0.6%
126,723128,251263,436
R
−23.4%
87,700141,431229,283
D
+11.7%
120,21694,664218,392
D
+37.5%
147,33866,922214,382
R
−13.3%
103,320135,036238,357
R
−43.3%
54,587137,938192,525
R
−32.1%
65,581127,701193,643
R
−13.9%
61,98382,169145,439
R
−6.7%
76,36087,290163,837
R
−3.6%
89,15595,813185,221
R
−15.6%
71,37098,883176,034
R
−9.7%
78,05695,079174,846
R
−38.4%
46,801105,518152,944
R
−50.8%
23,31778,512108,579
R
−40.9%
33,29480,288114,992
R
−5.6%
38,01942,59682,288
O
+20.1%
29,87014,21178,035
R
−32.9%
20,35441,31063,660
R
−43.7%
15,07940,17457,402
R
−30.2%
21,30340,69264,146
R
−40.3%
20,65449,79072,360
R
−14.5%
27,96438,07469,524
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024O10.5%33.8%842,447
2020R41.9%50.4%828,305
2018O10.4%35.2%634,409
2014R30.8%67.0%616,996
2012O12.8%29.7%724,720
2008R38.6%61.3%724,430
2006R20.8%74.4%545,128
2002R41.6%58.4%504,899
2000R31.1%68.9%634,872
1996R43.9%49.2%606,777
1994R36.4%60.2%511,733
1990R38.6%61.3%520,320
1988D81.3%18.7%556,745
1984R25.9%73.3%551,406
1982D60.9%39.1%459,715
1978R33.9%56.6%375,114
1976D60.2%39.8%486,193

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.7%
Irish
15.0%
French
12.7%
German
7.1%
American
6.8%
Italian
4.4%
Scottish
4.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.0%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.8%
Spanish0.9%
Other languages0.7%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.4%
Other Christian
6.6%
Baptist
1.9%
Methodist
1.7%
Mainline Protestant
1.5%
Non-Christian
1.2%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 70.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Covering roughly 80% of Maine's land area, this rural, working-class district has shifted steadily rightward over the past decade, delivering its single electoral vote to the Republican presidential nominee in 2016, 2020, and 2024 by growing margins.

The Democratic margin in Maine 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by ten points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 92% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $64,782 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 2, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2302/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 2, Maine voted Republican by 10.0 points (R+10), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 393,026 votes cast, 172,936 went Democratic and 212,214 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 2, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Maine as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Congressional District 2, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Congressional District 2, Maine?
Congressional District 2, Maine has a population of 692,312 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Maine?
Median household income in Congressional District 2, Maine is $64,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.