HarrisDemocratic50.4%12,661TrumpRepublican47.0%11,815SteinIndependent1.4%347
D+3.4- Lead
- 846
- Total
- 25,130
- vs nation
- D+4.8
- Turnout
- 77.8%
Akashiccounty
Waldo County, ME
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.8% of 32,686 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.3%12,345TrumpRepublican45.6%11,196JorgensenLibertarian1.6%403
D+4.7- Lead
- 1,149
- Total
- 24,566
- vs nation
- D+0.2
- Turnout
- 77.0%
ClintonDemocratic46.0%10,440TrumpRepublican45.7%10,378JohnsonLibertarian5.4%1,224
D+0.3- Lead
- 62
- Total
- 22,707
- vs nation
- R+1.8
- Turnout
- 76.0%
ObamaDemocratic53.6%11,296RomneyRepublican43.0%9,058OtherAll other candidates3.4%707
D+10.6- Lead
- 2,238
- Total
- 21,061
- vs nation
- D+6.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.8%11,967McCainRepublican43.1%9,423OtherAll other candidates2.1%460
D+11.6- Lead
- 2,544
- Total
- 21,850
- vs nation
- D+4.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic51.8%11,555BushRepublican46.2%10,309OtherAll other candidates2.0%454
D+5.6- Lead
- 1,246
- Total
- 22,318
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic44.3%8,477BushRepublican45.4%8,689NaderGreen8.8%1,690
R+1.1- Lead
- 212
- Total
- 19,138
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.4%8,012DoleRepublican30.8%5,318PerotReform16.3%2,816
D+15.6- Lead
- 2,694
- Total
- 17,279
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+3.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 40,1922024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,7822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hancock County, ME · twin score 97.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 77.8%25,436 participants ÷ 32,686 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 66.0%–66.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,471 | 30,882 | 76.0% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,084 | 31,497 | 63.8% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,566 | 31,901 | 77.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 21,149 | 32,232 | 65.6% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,436 | 32,686 | 77.8% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 25,130 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 270102302727010 | 2,865 | 1,228 | 119 | 4,212 | 68.0% | 29.2% | D+38.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 272602302727260 | 1,025 | 1,306 | 36 | 2,367 | 43.3% | 55.2% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct 271102302727110 | 1,120 | 590 | 51 | 1,761 | 63.6% | 33.5% | D+30.1 |
| Precinct 271902302727190 | 899 | 781 | 24 | 1,704 | 52.8% | 45.8% | D+6.9 |
| Precinct 272002302727200 | 585 | 561 | 15 | 1,161 | 50.4% | 48.3% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct 271502302727150 | 689 | 411 | 21 | 1,121 | 61.5% | 36.7% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct 271602302727160 | 408 | 614 | 27 | 1,049 | 38.9% | 58.5% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct 271802302727180 | 448 | 488 | 32 | 968 | 46.3% | 50.4% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct 272402302727240 | 420 | 509 | 29 | 958 | 43.8% | 53.1% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct 272102302727210 | 379 | 488 | 25 | 892 | 42.5% | 54.7% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct 270502302727050 | 235 | 454 | 12 | 701 | 33.5% | 64.8% | R+31.2 |
| Precinct 271302302727130 | 341 | 311 | 34 | 686 | 49.7% | 45.3% | D+4.4 |
| Precinct 270402302727040 | 205 | 449 | 11 | 665 | 30.8% | 67.5% | R+36.7 |
| Precinct 271002302727100 | 283 | 327 | 22 | 632 | 44.8% | 51.7% | R+7.0 |
| Precinct 271402302727140 | 255 | 361 | 10 | 626 | 40.7% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct 270302302727030 | 262 | 332 | 27 | 621 | 42.2% | 53.5% | R+11.3 |
| Precinct 270202302727020 | 265 | 338 | 10 | 613 | 43.2% | 55.1% | R+11.9 |
| Precinct 271202302727120 | 313 | 267 | 33 | 613 | 51.1% | 43.6% | D+7.5 |
| Precinct 272302302727230 | 218 | 341 | 17 | 576 | 37.8% | 59.2% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct 272502302727250 | 239 | 259 | 14 | 512 | 46.7% | 50.6% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct 270902302727090 | 131 | 336 | 19 | 486 | 27.0% | 69.1% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct 270602302727060 | 207 | 250 | 25 | 482 | 42.9% | 51.9% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct 272202302727220 | 212 | 240 | 13 | 465 | 45.6% | 51.6% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct 270702302727070 | 332 | 115 | 11 | 458 | 72.5% | 25.1% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct 271702302727170 | 180 | 264 | 4 | 448 | 40.2% | 58.9% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct 270802302727080 | 145 | 195 | 13 | 353 | 41.1% | 55.2% | R+14.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −7.2% |
| 1896 | −24.9% |
| 1900 | −17.8% |
| 1904 | −33.6% |
| 1908 | −29.3% |
| 1912 | +26.1% |
| 1916 | +2.4% |
| 1920 | −44.3% |
| 1924 | −54.5% |
| 1928 | −54.8% |
| 1932 | −7.1% |
| 1936 | −32.2% |
| 1940 | −23.3% |
| 1944 | −40.7% |
| 1948 | −49.3% |
| 1952 | −60.8% |
| 1956 | −65.3% |
| 1960 | −41.3% |
| 1964 | +23.8% |
| 1968 | −15.1% |
| 1972 | −37.6% |
| 1976 | −12.3% |
| 1980 | −12.4% |
| 1984 | −24.9% |
| 1988 | −12.4% |
| 1992 | +6.6% |
| 1996 | +15.6% |
| 2000 | −1.1% |
| 2004 | +5.6% |
| 2008 | +11.6% |
| 2012 | +10.6% |
| 2016 | +0.3% |
| 2020 | +4.7% |
| 2024 | +3.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.3%13,610 | 44.7%10,998 | 24,608 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+1.0
Presidential vote · 2024D+3.4
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.4 points.
31,330 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+267 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,854 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,902 in average income, against $68,487 for residents who stayed — 11% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.4 on average — about the same lean as Waldo County, ME (D+3.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Penobscot County, ME184R+10.9
- Knox County, ME111D+18.6
- Kennebec County, ME104R+2.7
- Hancock County, ME61D+11.8
- Cumberland County, ME54D+35.3
- Somerset County, ME46R+27.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Penobscot County, ME208
- Kennebec County, ME113
- Knox County, ME87
- Hancock County, ME62
- Cumberland County, ME53
- Somerset County, ME49
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −7 |
| 2012 | +13 |
| 2013 | +4 |
| 2014 | −20 |
| 2015 | +152 |
| 2016 | +281 |
| 2017 | +408 |
| 2018 | −16 |
| 2019 | +144 |
| 2021 | +466 |
| 2022 | +409 |
| 2023 | +452 |
| 2024 | +301 |
| 2025 | +267 |
Waldo County's mix of fishing communities, small farms, and an influx of back-to-the-land residents has kept its presidential margins tight, with 2024's D+3.4 result continuing a pattern of single-digit finishes in either direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 65.3 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.4 points.
A population of 40,192, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,782 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hancock County and Lincoln County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hancock County
Maine
97.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory% unaffiliated≠ Polish ancestry
Lincoln County
Maine
96.7twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Sagadahoc County
Maine
94.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waldo County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Waldo County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Waldo County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waldo County, Maine voted Democratic by 3.4 points (D+3.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,130 votes cast, 12,661 went Democratic and 11,815 went Republican.
When did Waldo County, Maine last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Waldo County, Maine voted Republican was 2000.
How many people live in Waldo County, Maine?
Waldo County, Maine has a population of 40,192 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waldo County, Maine?
Median household income in Waldo County, Maine is $72,782 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Waldo County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Waldo County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.