HarrisDemocratic47.5%34,585TrumpRepublican50.2%36,589SteinIndependent1.1%826
R+2.7- Lead
- 2,004
- Total
- 72,886
- vs nation
- R+1.3
- Turnout
- 72.6%
Akashiccounty
Kennebec County, ME
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.6% of 101,825 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic48.1%34,902TrumpRepublican47.8%34,721JorgensenLibertarian2.0%1,425
D+0.2- Lead
- 181
- Total
- 72,615
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Turnout
- 74.5%
ClintonDemocratic44.3%29,302TrumpRepublican47.8%31,675JohnsonLibertarian5.7%3,792
R+3.6- Lead
- 2,373
- Total
- 66,208
- vs nation
- R+5.7
- Turnout
- 71.6%
ObamaDemocratic55.2%35,068RomneyRepublican41.8%26,519OtherAll other candidates3.0%1,910
D+13.5- Lead
- 8,549
- Total
- 63,497
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic56.4%37,238McCainRepublican41.6%27,482OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,266
D+14.8- Lead
- 9,756
- Total
- 65,986
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.3%35,616BushRepublican44.6%29,761OtherAll other candidates2.1%1,395
D+8.8- Lead
- 5,855
- Total
- 66,772
- vs nation
- D+11.2
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic53.0%31,198BushRepublican40.7%23,967NaderGreen5.0%2,955
D+12.3- Lead
- 7,231
- Total
- 58,907
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic54.4%30,257DoleRepublican27.7%15,403PerotReform14.9%8,281
D+26.7- Lead
- 14,854
- Total
- 55,654
- vs nation
- D+18.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 126,8082024 5-year
- Median household income
- $69,0772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Androscoggin County, ME · twin score 96.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.6%73,901 participants ÷ 101,825 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 59.2%–59.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 68,411 | 95,609 | 71.6% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 57,098 | 96,441 | 59.2% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 72,615 | 97,431 | 74.5% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 60,698 | 99,210 | 61.2% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 73,901 | 101,825 | 72.6% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 72,886 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 110202301111020 | 5,386 | 4,398 | 197 | 9,981 | 54.0% | 44.1% | D+9.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 112402301111240 | 4,566 | 2,636 | 191 | 7,393 | 61.8% | 35.7% | D+26.1 |
| Precinct 112802301111280 | 2,157 | 2,437 | 86 | 4,680 | 46.1% | 52.1% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct 112902301111290 | 1,995 | 1,811 | 93 | 3,899 | 51.2% | 46.4% | D+4.7 |
| Precinct 111602301111160 | 1,669 | 1,972 | 73 | 3,714 | 44.9% | 53.1% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct 111002301111100 | 1,739 | 1,273 | 309 | 3,321 | 52.4% | 38.3% | D+14.0 |
| Precinct 112102301111210 | 1,215 | 1,887 | 51 | 3,153 | 38.5% | 59.8% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct 112202301111220 | 1,110 | 1,496 | 48 | 2,654 | 41.8% | 56.4% | R+14.5 |
| Precinct 110602301111060 | 1,059 | 1,498 | 66 | 2,623 | 40.4% | 57.1% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct 111402301111140 | 1,070 | 1,476 | 58 | 2,604 | 41.1% | 56.7% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct 112602301111260 | 1,025 | 1,395 | 50 | 2,470 | 41.5% | 56.5% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct 111202301111120 | 865 | 1,390 | 40 | 2,295 | 37.7% | 60.6% | R+22.9 |
| Precinct 110302301111030 | 1,013 | 1,214 | 31 | 2,258 | 44.9% | 53.8% | R+8.9 |
| Precinct 110802301111080 | 970 | 838 | 32 | 1,840 | 52.7% | 45.5% | D+7.2 |
| Precinct 111702301111170 | 681 | 1,117 | 32 | 1,830 | 37.2% | 61.0% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct 111902301111190 | 900 | 875 | 43 | 1,818 | 49.5% | 48.1% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct 111102301111110 | 1,326 | 448 | 40 | 1,814 | 73.1% | 24.7% | D+48.4 |
| Precinct 110702301111070 | 594 | 1,150 | 25 | 1,769 | 33.6% | 65.0% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct 111302301111130 | 787 | 878 | 31 | 1,696 | 46.4% | 51.8% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct 110502301111050 | 579 | 990 | 22 | 1,591 | 36.4% | 62.2% | R+25.8 |
| Precinct 110402301111040 | 516 | 1,022 | 34 | 1,572 | 32.8% | 65.0% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct 112702301111270 | 495 | 1,026 | 41 | 1,562 | 31.7% | 65.7% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct 110102301111010 | 407 | 843 | 19 | 1,269 | 32.1% | 66.4% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct 111502301111150 | 566 | 586 | 25 | 1,177 | 48.1% | 49.8% | R+1.7 |
| Precinct 111802301111180 | 456 | 539 | 21 | 1,016 | 44.9% | 53.1% | R+8.2 |
| Precinct 110902301111090 | 399 | 457 | 13 | 869 | 45.9% | 52.6% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct 112502301111250 | 506 | 345 | 16 | 867 | 58.4% | 39.8% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct 112002301111200 | 341 | 370 | 13 | 724 | 47.1% | 51.1% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct 112302301111230 | 193 | 222 | 12 | 427 | 45.2% | 52.0% | R+6.8 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −19.2% |
| 1896 | −46.1% |
| 1900 | −28.3% |
| 1904 | −40.9% |
| 1908 | −35.1% |
| 1912 | +22.3% |
| 1916 | −9.6% |
| 1920 | −38.2% |
| 1924 | −49.2% |
| 1928 | −30.7% |
| 1932 | −8.7% |
| 1936 | −13.7% |
| 1940 | +3.2% |
| 1944 | −0.9% |
| 1948 | −10.9% |
| 1952 | −27.3% |
| 1956 | −33.5% |
| 1960 | −8.6% |
| 1964 | +37.4% |
| 1968 | +15.0% |
| 1972 | −20.1% |
| 1976 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | −1.2% |
| 1984 | −19.9% |
| 1988 | −8.0% |
| 1992 | +12.5% |
| 1996 | +26.7% |
| 2000 | +12.3% |
| 2004 | +8.8% |
| 2008 | +14.8% |
| 2012 | +13.5% |
| 2016 | −3.6% |
| 2020 | +0.2% |
| 2024 | −2.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 58.5%18,020 | 41.5%12,758 | 30,778 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025R+2.2
Presidential vote · 2024R+2.7
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.5 points.
92,437 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+718 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +6,642 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,687 in average income, against $73,658 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.8 on average — 4.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Kennebec County, ME itself (R+2.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Somerset County, ME363R+27.0
- Cumberland County, ME353D+35.3
- Androscoggin County, ME334R+6.1
- Penobscot County, ME187R+10.9
- Lincoln County, ME152D+11.3
- Sagadahoc County, ME150D+16.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Somerset County, ME406
- Cumberland County, ME303
- Androscoggin County, ME272
- Penobscot County, ME171
- Lincoln County, ME133
- Sagadahoc County, ME128
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −212 |
| 2012 | −215 |
| 2013 | −432 |
| 2014 | +144 |
| 2015 | −137 |
| 2016 | +531 |
| 2017 | +585 |
| 2018 | +346 |
| 2019 | +500 |
| 2021 | +1,389 |
| 2022 | +1,672 |
| 2023 | +1,139 |
| 2024 | +614 |
| 2025 | +718 |
Home to Augusta, Maine's capital, Kennebec County blends state-government employment with rural and small-town voters, producing margins close enough to make it a reliable indicator of statewide competitive pressure.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.7 points.
A population of 126,808, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,077 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Androscoggin County and Penobscot County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Androscoggin County
Maine
96.4twin score
2000–2012 trajectory
Penobscot County
Maine
95.5twin score
French ancestry2004–2024 trajectory
Cheshire County
New Hampshire
95.2twin score
2000–2012 trajectoryFrench ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Kennebec County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Kennebec County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Kennebec County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Kennebec County, Maine voted Republican by 2.7 points (R+2.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 72,886 votes cast, 34,585 went Democratic and 36,589 went Republican.
When did Kennebec County, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kennebec County, Maine voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Kennebec County, Maine?
Kennebec County, Maine has a population of 126,808 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kennebec County, Maine?
Median household income in Kennebec County, Maine is $69,077 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Kennebec County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Kennebec County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.