akashic
1876–2024
Kennebec County, Maine
Kennebec County·Maine

Kennebec County votes the way the country votes.

A bellwether county that flipped from blue to red by under 3 points in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Kennebec County, Maine · Calvin Beale · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+3
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
126,808
2024 ACS
Most similar
Androscoggin County
ME · similarity 0.98
29 precincts · 72,886 votes cast
Trump · R+3
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−2.7%
34,58536,58972,886
2020D
+0.2%
34,90234,72172,615
2016R
−3.6%
29,30231,67566,208
2012D
+13.5%
35,06826,51963,497
2008D
+14.8%
37,23827,48265,986
2004D
+8.8%
35,61629,76166,772
2000D
+12.3%
31,19823,96758,907
1996D
+26.7%
30,25715,40355,654
1992D
+12.5%
25,12517,13563,921
1988R
−8.0%
23,57827,73451,745
1984R
−19.9%
21,18331,75353,191
1980R
−1.2%
20,94321,51749,077
1976D
+2.0%
23,47322,53447,407
1972R
−20.1%
16,37924,61741,035
1968D
+15.0%
21,75216,00938,292
1964D
+37.4%
24,81311,30736,143
1960R
−8.6%
18,25221,69939,951
1956R
−33.5%
11,48323,02834,511
1952R
−27.3%
12,11321,20733,351
1948R
−10.9%
11,16313,92325,260
1944R
−0.9%
14,07014,33528,430
1940D
+3.2%
15,86114,87730,765
1936R
−13.7%
11,26814,98727,081
1932R
−8.7%
12,11014,45126,797
1928R
−30.7%
8,22615,54123,859
1924R
−49.2%
4,18413,12218,159
1920R
−38.2%
5,46612,33317,973
1916R
−9.6%
5,5276,73112,531
1912D
+22.3%
4,3971,78211,726
1908R
−35.1%
2,8716,1339,294
1904R
−40.9%
2,3335,7658,394
1900R
−28.3%
3,4106,2289,949
1896R
−46.1%
2,8177,88911,003
1892R
−19.2%
4,0946,16510,765
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
English
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
20.3%
Baptist
5.9%
Other Christian
5.8%
Methodist
2.5%
Non-Christian
2.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 60.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Home to Augusta, Maine's capital, Kennebec County blends state-government employment with rural and small-town voters, producing margins close enough to make it a reliable indicator of statewide competitive pressure.

The Democratic margin in Kennebec County has rarely exceeded thirty-seven points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by three points.

Kennebec County's demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 92% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $69,077 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Androscoggin County and Franklin County.