akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 16·Maine

Maine 16th State Senate District votes the way the country votes.

One of Maine's most Democratic-leaning legislative districts

18762024·38 elections
ME
Latest
R+4
in 2024
Archetype
Bellwether
since the recent cycles
Population
16,723
2024 ACS

Maine 16th State Senate District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+4MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
BellwetherAkashic typology
Population
16,7232024 5-year
Median household income
$68,6342024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
92.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
2 counties · 0 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−3.7%
4,5114,8679,601
R
−0.7%
4,5524,6159,559
R
−4.3%
3,8294,2088,724
D
+13.0%
4,6003,5138,364
D
+14.4%
4,8893,6358,692
D
+8.5%
4,6873,9388,810
D
+11.9%
4,1013,1757,772
D
+26.6%
3,9852,0327,350
D
+12.4%
3,3032,2588,440
R
−8.3%
3,0983,6616,816
R
−20.1%
2,7824,1917,007
R
−1.4%
2,7582,8466,470
D
+2.0%
3,0962,9696,251
R
−20.3%
2,1513,2495,405
D
+14.8%
2,8632,1155,050
D
+37.5%
3,2821,4914,776
R
−9.1%
2,4022,8815,283
R
−33.9%
1,5083,0534,561
R
−27.6%
1,5972,8144,415
R
−11.4%
1,4661,8463,335
R
−1.5%
1,8511,9093,764
D
+2.7%
2,0941,9834,080
R
−13.9%
1,4961,9973,603
R
−8.7%
1,6131,9243,570
R
−31.2%
1,0842,0743,171
R
−49.5%
5541,7522,421
R
−38.3%
7281,6472,402
R
−9.4%
7418991,678
O
+22.0%
5872421,568
R
−35.1%
3868251,251
R
−41.1%
3137791,134
R
−28.4%
4578381,340
R
−45.7%
3831,0611,484
R
−18.8%
5568301,454
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.9%
Irish
15.5%
French
15.2%
German
7.1%
American
5.8%
Italian
4.9%
Scottish
4.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.3%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.0%
Spanish0.9%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.6%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
19.7%
Other Christian
5.8%
Baptist
5.7%
Methodist
2.4%
Non-Christian
1.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.4%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 61.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 25 points for Democrats, this district stands well outside Maine's competitive middle, anchored by a population of roughly 38,000 in a state otherwise known for its swing-district battlegrounds.

The Democratic margin in Maine 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,634 — all within the broad national range.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/23016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Maine voted Republican by 3.7 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,601 votes cast, 4,511 went Democratic and 4,867 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Maine's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Maine as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 23 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Maine last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Maine voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Maine?
State Senate District 16, Maine has a population of 16,723 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Maine?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Maine is $68,634 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.