Maine 16th State Senate District, Maine: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+49 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,7232024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,6342024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 1924MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,511 | 4,867 | 9,601 | ||
| R | 4,552 | 4,615 | 9,559 | ||
| R | 3,829 | 4,208 | 8,724 | ||
| D | 4,600 | 3,513 | 8,364 | ||
| D | 4,889 | 3,635 | 8,692 | ||
| D | 4,687 | 3,938 | 8,810 | ||
| D | 4,101 | 3,175 | 7,772 | ||
| D | 3,985 | 2,032 | 7,350 | ||
| D | 3,303 | 2,258 | 8,440 | ||
| R | 3,098 | 3,661 | 6,816 | ||
| R | 2,782 | 4,191 | 7,007 | ||
| R | 2,758 | 2,846 | 6,470 | ||
| D | 3,096 | 2,969 | 6,251 | ||
| R | 2,151 | 3,249 | 5,405 | ||
| D | 2,863 | 2,115 | 5,050 | ||
| D | 3,282 | 1,491 | 4,776 | ||
| R | 2,402 | 2,881 | 5,283 | ||
| R | 1,508 | 3,053 | 4,561 | ||
| R | 1,597 | 2,814 | 4,415 | ||
| R | 1,466 | 1,846 | 3,335 | ||
| R | 1,851 | 1,909 | 3,764 | ||
| D | 2,094 | 1,983 | 4,080 | ||
| R | 1,496 | 1,997 | 3,603 | ||
| R | 1,613 | 1,924 | 3,570 | ||
| R | 1,084 | 2,074 | 3,171 | ||
| R | 554 | 1,752 | 2,421 | ||
| R | 728 | 1,647 | 2,402 | ||
| R | 741 | 899 | 1,678 | ||
| O | 587 | 242 | 1,568 | ||
| R | 386 | 825 | 1,251 | ||
| R | 313 | 779 | 1,134 | ||
| R | 457 | 838 | 1,340 | ||
| R | 383 | 1,061 | 1,484 | ||
| R | 556 | 830 | 1,454 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 25 points for Democrats, this district stands well outside Maine's competitive middle, anchored by a population of roughly 38,000 in a state otherwise known for its swing-district battlegrounds.
The Democratic margin in Maine 16th State Senate District has rarely exceeded thirty-eight points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-nine points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 93% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,634 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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State Senate District 16, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/23016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.