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state senate district

Maine 15th State Senate District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English21.9%21.8%9.5%

Irish15.5%16.5%9.4%

French15.4%11.3%1.6%

French Canadian7.6%6.1%—

German7.1%7.8%12.5%

American5.7%5.9%5.3%

Italian5.0%5.4%4.8%

Scottish4.3%4.4%1.3%

Mexican0.5%0.6%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.5%0.5%1.8%

Spaniard0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Median age	43.1	44.8	39.1
Age 18–24	9.1%	8.0%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	21.1%	22.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Median household income	$61,886	$74,733	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.5%	10.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	31.9%	36.1%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Owner-occupied homes	69.8%	74.3%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	30.2%	25.7%	34.8%
Median home value	$238,300	$296,600	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$941	$1,139	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	47.2%	48.4%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	15.9%	20.6%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Mean commute	23.4 min	24.6 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	8.3%	6.9%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	72.1%	70.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.3%	0.5%	3.2%
Works from home	15.2%	15.9%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.8%	6.1%	22.3%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)	2.1%	2.3%	0.7%

Religious landscape

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Catholic	—	16.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	6.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	69.3%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	ME SD 15	Maine	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.2%	4.1%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.6%	2.1%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.6%	1.9%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.4%	8.4%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.448	0.456	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic47.4%10,349TrumpRepublican50.7%11,079OtherAll other candidates1.9%418

R+3.3

Lead: 730
Total: 21,846
vs nation: R+1.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic48.0%10,180TrumpRepublican48.8%10,349OtherAll other candidates3.1%661

R+0.8

Lead: 169
Total: 21,190
vs nation: R+5.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic43.6%8,447TrumpRepublican48.7%9,428OtherAll other candidates7.7%1,484

R+5.1

Lead: 981
Total: 19,359
vs nation: R+7.2

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic54.5%10,103RomneyRepublican42.6%7,904OtherAll other candidates2.9%544

D+11.9

Lead: 2,199
Total: 18,551
vs nation: D+8.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic55.7%10,731McCainRepublican42.5%8,183OtherAll other candidates1.9%359

D+13.2

Lead: 2,548
Total: 19,273
vs nation: D+5.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic52.6%10,270BushRepublican45.5%8,879OtherAll other candidates2.0%386

D+7.1

Lead: 1,391
Total: 19,535
vs nation: D+9.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic52.2%8,984BushRepublican41.5%7,153OtherAll other candidates6.3%1,080

D+10.6

Lead: 1,831
Total: 17,217
vs nation: D+10.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic54.0%8,726DoleRepublican28.4%4,594OtherAll other candidates17.6%2,852

D+25.6

Lead: 4,132
Total: 16,172
vs nation: D+17.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+3.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 37,4432024 5-year
Population density: 137 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 273 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $61,8862024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.8%2024 5-year
Black: 0.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 2.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+35.8 in 1964MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State Senate District 20, ME · twin score 96.7

presidential history

Party record book

Maine 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Lyndon B. Johnson1964

67.9%

7,159 votes · D+35.8 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 57.3%

Republican

William McKinley1896

72.4%

2,359 votes · R+48.7 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 72.2%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

10,731votes

55.7% of the vote · D+13.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 10,349 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

11,079votes

50.7% of the vote · R+3.3 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,349 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

Bill Clinton1996

+17.0pts D vs U.S.

Place D+25.6 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +15.3 pts

Republican

William McKinley1896

+42.7pts R vs U.S.

Place R+48.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +39.3 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RDick BradstreetState Senate · 15

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	D	58.5%5,321	41.5%3,767	9,088

Maine 15th State Senate District sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 49.5 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 3.3 points.

A population of 37,443, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,886 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 20 and State Senate District 14.

Political twins — state-senate districts

The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State Senate District 20

French ancestry% Whitepopulation scale

State Senate District 14

French ancestry% Whitepopulation scale

State Senate District 16

French ancestry12-yr trend% White

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Maine 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/23015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Places within Maine 15th State Senate District

counties it covers1

Kennebec County

Frequently asked questions

How did Maine 15th State Senate District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Maine 15th State Senate District voted Republican by 3.3 points (R+3.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 21,846 votes cast, 10,349 went Democratic and 11,079 went Republican.

When did Maine 15th State Senate District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Maine 15th State Senate District voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Maine 15th State Senate District?

Maine 15th State Senate District has a population of 37,443 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Maine 15th State Senate District?

Median household income in Maine 15th State Senate District is $61,886 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.

What is the political history of Maine 15th State Senate District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 15th State Senate District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.