- Lead
- 68,007
- Total
- 192,656
- vs nation
- D+36.8
- Turnout
- 79.8%
Cumberland County, ME
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 79.8% of 244,522 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 69,175
- Total
- 195,914
- vs nation
- D+30.9
- Turnout
- 84.0%
- Lead
- 45,272
- Total
- 171,818
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Turnout
- 78.5%
- Lead
- 44,129
- Total
- 163,786
- vs nation
- D+23.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 49,032
- Total
- 164,151
- vs nation
- D+22.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 29,462
- Total
- 162,962
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 15,660
- Total
- 142,620
- vs nation
- D+10.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 26,876
- Total
- 129,610
- vs nation
- D+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+35.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 308,8272024 5-year
- Median household income
- $95,6772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 85.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grafton County, NH · twin score 96.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 79.8%195,008 participants ÷ 244,522 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 63.4%–66.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 176,606 | 224,910 | 78.5% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 156,611 | 228,659 | 68.5% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 195,583 | 232,960 | 84.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 162,695 | 240,559 | 67.6% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 195,008 | 244,522 | 79.8% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 192,656 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 052202300505220 | 15,650 | 4,039 | 635 | 20,324 | 77.0% | 19.9% | D+57.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 052002300505200 | 13,237 | 5,700 | 387 | 19,324 | 68.5% | 29.5% | D+39.0 |
| Precinct 050302300505030 | 13,686 | 4,173 | 601 | 18,460 | 74.1% | 22.6% | D+51.5 |
| Precinct 050902300505090 | 8,934 | 4,931 | 357 | 14,222 | 62.8% | 34.7% | D+28.1 |
| Precinct 052502300505250 | 7,770 | 6,014 | 301 | 14,085 | 55.2% | 42.7% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct 052402300505240 | 9,223 | 3,877 | 386 | 13,486 | 68.4% | 28.7% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct 050702300505070 | 8,245 | 2,807 | 252 | 11,304 | 72.9% | 24.8% | D+48.1 |
| Precinct 050402300505040 | 7,028 | 1,554 | 191 | 8,773 | 80.1% | 17.7% | D+62.4 |
| Precinct 052602300505260 | 6,307 | 1,507 | 172 | 7,986 | 79.0% | 18.9% | D+60.1 |
| Precinct 050802300505080 | 5,754 | 1,914 | 211 | 7,879 | 73.0% | 24.3% | D+48.7 |
| Precinct 050602300505060 | 5,624 | 1,862 | 175 | 7,661 | 73.4% | 24.3% | D+49.1 |
| Precinct 052302300505230 | 3,816 | 3,687 | 144 | 7,647 | 49.9% | 48.2% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct 051002300505100 | 3,645 | 3,012 | 188 | 6,845 | 53.3% | 44.0% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct 051102300505110 | 3,124 | 1,624 | 74 | 4,822 | 64.8% | 33.7% | D+31.1 |
| Precinct 051402300505140 | 2,314 | 2,152 | 114 | 4,580 | 50.5% | 47.0% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct 050202300505020 | 2,364 | 1,928 | 88 | 4,380 | 54.0% | 44.0% | D+10.0 |
| Precinct 051902300505190 | 2,174 | 1,725 | 80 | 3,979 | 54.6% | 43.4% | D+11.3 |
| Precinct 051502300505150 | 2,586 | 1,152 | 96 | 3,834 | 67.4% | 30.0% | D+37.4 |
| Precinct 051302300505130 | 1,370 | 1,647 | 61 | 3,078 | 44.5% | 53.5% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct 050502300505050 | 1,406 | 1,347 | 56 | 2,809 | 50.1% | 48.0% | D+2.1 |
| Precinct 051202300505120 | 1,034 | 972 | 46 | 2,052 | 50.4% | 47.4% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct 052102300505210 | 686 | 854 | 33 | 1,573 | 43.6% | 54.3% | R+10.7 |
| Precinct 051802300505180 | 979 | 557 | 30 | 1,566 | 62.5% | 35.6% | D+26.9 |
| Precinct 050102300505010 | 457 | 782 | 25 | 1,264 | 36.2% | 61.9% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct 050552300505055 | 338 | 59 | 12 | 409 | 82.6% | 14.4% | D+68.2 |
| Precinct 051252300505125 | 183 | 65 | 6 | 254 | 72.0% | 25.6% | D+46.5 |
| Precinct 050852300505085 | 37 | 23 | 0 | 60 | 61.7% | 38.3% | D+23.3 |
| Precinct 051702300505170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −6.3% |
| 1896 | −34.6% |
| 1900 | −20.3% |
| 1904 | −29.0% |
| 1908 | −28.3% |
| 1912 | +16.1% |
| 1916 | −9.0% |
| 1920 | −39.7% |
| 1924 | −53.5% |
| 1928 | −35.8% |
| 1932 | −22.6% |
| 1936 | −13.2% |
| 1940 | −5.1% |
| 1944 | −4.4% |
| 1948 | −22.8% |
| 1952 | −38.5% |
| 1956 | −43.8% |
| 1960 | −17.0% |
| 1964 | +38.9% |
| 1968 | +15.9% |
| 1972 | −21.2% |
| 1976 | −2.0% |
| 1980 | +1.4% |
| 1984 | −13.7% |
| 1988 | −6.6% |
| 1992 | +10.6% |
| 1996 | +20.7% |
| 2000 | +11.0% |
| 2004 | +18.1% |
| 2008 | +29.9% |
| 2012 | +26.9% |
| 2016 | +26.3% |
| 2020 | +35.3% |
| 2024 | +35.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 69.4%97,640 | 30.6%43,004 | 140,644 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Republican.
244,719 registered voters · 2025
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+805 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +11,893 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $85,960 in average income, against $111,803 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+13.7 on average — 22 points more Republican-leaning than Cumberland County, ME itself (D+35.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- York County, ME1,310D+10.5
- Androscoggin County, ME583R+6.1
- Middlesex County, MA341D+39.2
- Sagadahoc County, ME330D+16.6
- Kennebec County, ME303R+2.7
- Penobscot County, ME241R+10.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- York County, ME1,566
- Androscoggin County, ME900
- Sagadahoc County, ME436
- Kennebec County, ME353
- Oxford County, ME294
- Middlesex County, MA220
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +385 |
| 2012 | +409 |
| 2013 | +827 |
| 2014 | +849 |
| 2015 | +925 |
| 2016 | +653 |
| 2017 | +579 |
| 2018 | +969 |
| 2019 | +872 |
| 2021 | +2,157 |
| 2022 | +2,009 |
| 2023 | +251 |
| 2024 | +203 |
| 2025 | +805 |
Home to Portland and its surrounding suburbs, Cumberland County delivers the state's largest raw vote margins, with the 2024 presidential race landing at D+35.3 — the widest gap of any Maine county.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1924. The 2024 margin was 35.3 points.
A population of 308,827, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,677 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grafton County and Washington County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cumberland County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.