HarrisDemocratic48.2%2,724TrumpRepublican49.5%2,797OtherAll other candidates2.2%125
R+1.3- Lead
- 73
- Total
- 5,646
- vs nation
- D+0.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Maine 86th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic48.3%2,738TrumpRepublican48.9%2,773OtherAll other candidates2.9%163
R+0.6- Lead
- 35
- Total
- 5,674
- vs nation
- R+5.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic42.5%2,190TrumpRepublican50.6%2,610OtherAll other candidates6.9%357
R+8.1- Lead
- 420
- Total
- 5,157
- vs nation
- R+10.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic43.5%2,171RomneyRepublican51.0%2,545OtherAll other candidates5.4%271
R+7.5- Lead
- 374
- Total
- 4,987
- vs nation
- R+11.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic46.5%2,259McCainRepublican51.8%2,516OtherAll other candidates1.6%79
R+5.3- Lead
- 257
- Total
- 4,854
- vs nation
- R+12.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic40.7%2,060BushRepublican57.7%2,920OtherAll other candidates1.6%79
R+17.0- Lead
- 860
- Total
- 5,059
- vs nation
- R+14.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic35.5%1,611BushRepublican57.7%2,619OtherAll other candidates6.7%306
R+22.2- Lead
- 1,008
- Total
- 4,536
- vs nation
- R+22.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic38.6%1,521DoleRepublican48.0%1,890OtherAll other candidates13.3%525
R+9.4- Lead
- 369
- Total
- 3,936
- vs nation
- R+17.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+1.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,6012024 5-year
- Population density
- 123 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 70 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,3492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+8.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+74.0 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 83, ME · twin score 96.4
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.1%
1,169 votes · D+8.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 48.3%
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
84.6%
1,158 votes · R+74.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 83.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,738votes
48.3% of the vote · R+0.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,724 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
2,948votes
72.7% of the vote · R+45.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 2,920 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+0.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.3 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −5.1 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+69.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.3 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +67.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRolf OlsenState House · 86
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 69.4%2,597 | 30.6%1,144 | 3,741 |
With just 8,601 residents and a 2024 presidential result of R+1.3, District 86 sits at Maine's competitive edge, where small shifts in rural and coastal precincts can decide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 74.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.3 points.
A population of 8,601, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,349 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 83 and State House District 106.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 83
Maine
96.4twin score
population scalecollege sharemedian age
State House District 106
Maine
96.4twin score
population scalecollege share% unaffiliated
State House District Grafton 11
New Hampshire
94.3twin score
median agepopulation scale% unaffiliated
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Maine 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Maine at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Maine 86th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Maine 86th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Maine 86th State House District voted Republican by 1.3 points (R+1.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,646 votes cast, 2,724 went Democratic and 2,797 went Republican.
When did Maine 86th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Maine 86th State House District voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Maine 86th State House District?
Maine 86th State House District has a population of 8,601 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Maine 86th State House District?
Median household income in Maine 86th State House District is $80,349 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Maine 86th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Maine 86th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 36 went Republican.