HarrisDemocratic58.2%15,076TrumpRepublican39.6%10,262SteinIndependent1.1%286
D+18.6- Lead
- 4,814
- Total
- 25,893
- vs nation
- D+20.1
- Turnout
- 78.0%
Akashiccounty
Knox County, ME
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 78.0% of 33,597 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic58.0%15,110TrumpRepublican38.3%9,982JorgensenLibertarian1.4%358
D+19.7- Lead
- 5,128
- Total
- 26,032
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Turnout
- 80.4%
ClintonDemocratic53.8%12,443TrumpRepublican39.5%9,148JohnsonLibertarian4.1%952
D+14.2- Lead
- 3,295
- Total
- 23,147
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Turnout
- 75.1%
ObamaDemocratic59.9%13,223RomneyRepublican37.4%8,248OtherAll other candidates2.7%596
D+22.5- Lead
- 4,975
- Total
- 22,067
- vs nation
- D+18.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.7%13,728McCainRepublican38.4%8,816OtherAll other candidates1.9%436
D+21.4- Lead
- 4,912
- Total
- 22,980
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic54.6%12,690BushRepublican43.5%10,103OtherAll other candidates2.0%454
D+11.1- Lead
- 2,587
- Total
- 23,247
- vs nation
- D+13.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic46.1%9,453BushRepublican43.7%8,968NaderGreen8.8%1,810
D+2.4- Lead
- 485
- Total
- 20,501
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic46.8%8,839DoleRepublican32.8%6,192PerotReform14.7%2,780
D+14.0- Lead
- 2,647
- Total
- 18,883
- vs nation
- D+5.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+18.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 41,0032024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,0962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62.6 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hancock County, ME · twin score 96.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 78.0%26,218 participants ÷ 33,597 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.0%–66.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 23,926 | 31,876 | 75.1% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,925 | 32,132 | 65.1% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,032 | 32,383 | 80.4% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,397 | 33,231 | 67.4% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 26,218 | 33,597 | 78.0% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 292/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 296/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 300/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 305/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 310/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 25,893 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct 131002301313100 | 2,529 | 1,272 | 108 | 3,909 | 64.7% | 32.5% | D+32.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct 130202301313020 | 2,834 | 725 | 74 | 3,633 | 78.0% | 20.0% | D+58.1 |
| Precinct 131102301313110 | 1,713 | 742 | 55 | 2,510 | 68.2% | 29.6% | D+38.7 |
| Precinct 131702301313170 | 980 | 1,372 | 54 | 2,406 | 40.7% | 57.0% | R+16.3 |
| Precinct 131202301313120 | 1,076 | 715 | 25 | 1,816 | 59.3% | 39.4% | D+19.9 |
| Precinct 131502301313150 | 762 | 863 | 33 | 1,658 | 46.0% | 52.1% | R+6.1 |
| Precinct 131402301313140 | 911 | 664 | 30 | 1,605 | 56.8% | 41.4% | D+15.4 |
| Precinct 130502301313050 | 651 | 456 | 31 | 1,138 | 57.2% | 40.1% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct 130902301313090 | 592 | 497 | 11 | 1,100 | 53.8% | 45.2% | D+8.6 |
| Precinct 131302301313130 | 616 | 426 | 16 | 1,058 | 58.2% | 40.3% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct 131802301313180 | 434 | 577 | 30 | 1,041 | 41.7% | 55.4% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct 130302301313030 | 445 | 566 | 21 | 1,032 | 43.1% | 54.8% | R+11.7 |
| Precinct 130102301313010 | 477 | 421 | 27 | 925 | 51.6% | 45.5% | D+6.1 |
| Precinct 130402301313040 | 303 | 523 | 13 | 839 | 36.1% | 62.3% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct 131602301313160 | 468 | 333 | 12 | 813 | 57.6% | 41.0% | D+16.6 |
| Precinct 130802301313080 | 207 | 80 | 12 | 299 | 69.2% | 26.8% | D+42.5 |
| Precinct 130602301313060 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 64 | 70.3% | 26.6% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct 130702301313070 | 33 | 13 | 1 | 47 | 70.2% | 27.7% | D+42.6 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.7% |
| 1896 | −26.0% |
| 1900 | +0.1% |
| 1904 | −14.5% |
| 1908 | −6.6% |
| 1912 | +30.1% |
| 1916 | +20.9% |
| 1920 | −24.5% |
| 1924 | −44.8% |
| 1928 | −47.7% |
| 1932 | −12.6% |
| 1936 | −23.7% |
| 1940 | −21.7% |
| 1944 | −19.6% |
| 1948 | −46.7% |
| 1952 | −56.8% |
| 1956 | −62.6% |
| 1960 | −40.8% |
| 1964 | +22.9% |
| 1968 | −12.3% |
| 1972 | −40.4% |
| 1976 | −16.2% |
| 1980 | −12.2% |
| 1984 | −30.4% |
| 1988 | −15.9% |
| 1992 | +6.5% |
| 1996 | +14.0% |
| 2000 | +2.4% |
| 2004 | +11.1% |
| 2008 | +21.4% |
| 2012 | +22.5% |
| 2016 | +14.2% |
| 2020 | +19.7% |
| 2024 | +18.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 65.9%12,689 | 34.1%6,578 | 19,267 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+11.6
Presidential vote · 2024D+18.6
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 7.0 points more Republican.
32,311 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+426 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,560 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $89,379 in average income, against $81,493 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.2 on average — 7.4 points more Republican-leaning than Knox County, ME itself (D+18.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lincoln County, ME95D+11.3
- Waldo County, ME87D+3.4
- Cumberland County, ME63D+35.3
- Kennebec County, ME52R+2.7
- Penobscot County, ME33R+10.9
- Hancock County, ME27D+11.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lincoln County, ME114
- Waldo County, ME111
- Cumberland County, ME88
- Kennebec County, ME62
- Penobscot County, ME40
- York County, ME25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +46 |
| 2012 | −28 |
| 2013 | +91 |
| 2014 | +143 |
| 2015 | +33 |
| 2016 | +149 |
| 2017 | +185 |
| 2018 | +101 |
| 2019 | +199 |
| 2021 | +657 |
| 2022 | +385 |
| 2023 | +30 |
| 2024 | +143 |
| 2025 | +426 |
Knox County's rugged Penobscot Bay coastline anchors an economy split between tourism, fishing, and the arts, drawing a mix of longtime residents and transplants whose combined preferences have produced consistent Democratic margins well above the national average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.6 points.
A population of 41,003, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,096 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hancock County and Lincoln County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hancock County
Maine
96.9twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Lincoln County
Maine
96.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Sagadahoc County
Maine
96.3twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Knox County, Maine. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/23013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Knox County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Knox County, Maine vote in 2024?
In 2024, Knox County, Maine voted Democratic by 18.6 points (D+18.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 25,893 votes cast, 15,076 went Democratic and 10,262 went Republican.
When did Knox County, Maine last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Knox County, Maine voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Knox County, Maine?
Knox County, Maine has a population of 41,003 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Knox County, Maine?
Median household income in Knox County, Maine is $74,096 — below the national median of $80,734. The Maine state median is $74,733.
What is the political history of Knox County, Maine?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Knox County, Maine from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.