- Lead
- 388
- Total
- 5,504
- vs nation
- R+5.6
Maine 45th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 379
- Total
- 5,286
- vs nation
- R+11.6
- Lead
- 519
- Total
- 4,888
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Lead
- 115
- Total
- 4,595
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Lead
- 131
- Total
- 4,819
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Lead
- 565
- Total
- 5,007
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Lead
- 825
- Total
- 4,488
- vs nation
- R+18.9
- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 4,069
- vs nation
- R+11.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,7142024 5-year
- Population density
- 61 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 142 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,7292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+18.4 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.0 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 47, ME · twin score 97.8
presidential history
Party record book
Maine 45th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
48.3%
1,044 votes · R+3.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 47.8%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
89.0%
2,091 votes · R+78.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 87.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,502votes
45.5% of the vote · R+7.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 2,388 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,890votes
52.5% of the vote · R+7.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 2,857 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+0.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+25.7 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · −1.1 pts
Republican
Alf Landon1936
+77.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.6 · U.S. D+24.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +72.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | D | 60.4%2,570 | 39.6%1,682 | 4,252 |
With fewer than 9,000 residents, this small Maine House district recorded a 7.0-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a broader rural realignment pattern visible across northern and western parts of the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 78.0 points in 1956. The 2024 margin was 7.0 points.
A population of 8,714, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,729 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 47 and State House District 12.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Maine 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/23045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.